Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FXUS64 KLZK 242344
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
644 PM CDT THU JUL 24 2014

.AVIATION...

ALREADY SEEING DEW POINTS IN THE 50S ACROSS NORTHEAST
ARKANSAS...AND DRY AIR WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH TO THE SOUTHWEST.
THIS WILL ALLOW FOR SKIES TO CLEAR TONIGHT. NOT COMPLETELY
CONFIDENT THAT DRY AIR WILL MAKE IT ALL WAY WAY INTO WEST CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...AND AS A RESULT INCLUDED SOME LIGHT FOG AT KHOT AND
KADF. OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF CYCLE.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 234 PM CDT THU JUL 24 2014/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT CONTINUES OVER THE WESTERN U.S. WITH A TROUGH
OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN U.S. THIS PATTERN WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH SATURDAY. AN UPPER LOW MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN U.S. SATURDAY
NIGHT FLATTENING THE RIDGE AND DEEPENING THE TROUGH OVER THE EAST.

THE COLD FRONT THAT PASSED THROUGH ARKANSAS WEDNESDAY WILL MOVE BACK
TO THE NORTH ON FRIDAY AS A WARM FRONT. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED
WITH THE FRONT HOWEVER. WARMER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY...AS HIGH PRESSURE TAKES CONTROL AND SOUTHEAST AND
SOUTH WINDS RETURN. ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE PLAINS FRIDAY
AND THIS WILL MOVE INTO NORTH ARKANSAS SUNDAY. WILL INCLUDE A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH THIS FRONT SUNDAY.

LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
FRONT WILL BE MOVING INTO SOUTHERN ARKANSAS AT THE BEGINNING OF THE
PERIOD...WITH SHOWERS/STORMS POSSIBLE. COOLER AIR WILL MOVE IN
BEHIND THE FRONT...AS IT STALLS NEAR OR JUST SOUTH OF THE LOUISIANA
BORDER.

IN FACT...NEAR RECORD LOWS WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT/TUESDAY
MORNING...AND AGAIN TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY MORNING...AS READINGS
FALL INTO THE 50S AND 60S. YES...YOU HEARD ME...50S AND 60S.

HIGHS INTO THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD WILL LIKELY ONLY REACH THE
UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S.

BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL FORM ALONG THE
STALLED FRONT TO THE WEST OF THE REGION. WHILE IT MAY NOT MOVE THE
SURFACE BOUNDARY MUCH...IT SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO PUSH ENOUGH MOISTURE
INTO THE REGION AND INTERACT WITH AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM AND BRING
SHOWERS/STORMS TO THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     60  90  68  93 /   0   0   0  10
CAMDEN AR         65  94  70  96 /   0   0   0  10
HARRISON AR       62  91  69  94 /   0   0   0  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    66  92  70  95 /   0   0   0  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  64  91  69  95 /   0   0   0  10
MONTICELLO AR     64  92  69  95 /   0   0   0  10
MOUNT IDA AR      63  93  69  96 /   0   0   0  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  62  90  68  94 /   0   0   0  10
NEWPORT AR        60  89  68  93 /   0   0   0  10
PINE BLUFF AR     64  91  69  94 /   0   0   0  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   64  92  69  95 /   0   0   0  10
SEARCY AR         58  90  68  93 /   0   0   0  10
STUTTGART AR      63  90  69  93 /   0   0   0  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...225





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