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000
FXUS64 KLZK 062139 AAA
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
340 PM CST THU MAR 6 2014

.AVIATION...

LOW CLOUDS/MVFR CEILINGS IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS WILL BREAK
UP OVERNIGHT...WITH VFR CONDITIONS IN MOST AREAS THIS EVENING.
SOME LOW CLOUDS/FOG WILL REDEVELOP OVERNIGHT...WITH SOME
MVFR/IFR VISIBILITIES AFTER MIDNIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY MORNING.
FOG WILL BE MOST PREVALENT IN THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE STATE.
FOG WILL DISSIPATE BY 15Z/16Z FRIDAY IN MOST AREAS...WITH VFR
CONDITIONS RETURNING.

WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE TONIGHT...AND LIGHT SOUTH
TO SOUTHEAST FRIDAY MORNING. (46)
&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT

CLOUDS HAVE FINALLY CLEARED ACROSS MOST OF THE STATE...WITH
TEMPERATURES REBOUNDING WELL INTO THE 40S AND 50S UNDER THE LATE
WINTER SUN. THE ONLY EXCEPTION IS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST...WHERE
MOISTURE IS STILL BEING WRAPPED AROUND THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM THAT
BROUGHT RAIN AND SOME SLEET TO CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS.

CLOUDS WILL SLOWLY EXIT TONIGHT. THERE WILL BE ENOUGH MOISTURE
IN PLACE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE STATE...ESPECIALLY
SOUTH AND EAST...FOR FOG TO DEVELOP AGAIN OVERNIGHT. AREAS DOWN
TOWARDS PINE BLUFF AND MONTICELLO COULD SEE AREAS OF DENSE FOG
DEVELOP BUT WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY HEADLINES AT THIS TIME.
ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND FREEZING...DO NOT THINK
FREEZING FOG WILL BECOME AN ISSUE.

OTHERWISE...A MUCH WARMER AND SUNNY DAY WILL BE NOTED ON FRIDAY.
RIDGING ALOFT AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN PLACE...WITH
SOUTHERLY FLOW BACK PLACE. WARMER AND MORE MOIST AIR WILL ADVECT
INTO THE REGION FROM THE GULF...WITH DEWPOINTS INCREASING. THIS
THE WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL DROP OUT OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND
PASS THROUGH ARKANSAS SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.
EXPECT WIDESPREAD SHOWERS TO DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT AS IT PUSHES
THROUGH. THE UPPER LEVEL WAVE WILL LAG BEHIND SLIGHTLY AND NOT
PROVIDE MUCH SUPPORT. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL BEHIND THE
FRONT...WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A RAIN/FREEZING RAIN MIX ACROSS
THE FAR NORTH. HOWEVER...WITH WILL BE NEAR THE TAIL END OF THE
EVENT AND NO ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED.

DRY WEATHER AND TEMPERATURE NEAR NORMAL WITH BE IN PLACE FOR THE
LAST DAY OF THE WEEKEND.
&&

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

IT LOOKS DRY ON MONDAY...BUT THEN IT WILL BECOME UNSETTLED. A
STORM SYSTEM ALOFT IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL ARRIVE AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT. MOISTURE LEVELS WILL COME UP ON
TUESDAY...WITH CLOUDS AND ISOLATED/SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE
FORECAST. A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT...AND
WILL INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS THROUGH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND THE
CENTRAL APPALACHIANS. THE SYSTEM WILL PULL THE FRONT THROUGH
THE REGION LATE TUESDAY/EARLY WEDNESDAY...WITH CHANCES FOR SHOWERS
CONTINUING. CANNOT RULE OUT A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AS THE FRONT
PASSES. ALSO...AS IT TURNS COLDER BEHIND THE FRONT...THERE
COULD BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION BEFORE THE
MOISTURE SHUTS OFF. TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL TO START THE
PERIOD...WITH BELOW NORMAL READINGS TOWARD THE END.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...224 / LONG TERM...46