Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 201911
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
211 PM CDT Wed Sep 20 2017

.SHORT TERM...Tonight Through Friday

Warm and humid conditions remain the primary story across the LZK
CWA this afternoon...with above normal temps expected through the
short term period. A weak upper disturbance has moved over the state
this afternoon...providing some increased cloud cover but has yet to
trigger any precip. Do think an isolated SHRA/TSRA may form...but
will keep POPs low this afternoon. Should see a bit less cloud cover
on Thu and Fri...with similar precip potential continuing through the
short term period.  Again...temps will continue above normal for the
next several days into the long term period.

&&

.LONG TERM...Friday Night Through Wednesday

Much of the extended period will continue to be characterized by
above normal temperatures, dry conditions and southerly winds. But,
changes are on the horizon near the end of the long term period as a
cold front is expected to move through the area. In the wake of this
front will be cooler temperatures, much closer to or a bit below
normal.

At the start of the long term period continued troughing in the mid
levels will be seen across western portions of the US with ridging
firmly in place across the central and eastern parts of the country.
At the surface, high pressure will be centered just off the east
coast, providing south to southeasterly winds to AR for much of the
period.

But, as previously mentioned, the mid level pattern will undergo
some changes by the middle of next week. The ridge to the east will
break down and more of a zonal flow can be in place across the
state, helping to usher in a front set to make its way across AR.
Unfortunately, rain chances don`t appear great with this frontal
passage, and higher POPs are confined to mostly western areas in the
current forecast.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     71  91  69  90 /  10  10   0  20
Camden AR         72  92  71  92 /  10  10   0  20
Harrison AR       69  89  68  87 /   0  10   0  10
Hot Springs AR    72  91  71  91 /  10  10   0  10
Little Rock   AR  72  92  72  91 /  10  10   0  20
Monticello AR     72  91  71  91 /  10  10   0  20
Mount Ida AR      71  90  69  90 /  10  10   0  10
Mountain Home AR  70  90  69  89 /   0  10   0  10
Newport AR        70  91  70  90 /  10  10   0  20
Pine Bluff AR     72  91  71  91 /  10  10   0  20
Russellville AR   72  92  71  91 /  10  10   0  10
Searcy AR         71  91  69  90 /  10  10   0  20
Stuttgart AR      72  91  71  90 /  20  10   0  20
&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.
&&

$$

Short Term...62 / Long Term...67



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