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000
FXUS64 KLZK 221944
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
244 PM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017

.SHORT TERM...Tonight Through Saturday
Forecast philosophy remains constant during this period. Latest
satellite, radar, and surface data indicate the center of the
remnants of Tropical Storm Cindy is just south of Shreveport. This
system will make a turn to the northeast early the forecast
period.

Overall moisture, which is quite anomalously high, associated with
this system will be available to support efficient rainfall
producing convection overnight and on Friday. Forecasts have been
refined to indicate the expected timing and locations of the heavy
rainfall.

The potential for excessive rainfall should be move east of the
forecast area by Friday evening.

&&

.LONG TERM...Saturday Night Through Wednesday
A much quieter wx pattern wl be noted over AR for much of the PD.
The aforementioned cold front wl have shifted to the S of the area
by Sat night, with drier air advecting into the state. Sfc high
pres wl persist over the Mid-South heading into the early part of
the work week. NWLY flow aloft is fcst to bring an impulse or two
SEWD thru the area. However, moisture lvls are not all that
impressive at this point, so left out any mention of precip.

By the middle of next week, the sfc high wl have shifted far enough
to the E to allow S/SELY winds to return. This wl result in warm and
more humid conds, with just an outside chance of a stray shower or
storm. But again, most locations wl remain dry.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     72  82  64  85 /  70  70  50  10
Camden AR         74  84  70  83 /  80  80  70  40
Harrison AR       69  83  60  83 /  40  50  30  10
Hot Springs AR    74  85  69  84 /  70  70  60  20
Little Rock   AR  74  85  69  84 /  80  80  60  20
Monticello AR     74  82  71  82 /  90  90  70  40
Mount Ida AR      72  85  66  84 /  60  60  50  20
Mountain Home AR  70  83  61  83 /  50  50  40  10
Newport AR        73  82  66  84 /  80  80  50  10
Pine Bluff AR     74  82  70  83 /  90  80  70  30
Russellville AR   74  86  67  86 /  60  60  40  10
Searcy AR         74  83  67  84 /  80  80  60  10
Stuttgart AR      74  82  69  84 /  80  80  60  20
&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Flash Flood Watch from 7 PM CDT this evening through Friday
afternoon FOR Arkansas-Bradley-Calhoun-Cleveland-Dallas-Desha-
Drew-Grant-Jefferson-Lincoln-Lonoke-Monroe-Ouachita-Prairie-
Woodruff.

&&

$$

Short Term...55 / Long Term...44