Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 270855

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
355 AM CDT THU OCT 27 2016

.SHORT TERM...Today through Friday Night

Just a few SHRA/TSRA noted across ERN AR early this mrng...assocd
with upr trof situated along the MS RVR. Abundant low lvl moisture
still lingers acrs the FA...with a good bit of cloud cover and
patchy fog indcd. Hi-Res model data cont to indc that SHRA activity
wl be E of the area before plan to keep a dry fcst today.

Models rmn in good agreement today concerning overall fcst trends the
next few days. Upr rdg ovr the SWRN U.S. wl cont to bld EWD acrs the
Srn states...with a return to dry and unseasonably warm conds for
AR. High temps today wl range fm the mid 70s to lower 80s...and a
few degrees warmer on Fri. These readings are a good 5 to 10 degrees
abv normal for late Oct.

.Long Term...Saturday through Wednesday

Fairly quiet weather conditions expected through much of the long
term period for Arkansas with abnormally dry to drought like
conditions expected to persist or worsen in many areas. There is
some indication near the end of the extended period that a shift in
the overall weather pattern may occur and a more active and slightly
cooler period may begin.

Surface high pressure will be in place across much of the southeast
United States providing a decent swrly flow over the state and the
upper level pattern will be fairly stagnant over the southern United
States as an H500 ridge remains in place although slightly more
compact in nature. SWRLY flow near the surface and high pressure
aloft will provide dewpoints in the 50s and 60s and temperatures
some 5-15 degrees above normal.

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.


Short Term...44 / Long Term...226 is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.