Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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087
FXUS64 KLZK 231132
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
532 AM CST Mon Jan 23 2017

.AVIATION...
As low pressure pulls off to the east wind speeds will diminish
across Arkansas. High pressure over Oklahoma this morning will
move into Arkansas this afternoon. Clouds will decrease and MVFR
conditions will become VFR. Clear and near calm conditions are
expected by this evening.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...(ISSUED 325 AM CST Mon Jan 23 2017
)

SHORT TERM...Today Through Tuesday Night
The upper low that moved through Arkansas Sunday is now near the
east coast. An upper ridge will be building over Arkansas today as
an upper low develops over the Rockies. The ridge moves east of
Arkansas Tuesday and the upper low moves into the Plains.

As low pressure moves away from Arkansas today...northwest winds
will be decreasing through the morning. Gusty winds are expected
over the central and northeast sections through mid morning before
subsiding as the gradient relaxes. Drier air over the region will
keep mostly sunny skies over the area today and Tuesday. South
winds will return Tuesday and expect temperatures several degrees
warmer. Highs today will be in the mid 50s to lower 60s...and
Tuesday highs will be in the lower 60s to around 70 degrees.

LONG TERM...Wednesday Through Sunday Night
Frontal boundary will move through the region on Wednesday. However,
with little time for any deep-layer moisture return, only a few
clouds and a wind shift are expected. High pressure will follow the
boundary.

As the longwave pattern shifts into more troughing over the CONUS
and ridging over the eastern Pacific, upper flow will become more
meridional in nature. This will send several weak systems through
the region, but these will barely be noticeable. If anything, it
will act to keep cooler air over Arkansas, and as a result,
temperatures will be much closer to, or, dare I say, a little below
average.

Cold air, but little moisture. Yes, I know, it`s kind of
disappointing for us winter lovers. However, don`t give up just yet--
we still have plenty of winter to go, as well as the early spring.
Hang in there.

&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.
&&

$$


Aviation...51



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