Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 312246 AAA
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
546 PM CDT MON AUG 31 2015

.AVIATION...
THERE WILL BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR FOG OR HAZE EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL. WINDS WILL BE
LIGHT AND VARIABLE TONIGHT...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 6 KNOTS OR LESS
AFTER SUNRISE. LEFTOVER MESOSCALE BOUNDARIES WILL BE THE FOCUSING
MECHANISM TO TRIGGER ANY CONVECTION DURING THE DAY TUESDAY...
HOWEVER THE LIKELIHOOD OF ANY REACHING A TERMINAL SITE IS LOW...
THUS WILL NOT INCLUDE ANY TSRA/VCTS/VCSH/RA IN THE FORECAST AT
THIS TIME.

NOTE TO USERS OF THE HRO TAF...COMMUNICATIONS ISSUES CONTINUE AT
THE SITE. UNTIL THESE ARE RESOLVED...THERE WILL BE NO SCHEDULED
AMENDMENTS TO THE FORECAST.

TAFS OUT AT 2320Z.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 255 PM CDT MON AUG 31 2015/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT
AN UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES OVER THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. MODELS
INDICATE THIS BECOMES A CUTOFF LOW NEAR THE GULF COAST
WEDNESDAY...WITH AN UPPER HIGH OVER THE FLORIDA COAST. THE
INVERTED TROUGH BUILDS OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. THURSDAY.

MOISTURE IS VERY LIMITED WITH THIS LOW THROUGH THE PERIOD. AFTER
BEING DRY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN FOR WEDNESDAY AS A SHORTWAVE ROTATES
AROUND THE LOW...WITH ADDITIONAL MOISTURE. WILL ALSO KEEP THE
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR THURSDAY. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD IN THE 90S.

LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS SET TO STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE
AREA DURING THE EXTENDED TERM...BRINGING A RETURN TO PREDOMINANTLY
DRY WEATHER AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. RAIN CHANCES NOT LOOKING
TOO LIKELY UNTIL PERHAPS MONDAY AT THE EARLIEST...WHERE I HAVE PUT
IN SOME SLIGHT CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...57


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