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000
FXUS64 KLZK 250806
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
206 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2015

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A COLD FRONT AND UPPER SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE STATE
TODAY...BRINGING INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND SOME PRECIP CHANCES TO
THE CWA. REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY SHOWING RETURNS AHEAD OF THE FRONT
ACROSS NERN OK AND NWRN AR...BUT MUCH...IF ALL OF THIS ACTIVITY IS
NOT REACHING THE GROUND AT THIS TIME DUE TO THE SIGNIFICANT DEWPT
DEPRESSIONS NEAR THE SFC. EVEN SO...DO THINK OVER TIME THAT ENOUGH
LIFT WILL DEVELOP OVER NRN PORTIONS OF THE STATE LATER THIS MORNING
INTO THE AFTERNOON HRS TO SEE SOME LIGHT RAIN OR SPRINKLES AS THE
FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL ENERGY MOVE OVER THE STATE. HAVE SLIGHT CHANCE
POPS AS FAR SOUTH AS CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE STATE...WITH LOW END
CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE NRN AND NERN COUNTIES. ANY RAINFALL AMOUNTS
SHOULD BE LIGHT.

BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL BE SEEN MOST OF THE DAY...THOUGH THE
STRONGEST AND MORE WIDESPREAD WINDS WILL COME WITH THE FROPA LATE
THIS MORNING AND MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECT WINDS TO SWITCH TO
THE WEST AND NW BEHIND THE FRONT...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 TO 25
MPH EXPECTED...AND GUSTS OVER 30 MPH POSSIBLE. WINDS WILL BE
LIGHTEST ACROSS THE FAR SOUTH AND SE...BUT SHOULD STILL BE FAIRLY
BREEZY. AS A RESULT...WILL POST A LAKE WIND ADV EFFECTIVE FROM 16Z
THIS MORNING THROUGH 03Z MON FOR ALL COUNTIES.

FOR THIS SUN NIGHT...MOST OF THE MOISTURE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE
STATE...BUT THERE COULD BE ENOUGH MOISTURE REMAINING TO SQUEEZE OUT
SOME SPRINKLES ACROSS THE NERN COUNTIES UNDER THE UPPER SHORTWAVE.
SOME FLURRIES MAY EVEN BE SEEN ACROSS THE FAR NRN AND NERN COUNTIES
AS TEMPS COOL OVERNIGHT.

FOR THE REST OF THE SHORT TERM PERIOD...DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
AND TEMPS WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL AS NW UPPER FLOW SHIFTS EAST AND AN
UPPER RIDGE SHIFTS EAST OVER THE REGION.

&&

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CLEAR THE AREA DURING THE DAY THURSDAY...WITH
COOLER AIR MOVING IN BEHIND IT. AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP
TO THE SOUTHWEST OF ARKANSAS BY FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE
EAST...WITH MOISTURE INCREASING...AND PRECIPITATION CHANCES
RETURNING TO THE FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     54  32  55  39 /  30  10   0   0
CAMDEN AR         65  37  60  40 /  10   0   0   0
HARRISON AR       49  30  56  37 /  30  10   0   0
HOT SPRINGS AR    58  35  59  40 /  10   0   0   0
LITTLE ROCK   AR  59  35  58  40 /  20  10   0   0
MONTICELLO AR     63  37  56  41 /  10   0   0   0
MOUNT IDA AR      57  34  61  40 /  10   0   0   0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  50  31  54  37 /  30  10   0   0
NEWPORT AR        56  32  53  37 /  30  10   0   0
PINE BLUFF AR     61  35  56  39 /  10   0   0   0
RUSSELLVILLE AR   56  33  58  36 /  20  10   0   0
SEARCY AR         57  33  55  37 /  30  10   0   0
STUTTGART AR      59  34  55  37 /  20  10   0   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM CST THIS
EVENING FOR ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-
CLEVELAND-CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-
HOT SPRING-INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-
LOGAN-LONOKE-MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-
POLK-POPE-PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN
BUREN-WHITE-WOODRUFF-YELL.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...62 / LONG TERM...57