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000
FXUS64 KLZK 152011
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
311 PM CDT Tue Aug 15 2017

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions will continue into this evening, with isolated
precipitation. Some low clouds/patchy fog will form after
midnight tonight and early Wednesday, and this will create
MVFR conditions in places. VFR conditions will return late
Wednesday morning and into the afternoon, with spotty
thunderstorms.

Winds will be south/southwest tonight at 3 to 7 mph, and
8 to 14 mph on Wednesday. (46)
&&

.SHORT TERM...Tonight Through Wednesday Night
After widespread showers/thunderstorms this morning from northern
into central Arkansas, it has settled down this afternoon. Still
expect isolated precipitation into this evening, and then will
have a brief lull.

Will be clear/partly cloudy this evening, with some low
clouds and patchy fog after midnight. Any rain will be spotty, and
mainly north of Little Rock.

Not much going on Wednesday either, with isolated thunderstorms
in the forecast. Given a lack of rain, temperatures will be
allowed to warm up more than in recent days. Even so, readings
will be a couple of degrees below seasonal levels.

A cold front will approach from the northwest Wednesday
night. This will result in better chances of thunderstorms
across the northwest half of the state.
&&

.LONG TERM...Thursday Through Tuesday
Little change to the going long term forecast with continued
unsettled weather on tap. Long term begins with a cold front
approaching the state from the west. This front is forecast to get
hung up and wobble around the region for much of the long term. This
will keep rain chances in the forecast for much of the long term.
Models vary quite a bit when it comes to the forecast temperatures.
GFS is significantly warmer than the ECMWF...and with clouds and
unsettled weather in the forecast did tend to lean more towards the
ECMWF for temperatures in the long term. Towards the end of the long
term...the front will lift out to the northeast with a ridge of high
pressure building into the region.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     74  91  76  90 /  30  20  20  50
Camden AR         76  93  76  92 /  10  10  10  30
Harrison AR       72  89  73  87 /  20  30  50  30
Hot Springs AR    76  91  76  89 /  10  10  10  40
Little Rock   AR  75  91  77  91 /  20  20  10  50
Monticello AR     76  92  77  92 /  10  20   0  20
Mount Ida AR      75  90  75  89 /  10  10  20  50
Mountain Home AR  72  90  73  89 /  30  30  50  40
Newport AR        75  90  77  90 /  30  20  10  50
Pine Bluff AR     75  92  76  92 /  20  20  10  30
Russellville AR   75  92  76  90 /  20  20  30  40
Searcy AR         74  92  75  90 /  30  20  10  50
Stuttgart AR      75  92  76  90 /  20  20  10  40
&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.
&&

$$

Short Term...46 / Long Term...65