Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 231000
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
400 AM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL U.S. TODAY
WITH AN UPPER RIDGE OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST. THE UPPER LOW WILL
MOVE TO THE GREAT LAKES MONDAY. ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH WILL DEVELOP IN
THE PLAINS MONDAY NIGHT AND MOVE EAST TUESDAY. BY WEDNESDAY...THE
UPPER TROUGH WILL BE OVER THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY AND THE UPPER RIDGE
WILL BUILD OVER THE WEST COAST.

LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE SPREADING NORTH THROUGH ARKANSAS FROM
LOUISIANA THIS MORNING. THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE GULF OF MEXICO HAVE
KEPT A LOT OF MOISTURE FROM GETTING INTO ARKANSAS. THE RAIN SHOWERS
WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTH TODAY BUT WILL MAINLY BE OVER CENTRAL
AND EAST SECTIONS. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE STATE LATE
AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT AND BRING MUCH OF THE RAIN TO AN END. ONLY
INCLUDED ISOLATED THUNDER FOR THIS AFTERNOON. SMALL RAIN CHANCES
WILL ONLY BE IN THE NORTH TONIGHT ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW
PRESSURE.

MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WILL BE DRY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE THROUGH THE STATE WEDNESDAY...BUT WILL KEEP IT DRY AT THIS
POINT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR NORMAL MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTER BEING ABOVE NORMAL TODAY.

&&

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
THERE IS QUITE A DIFFERENCE IN THE MODELS THIS MORNING WITH REGARD
TO COOLING FROM THE NORTH. WHILE MODELS AGREE THAT CANADIAN HIGH
PRESSURE WILL WORK SLOWLY TOWARD ARKANSAS FROM THE PLAINS...THE
TIMING OF THE HIGH IS NOT IN SYNC. FOR NOW...WENT WITH A COLD FRONT
ARRIVAL THURSDAY. MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED WITH THE FRONT...SO
INCLUDED CLOUDS BUT NO PRECIPITATION. BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL
BE NOTED BEHIND THE FRONT. AS THE PERIOD PROGRESSES...THE HIGH WILL
SLIDE FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST TO THE OHIO VALLEY. AS THE HIGH HEADS
TO THE EAST...IT WILL WARM TO MORE NORMAL LEVELS AS NEXT WEEKEND
FINISHES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     62  40  53  32 /  80  30  10  10
CAMDEN AR         73  43  60  35 /  60  10  10  10
HARRISON AR       63  36  50  29 /  60  40  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    70  41  58  34 /  40  10  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  68  42  57  34 /  70  10  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     72  43  60  36 /  90  10  10  10
MOUNT IDA AR      70  40  57  33 /  40  10   0  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  62  38  50  29 /  70  40  10  10
NEWPORT AR        63  41  54  32 /  80  30  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     70  43  59  35 /  80  10  10  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   66  39  54  32 /  40  10  10  10
SEARCY AR         65  41  56  32 /  70  20  10  10
STUTTGART AR      67  42  58  34 /  80  10  10  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...51 / LONG TERM...46





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