Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FXUS64 KLZK 292308
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
608 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2014

.AVIATION...
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES ACROSS THE AREA. MAINLY CLEAR SKIES ARE
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. PATCHY FOG WILL DEVELOP TOWARDS MORNING. DENSE
FOG IS POSSIBLE IN THE NORTH WITH LIFR CONDITONS. VFR CONDITIONS
WILL DOMINATE THE PERIOD HOWEVER. SCATTERED CUMULUS WILL DEVELOP
ON TUESDAY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 232 PM CDT MON SEP 29 2014/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT
OBSERVATIONAL DATA INDICATE SCATTERED CU ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST
AREA.  ALSO...TEMPERATURES ARE ABOUT THREE CATEGORIES ABOVE NORMAL
THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE REST OF THIS PERIOD
WILL CONTINUE TO BE ABOVE NORMAL.

FORECASTS CONTINUE TO INDICATE A STRONG CONVECTIVE EVENT... TO
AFFECT THE FORECAST AREA DURING THE LATE THURSDAY/THURSDAY NIGHT
PERIOD. AT THIS TIME...A STRONG WIND PRODUCING...LINEAR MCS APPEARS
TO BE THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO TO OCCUR. LATER FORECASTS WILL BETTER
ABLE TO REFINE CONVECTIVE MODES AND TIMING. THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE A
QUICK MOVER...LIMITING OVERALL RAINFALL AMOUNTS.

LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY
LEFT ONLY SLIGHT CHC OF RAIN ON FRIDAY MORNING ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST
PORTION OF THE FA AS THE FRONT SHOULD BE WELL TO THE EAST WITH
PRECIP TAPERING OFF BY MIDDAY. NORTHWEST FLOW WILL PROVIDE SOME
DRIER AND COOLER CONDITIONS TO SET IN FOR THE WEEKEND...WITH TEMPS
TOPPING OUT IN THE 70S SATURDAY. SUNDAY AND MONDAY TEMPS WILL CREEP
BACK UP TO SEASONAL NORMALS AS THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN FLATTENS OUT.
NO PRECIP TO NOTE AFTER FRIDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     58  87  60  88 /   0   0  10  10
CAMDEN AR         61  89  64  90 /   0   0  10  10
HARRISON AR       58  84  58  87 /   0   0  10  20
HOT SPRINGS AR    60  87  63  89 /   0   0  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  60  88  64  89 /   0   0  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     62  90  66  91 /   0   0  10  10
MOUNT IDA AR      59  86  62  88 /   0   0  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  57  86  58  87 /   0   0  10  20
NEWPORT AR        57  87  60  88 /   0   0  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     60  88  65  90 /   0   0  10  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   59  87  62  88 /   0   0  10  10
SEARCY AR         58  87  61  89 /   0   0  10  10
STUTTGART AR      58  88  64  89 /   0   0  10  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...51





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