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000
FXUS64 KLZK 282353
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
553 PM CST SAT FEB 28 2015

.AVIATION...
AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BRING WINTER
PRECIPITATION TO KHRO AND KBPK BEFORE ENDING. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE
SOUTH TONIGHT AND SUNDAY BUT TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARM ENOUGH FOR
JUST RAIN. WIDESPREAD MVFR TO OCCASIONAL IFR CONDITIONS WILL
PERSIST ACROSS THE NORTH WITH CONDITIONS DETERIORATING ELSEWHERE
WITH TIME AS MOISTURE REMAINS PREVALENT. LIGHT EAST TO NORTHEAST
WINDS WILL PREVAIL.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 342 PM CST SAT FEB 28 2015/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT

SNOW IS CHANGING OVER TO SLEET ACROSS THE NORTH...AND AS WARMER AIR
MOVES IN ALOFT...PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE OVER TO FREEZING
RAIN/FREEZING DRIZZLE. HAVE CONTINUED WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...AS TRAVEL WILL BE IMPACTED.
HOWEVER...AMOUNTS WILL BE GENERALLY LIGHT. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED
TO DECREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT...BUT ENOUGH OF A FREEZING DRIZZLE
POTENTIAL TO KEEP ADVISORY GOING THROUGH SUNRISE.

FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY...WITH RAIN CHANCES IN THE
FORECAST. THE FRONT WILL STALL OUT ACROSS SOUTHERN ARKANSAS AND THEN
MOVE BACK TO THE NORTH AS A WARM FRONT MONDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT. SOUTH
WINDS WILL BRING WARM TEMPERATURES BACK TO THE REGION...WITH
READINGS NEAR 70 ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST.

AS COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP WITH THE CLASH OF WARM AIR. TUESDAY NIGHT...MUCH COOLER AIR
WILL ARRIVE...LEADING TO ANOTHER CHANCE OF WINTER PRECIPITATION.
WINTER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EXTENDED.

LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE EXTENDED PERIOD DOES NOT LOOK LIKE SPRING AT ALL. DATA IS
SHOWING A STRONG COLD FRONT PLOWING THROUGH THE REGION FROM THE
NORTH ON WEDNESDAY...WITH MUCH COLDER AIR TO FOLLOW. DATA IS ALSO
INDICATING THAT THIS WILL BE AN ANAFRONT...WITH MOISTURE BEHIND THIS
SHALLOW BOUNDARY. GIVEN THIS...HAVE WINTRY PRECIPITATION FOLLOWING
THE FRONT AS TEMPERATURES DROP.

PRECIPITATION SHOULD COME TO AN END WEDNESDAY EVENING. ARCTIC HIGH
PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW...AND WILL PROVIDE DRY WEATHER AND MUCH BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES INITIALLY. READINGS WILL MODIFY TOWARD NEXT
WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     31  43  33  42 /  50  50  40  30
CAMDEN AR         37  50  40  44 /  30  70  70  70
HARRISON AR       27  40  28  41 /  70  50  30  20
HOT SPRINGS AR    35  45  37  42 /  50  60  60  60
LITTLE ROCK   AR  34  44  37  42 /  40  60  60  50
MONTICELLO AR     38  52  41  45 /  20  70  80  70
MOUNT IDA AR      32  45  36  42 /  60  60  60  50
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  29  41  28  42 /  70  50  30  20
NEWPORT AR        32  43  34  43 /  50  60  50  40
PINE BLUFF AR     36  48  38  43 /  30  70  70  70
RUSSELLVILLE AR   31  44  36  43 /  60  50  50  40
SEARCY AR         33  44  35  42 /  50  60  60  50
STUTTGART AR      34  45  37  42 /  30  70  70  60
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY FOR BAXTER-BOONE-
FULTON-IZARD-JOHNSON-MARION-NEWTON-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE.

&&

$$


AVIATION...56