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000
FXUS64 KLZK 260919
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
319 AM CST THU FEB 26 2015

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT
FRONTAL BOUNDARY CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WINDS HAVE BEEN LIGHT...WITH FREEZING FOG IN
MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTH. WILL CONTINUE THE FREEZING FOG
ADVISORY...AND EXPIRE IT AT 9 AM. THE FOG SHOULD SCATTER OUT AFTER
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.

THERE ISN/T MUCH MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT...BUT THERE
SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE FLURRIES BEHIND IT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
MOVE THROUGH BEHIND THE FRONT...REINFORCING COLD AIR ALREADY IN
PLACE. LOWS TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE SINGLE DIGITS IN THE
NORTHWEST TO LOWER 20S IN THE SOUTHEAST. WITH CLOUD COVER AND
NORTHEAST WINDS...MOST AREAS WILL STAY BELOW FREEZING ON FRIDAY.

THE HIGH WILL MOVE EAST ON SATURDAY...WITH TEMPERATURES GRADUALLY
WARMING. MOISTURE WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF ANOTHER APPROACHING
SYSTEM ON SATURDAY NIGHT. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL INCREASE...
WITH SOME MIXED WINTRY PRECIP COMING INTO PLAY OVER THE NORTH AND
CENTRAL.

SUNDAY WILL BE THE WARMEST DAY...WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE
40S AS A FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH AND STALL OUT.
&&

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
LONG TERM BEGINS WITH A COLD FRONT HAVING ALREADY PUSHED THROUGH THE
STATE AND STALLING ACROSS ARKANSAS LOUISIANA BORDER WITH
PRECIPITATION ONGOING. THE FRONT WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY ON
MONDAY BEFORE LIFTING BACK TO THE NORTH ON TUESDAY AS A WARM FRONT.
WITH THE FRONT REMAINING IN THE VICINITY OF THE STATE THROUGH THE
LONG TERM. A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL IMPULSES WILL TRACK ALONG THIS
FRONT...ALLOWING FOR INCREASED PRECIPITATION CHANCES THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEEN ON TUESDAY AS MODELS AGREE
THAT SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK TO THE NW OF THE STATE. COLD
FRONT WILL MAKE ITS WAY THROUGH THE STATE LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH A SECONDARY FRONT PUSHING THROUGH THE STATE
LATE WEDNESDAY. THERE WILL EXIST SOME SMALL CHANCES FOR WINTRY
WEATHER BEHIND THIS FRONT AS THE UPPER TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH THE
REGION.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     35  14  27  14 /  10  10  10  10
CAMDEN AR         40  22  33  24 /  10  10  10  10
HARRISON AR       29   8  24  12 /  10  10  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    39  19  30  20 /  10  10  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  39  18  30  19 /  10  10  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     39  21  32  22 /  10  10  10  10
MOUNT IDA AR      37  17  30  19 /  10  10  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  30  10  26  13 /  10  10  10  10
NEWPORT AR        36  15  26  15 /  10  10  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     37  20  30  22 /  10  10  10  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   37  17  31  17 /  10  10  10  10
SEARCY AR         37  16  28  15 /  10  10  10  10
STUTTGART AR      38  19  29  20 /  10  10  10  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FREEZING FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR ARKANSAS-
BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEVELAND-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-GARLAND-GRANT-
HOT SPRING-JEFFERSON-LINCOLN-LONOKE-MONROE-OUACHITA-PIKE-PRAIRIE-
PULASKI-SALINE.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...57 / LONG TERM...65