Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FXUS64 KLZK 291143
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
643 AM CDT MON JUN 29 2015

.AVIATION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE ACROSS CENTRAL ARKANSAS THIS MORNING. EXPECT
MUCH OF THIS TO DISSIPATE BY MID MORNING...THEN REDEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON ALONG THE ASSOCIATED WEAK COLD FRONT. EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MVFR CONDITIONS WILL
BE POSSIBLE IN STORMS...OTHERWISE EXPECT VFR.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 350 AM CDT MON JUN 29 2015/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT

SFC LOW PRES WAS CENTERED OVR SRN IL EARLY THIS MRNG...WITH A WEAK
FNTL BNDRY EXTENDING BACK INTO SWRN MO. A FEW SHRA/TSRA WERE NOTED
ACRS NRN AR DURG THE OVERNIGHT HRS. THE FNTL BNDRY WL EVENTUALLY
DROP SWD INTO AR TODAY BEFORE STALLING OUT. WDLY SCT CONVECTION WL
BE POSSIBLE MAINLY THIS AFTN ALONG AND S OF THE BNDRY.

FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE SHORT TERM...A PERSISTENT NWLY FLOW ALOFT
WL BRING A SERIES OF UPR IMPULSES SEWD THRU THE REGION. THESE
FEATURES WL INTERACT WITH ABUNDANT LOW LVL MOISTURE TO PRODUCE
SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SCTD CONVECTION ACRS THE FA. WHILE MOST OF THE
ACTIVITY WL BE PRIMARILY DIURNAL...THE POTENTIAL WL EXIST FOR MCS
FORMATION UPSTREAM THAT COULD IMPACT PARTS OF AR. AS A RESULT...KEPT
POPS MAINLY IN CHC CAT FOR MOST AREAS. TEMPS WL RMN NEAR SEASONAL
NORMS.

LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BE OVER THE WEST COAST TO BEGIN THE LONG
TERM PERIOD. NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BE OVER THE PLAINS FRIDAY...BUT AN
UPPER HIGH WILL BUILD OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THIS WILL FLATTEN
THE FLOW OVER ARKANSAS SATURDAY...AND THEN THE HIGH WILL BUILD
FURTHER NORTH OVER ARKANSAS SUNDAY.

A WEAK FRONT WILL STALL OVER ARKANSAS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. SEVERAL
DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ALONG THE FRONT AND BRING CHANCES OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. THE FRONT SHOULD MOVE BACK TO
THE NORTH SUNDAY AND RAIN CHANCES WILL DIMINISH. BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     90  68  91  72 /  10  20  30  30
CAMDEN AR         93  70  91  73 /  20  30  40  20
HARRISON AR       89  65  89  71 /  10  10  20  20
HOT SPRINGS AR    93  71  91  74 /  20  30  30  20
LITTLE ROCK   AR  93  72  93  74 /  20  30  30  20
MONTICELLO AR     92  73  91  74 /  20  30  40  20
MOUNT IDA AR      91  70  90  73 /  20  30  30  20
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  90  65  90  71 /  10  10  20  30
NEWPORT AR        90  69  91  73 /  20  20  30  30
PINE BLUFF AR     92  72  91  73 /  20  30  40  20
RUSSELLVILLE AR   92  69  92  73 /  20  30  30  20
SEARCY AR         91  70  92  72 /  20  30  30  30
STUTTGART AR      91  70  91  73 /  20  30  30  20
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...51




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