Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 291136
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
536 AM CST THU JAN 29 2015

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION FROM THE NORTH TODAY.
OUTSIDE OF AN ISOLATED SHOWER...NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED AHEAD
OF THE FRONT. BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT. IT
WILL TURN COOLER IN THE NORTH...WITH MILD CONDITIONS CONTINUING
IN THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN COUNTIES. THIS WILL NOT LAST.

A RETURN TO MORE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE NOTED ON FRIDAY
WITH A LARGE AREA OF CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER ARKANSAS.
THE HIGH WILL NOT STAY LONG...AND WILL WOBBLE TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST
UNITED STATES. FROM HERE...THE PATTERN BECOMES UNSETTLED.

A SPLIT FLOW WILL BE FEATURED THIS WEEKEND...WITH THE SUBTROPICAL
JET BRINGING A STORM SYSTEM AND THE POLAR JET PROVIDING A SHOT OF
COLDER AIR. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE SATURDAY AS THE STORM SYSTEM
APPROACHES...AND RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT.
ON SUNDAY...WHILE MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE DECLINE...THERE WILL BE
CHANCES FOR LIGHT SNOW IN ABOUT THE NORTHERN TWO ROWS OF COUNTIES.
FLAKES WILL BECOME POSSIBLE AS A COLDER AIRMASS HEADS THIS WAY
FROM THE PLAINS.

AT THIS POINT...ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE ON THE ORDER OF A DUSTING...
WITH THE MAIN SNOW BAND FROM CENTRAL MISSOURI THROUGH THE OHIO
VALLEY TO PENNSYLVANIA AND WEST VIRGINIA.

THIS WILL NOT BE A BIG PRECIPITATION MAKER. MOST QPF IS BETWEEN
A QUARTER AND HALF AN INCH.

PRECIPITATION WILL WIND DOWN SUNDAY EVENING...WITH BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AS THE EXTENDED PERIOD BEGINS.
&&

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER THE MIDDLE PART OF THE COUNTRY TO
BEGIN THE LONG TERM PERIOD. THIS NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD WITH HIGH PRESSURE REMAINING OVER THE
SOUTHWEST U.S. AND AN UPPER LOW REMAINS OVER THE NORTHEAST.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE AREA MONDAY WITH DRY WEATHER. THIS
HIGH WILL MOVE EAST ON TUESDAY...AND A SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE STATE WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BRING
A SMALL CHANCE OF RAIN AND SOME LIGHT SNOW IN THE NORTH AND CENTRAL
SECTIONS. THE BEST CHANCE OF SNOW WILL BE WEDNESDAY MORNING. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL FILTER INTO ARKANSAS WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE WELL BELOW NORMAL MONDAY...BUT A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     56  29  47  32 /   0   0   0   0
CAMDEN AR         65  35  54  36 /  10   0   0  10
HARRISON AR       51  26  48  33 /   0   0   0  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    61  32  53  35 /   0   0   0  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  61  32  51  34 /   0   0   0  10
MONTICELLO AR     66  35  53  35 /  10   0   0  10
MOUNT IDA AR      60  31  53  34 /   0   0   0  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  51  27  47  32 /   0   0   0  10
NEWPORT AR        57  29  47  32 /  10   0   0   0
PINE BLUFF AR     64  34  52  34 /  10   0   0  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   57  29  51  34 /   0   0   0  10
SEARCY AR         59  29  50  31 /   0   0   0   0
STUTTGART AR      63  32  51  33 /  10   0   0   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...46 / LONG TERM...51




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