Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FXUS64 KLZK 240001
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
701 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014

.AVIATION...

A STRONG LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVED THROUGH THIS
STATE THIS AFTERNOON. CURRENT CONDITIONS SHOW THE LINE OF
THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT KLLQ WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR. THE LEADING
EDGE OF THESE STORMS HAVE PRODUCED WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40-50KTS.

ACROSS THE NORTH CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY CLEAR THIS EVENING...WITH
CLEARING SPREADING SOUTH. SOME MODELS WERE SUGGESTING SOME LIGHT
PATCHY FOG MAY DEVELOP DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...HOWEVER WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN ELEVATED ENOUGH THAT DENSE FOG SHOULD NOT
BE AN ISSUE.




&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 228 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2014/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES OVER THE WESTERN U.S. WITH A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN U.S. THIS PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE SHORT TERM PERIOD.

A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD MOVE SLOWLY AND PRODUCE
HEAVY RAIN AND UP TO 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL. EXPECT PRECIPITATION
TO DIMINISH THIS EVENING.

DRIER AIR WILL BE USHERED INTO THE STATE BEHIND THE FRONT. NO RAIN
IS EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. A SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE
INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS LATE SATURDAY. THIS WILL BRING A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE NORTH. THURSDAY WILL BE A
BIT COOLER...THEN A WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS BRIEFLY.

LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SUNDAYS COLD FRONT IS LOOKING EVEN LESS IMPRESSIVE...QPF WISE...THAN
IT DID THIS TIME YESTERDAY AND LOWERED POPS ACCORDINGLY.
HOWEVER...NORTHWEST FLOW FOLLOWING FROPA WILL PROVIDE ANOTHER COOL
DOWN TO LINGER THROUGH THE FIRST FEW DAYS OF THE WORK WEEK. ADDED
SOME SLIGHT POPS TOWARDS THE END OF THE PERIOD AS THE UPPER LEVEL
PATTERN AMPLIFIES AND THE NEXT SYSTEM BUILDS OVER THE OK/TX
PANHANDLES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     66  85  60  90 /  30  10   0  10
CAMDEN AR         71  91  68  94 /  40  10   0  10
HARRISON AR       66  86  63  91 /  10  10   0  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    72  90  67  93 /  50  10   0  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  72  88  62  92 /  50  10   0  10
MONTICELLO AR     72  90  66  94 /  30  10   0  10
MOUNT IDA AR      70  90  66  93 /  40  10   0  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  66  87  61  91 /  20  10   0  10
NEWPORT AR        64  84  59  90 /  30  10   0  10
PINE BLUFF AR     72  85  64  93 /  40  10   0  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   72  91  66  92 /  30  10   0  10
SEARCY AR         71  85  62  91 /  40  10   0  10
STUTTGART AR      71  83  61  92 /  40  10   0  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...225





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