Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 112054
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
254 PM CST Thu Jan 11 2018

.SHORT TERM...Tonight Through Saturday
A deep upper trough continues this afternoon in the Plains and is
barreling eastward. A very strong cold front is just entering
northwest Arkansas and snow is reported at Highfill, while Harrison
is sitting at 64 degrees. The cold air will move into areas rapidly
behind the cold front. Precipitation will start out as all rain then
once the cold air moves in, freezing rain and sleet will eventually
turn to snow in the north. Snow amounts will be less than an inch.
More concerning is the freezing rain and sleet in the northeast.
Models are now holding some moisture in later in the southeast, so
have included the wintry mix in the southeast and included a few
more counties in the Winter Weather Adivsory...Lonoke to Drew.
Strong northwest winds will be behind the cold front as well,
bringing wind speeds of 20 to 30 mph gusting to 40 mph in some
locations...and a Lake Wind Advisory is in effect for all of our
area from 00z until 18z Friday.

After highs in the 60s today, lows tonight will be in the
teens to lower 30s. Highs Friday will be in the 30s to lower 40s as
clouds clear out and sunshine returns. The upper trough will move
into central Tennessee by Friday afternoon and more clouds return
with a weak short wave Friday night and Saturday. Lows in the teens
and 20s are expected Friday night and highs Saturday will be in the
mid 20s to lower 40s.

&&

.LONG TERM...Saturday Night Through Thursday
The period will begin with dry but cold conditions as Arctic high
pressure builds over Arkansas from the upper Midwest. Well below
average temperatures are in the forecast this weekend.

The high will sag to the southeast early next week, and will be
promptly followed by a front and another Arctic high. Moisture will
be limited around the front, but did keep small chances of light
snow Monday night and early Tuesday. This should not amount to
much.

Dry/cold weather will return Wednesday and much of Thursday. As the
latter high settles over the southeast states, return flow will
start bringing moisture into the region Thursday night. This could
result in a light wintry mix.

Beyond the period, it looks mild toward next weekend with better
chances of rain.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     24  34  19  31 /  90  10  10  10
Camden AR         30  41  22  41 /  80  10   0   0
Harrison AR       17  31  15  27 /  30  10  10   0
Hot Springs AR    27  40  21  38 /  60  10   0   0
Little Rock   AR  29  38  21  36 /  90  10   0   0
Monticello AR     31  38  24  37 /  90  20   0   0
Mount Ida AR      24  38  21  37 /  40  10   0   0
Mountain Home AR  20  32  16  29 /  50  10  10  10
Newport AR        26  34  20  31 /  90  20  10  10
Pine Bluff AR     29  38  22  36 /  90  20   0   0
Russellville AR   24  38  18  35 /  50  10   0   0
Searcy AR         27  36  20  34 /  90  20  10   0
Stuttgart AR      28  37  22  35 /  90  20  10   0
&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Lake Wind Advisory from 6 PM this evening to noon CST Friday FOR
Arkansas-Baxter-Boone-Bradley-Calhoun-Clark-Cleburne-Cleveland-
Conway-Dallas-Desha-Drew-Faulkner-Fulton-Garland-Grant-Hot
Spring-Independence-Izard-Jackson-Jefferson-Johnson-Lincoln-
Logan-Lonoke-Marion-Monroe-Montgomery-Newton-Ouachita-Perry-Pike-
Polk-Pope-Prairie-Pulaski-Saline-Scott-Searcy-Sharp-Stone-Van
Buren-White-Woodruff-Yell.


Winter Weather Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 6 AM CST
Friday FOR Baxter-Boone-Cleburne-Fulton-Independence-Izard-
Jackson-Marion-Newton-Searcy-Sharp-Stone-Van Buren-White-
Woodruff.


Winter Weather Advisory from 3 AM to 9 AM CST Friday FOR
Arkansas-Desha-Drew-Jefferson-Lincoln-Lonoke-Monroe-Prairie.

&&

$$

Short Term...51 / Long Term...46



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