225
FXUS64 KLZK 120513
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1213 AM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 137 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025

Data from local radars indicate widely scattered convection again
developing over the forecast area. Greatest coverage is over
eastern sections of the forecast area, in an area of the greatest
instability. This activity will end shortly after sunset.

A cold front will approach northwest sections of the forecast area
late tonight and on Saturday. Convection forced by this boundary
may be able to reach northern sections late tonight and on
Saturday. Additional, diurnally enhanced development is expected
area wide on both Saturday and Sunday, as the atmospheric column
becomes more conducive to support convective development.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 137 PM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025

Mid and upper level heights will slowly rise over the mid south
during this forecast period. Overall diurnally enhanced convective
coverage Will gradually decrease during the period. A warming
trend can be expected; heat headlines will likely be necessary
during the second half of this forecast period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1211 AM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025

Generally VFR conditions expected through the period with sfc
winds out of the S-SW at up to 10 kts with some terminals seeing
occasional gusts above 15 kts. Decaying line of showers/storms
across SW MO will drift south into northern AR through 12z and
could lead to additional showers/storms this morning. Otherwise,
additional precip is possible this afternoon/evening across the
state. This could lead to some occasional impacts to area
terminals, with the best coverage expected across the northwest
half of AR.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     93  72  90  72 /  50  20  70  20
Camden AR         95  73  94  73 /  40  10  40  10
Harrison AR       87  69  85  69 /  70  30  70  30
Hot Springs AR    95  74  93  74 /  50  20  60  20
Little Rock   AR  94  75  92  76 /  40  20  60  20
Monticello AR     94  76  93  76 /  40  10  40  10
Mount Ida AR      93  72  91  73 /  40  30  70  20
Mountain Home AR  88  69  85  69 /  70  20  70  20
Newport AR        95  74  93  74 /  40  20  60  20
Pine Bluff AR     94  74  93  75 /  40  10  50  10
Russellville AR   93  73  90  73 /  50  30  70  30
Searcy AR         94  72  91  73 /  40  20  60  20
Stuttgart AR      95  75  93  76 /  30  20  50  20

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....55
AVIATION...67