836
FXUS64 KLZK 110509 AAA
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1209 AM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 245 PM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025

Latest objective surface analysis indicates MUCAPE values over
2000 j/kg across the forecast area, with values over 4000 centered
along the river valley. Despite the energy to support convection,
forcing for initiation is very weak and small scale in nature.
Only isolated cells were noted as of 19z. Any additional cells
that do form will dissipate by 01z.

Similar conditions are expected to develop on Friday, with
eastern sections favored for single cell development.

On Sunday, a weak cold front will approach the forecast area from
the north.  This feature is not expected to reach far into the
forecast area, However, the feature will be close enough to provide
adequate forcing to support convective development, especially
across northern sections.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through next Thursday)
Issued at 245 PM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025

Expect an upper level high to expand from the southern plains,
through the mid south to the mid Atlantic region during this
period. Very warm conditions are expected during this period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1207 AM CDT Fri Jul 11 2025

Generally VFR conditions expected through the period. S-SW winds
may increase through the middle of the day Friday at some
terminals with gusts above 15 kts possible. Afternoon isolated
showers/storms will be possible once again, but limited coverage
is expected.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     94  74  94  73 /  20  10  30  20
Camden AR         96  74  95  74 /  10   0  10  10
Harrison AR       92  72  89  70 /  10  10  50  40
Hot Springs AR    97  74  96  74 /  10   0  20  10
Little Rock   AR  94  75  95  75 /  20   0  20  10
Monticello AR     94  75  95  76 /  20  10  10  10
Mount Ida AR      94  73  94  73 /  10   0  20  20
Mountain Home AR  92  71  91  71 /  20  10  50  30
Newport AR        95  73  95  74 /  20   0  20  20
Pine Bluff AR     94  74  95  75 /  20  10  10  10
Russellville AR   95  73  94  74 /  10   0  20  20
Searcy AR         94  73  94  73 /  20   0  20  20
Stuttgart AR      94  75  94  75 /  20  10  10  10

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....55
AVIATION...67