Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FXUS64 KLZK 220855
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
355 AM CDT WED OCT 22 2014

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT

A WEAK CDFNT BISECTED THE FA THIS MRNG FM NW TO SE AR. THE BNDRY WAS
DEFINED PRIMARILY BY DEWPOINT TEMPS...WITH READINGS IN THE 40S ACRS
THE NERN HALF OF THE FA AND IN THE 50S ELSEWHERE. PATCHY FOG WAS
NOTED ACRS PARTS OF WRN AND N-CNTRL AR EARLY THIS MRNG. PLAN TO CONT
A MENTION OF PTCHY FOG INTO THE MID MRNG HRS FOR AREAS TO THE W OF
THE FNT. EARLY MRNG TEMPS RANGED FM THE MID 40S TO THE MID 50S.

THE ASSOCD SFC RDG IS PROGGED TO PERSIST OVR THE MID SOUTH THRU THE
FCST PD. A WEAK UPR TROF WL APCH FM THE PLAINS STATES LATE TNGT INTO
THU...BRINGING SMALL CHCS OF RAIN TO MAINLY NWRN PARTS OF THE FA.
THE SYS WL CONT TO WEAKEN AS IS APCHS THE AREA AS IT ENCOUNTERS A
DRIER AIRMASS.

HIGHS TODAY WL BE CLOSE TO SEASONAL NORMS. ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER WL
RESULT IN COOLER READINGS ON THU. BY FRI AND SAT...THE MERCURY WL
RETURN TO UNSEASONABLY WARM LVLS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR AS HIGH PRES
ALOFT STRENGTHENS OVR THE MID SOUTH. STILL LOOKING AT AFTN HIGHS AS
MUCH AS 10 DEGREES ABV NORMAL BY SAT IN MANY AREAS.
&&

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

AN UPPER RIDGE WILL BE OVER THE MIDDLE OF THE U.S. TO BEGIN THE LONG
TERM PERIOD. AN UPPER LOW WILL BE OVER THE NORTHEAST U.S. AND AN
UPPER TROUGH WILL BE MOVING ONTO THE WEST COAST. BY MONDAY...THE
RIDGE MOVES TO THE EAST COAST AND THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE WEST
WILL MOVE INTO THE ROCKIES. THIS UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE
PLAINS EARLY TUESDAY AND THEN INTO THE GREAT LAKES BY LATE TUESDAY.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER ARKANSAS SUNDAY WITH DRY WEATHER.
A COLD FRONT WILL BE APPROACHING FROM THE PLAINS ON MONDAY AND
MOVING THROUGH THE STATE TUESDAY. THIS WILL BRING A SMALL CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY...ENDING IN THE SOUTHEAST TUESDAY NIGHT. THE FRONT SHOULD
MOVE OUT OF THE STATE TUESDAY EVENING.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...44 / LONG TERM...51







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