Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
050
FXUS64 KLZK 050538
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1138 PM CST THU FEB 4 2016

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDS WL CONT THRU THE PD. SOME HIGH CLOUDS WL SPREAD EWD ACRS
THE AREA. LGT AND VARIABLE WINDS WL BCM LGT S/SW FRI AFTN AT LESS
THAN 5 KTS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 610 PM CST THU FEB 4 2016/

AVIATION...05/00Z TAF CYCLE

VFR CONDS WL PREVAIL THRU THE FCST PD. /44/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 242 PM CST THU FEB 4 2016/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALLOW FOR A CLEAR SKY AND LIGHT WINDS
TONIGHT...WITH LOWS FALLING INTO THE 20S IN MUCH OF THE AREA.
FRIDAY WILL BE FAIRLY SIMILAR TO TODAY...PLUS A DEGREE OR TWO.
BIGGEST ISSUE ON FRIDAY WILL BE LOW HUMIDITIES IN MUCH OF THE
REGION...WHICH WILL KEEP WILDFIRE DANGER ENHANCED OVER THE REGION.

WEAKENING UPPER SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON SATURDAY...
BRINGING SMALL PRECIP CHANCES TO THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE
FORECAST AREA. THERE COULD BE A BRIEF WINTRY MIX...BUT NO
SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

LONG TERM...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
BEGINNING THE LONG TERM FORECAST...A WEAK RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER
ARKANSAS AND INTO THE GREAT LAKES. ALSO A TROUGH WILL BE IN THE
NORTHERN PLAINS AND A LARGE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE
WEST COAST. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL STRENGTHEN AND MOVE THROUGH THE
PLAINS INTO THE MIDWEST BY SUNDAY NIGHT. THE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY TUESDAY AND
THROUGH NEW ENGLAND TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE RIDGE IN
THE WEST WILL EXPAND AND BE OVER MUCH OF THE WESTERN U.S. WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY.

HIGH PRESSURE AND DRY WEATHER WILL BE OVER ARKANSAS TO BEGIN THE
PERIOD. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH ARKANSAS SUNDAY NIGHT.
EXPECT MOISTURE TO WRAP AROUND THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE MID
WEST AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW TO THE NORTH MONDAY
MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR FREEZING SO EXPECT THIS TO
CHANGE TO RAIN AS TEMPERATURES WARM DURING THE MORNING. THE RAIN
WILL THEN END IN THE NORTHEAST MONDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BE OVER OR JUST WEST OF ARKANSAS TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING COLD AIR OUT OF CANADA
INTO ARKANSAS. BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED MONDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES SUNDAY AND
THURSDAY.

FIRE WEATHER...
ONE MORE DAY OF LOW HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY...WITH MINIMUMS
IN THE 20TH PERCENTILE OR LESS. WINDS...HOWEVER...ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS.

HUMIDITY WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE LATE FRIDAY...AS WEAK SOUTHERLY
FLOW SETS UP. THROUGH THE PERIOD...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     28  53  33  54 /   0   0  10  10
CAMDEN AR         26  56  32  55 /   0   0  10  20
HARRISON AR       27  52  32  51 /   0   0  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    26  55  32  54 /   0   0  10  20
LITTLE ROCK   AR  29  54  32  54 /   0   0  10  20
MONTICELLO AR     29  54  33  54 /   0   0  10  20
MOUNT IDA AR      23  54  30  54 /   0   0  20  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  27  53  32  52 /   0   0  10  10
NEWPORT AR        28  52  32  53 /   0   0  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     29  53  32  53 /   0   0  10  20
RUSSELLVILLE AR   25  55  30  54 /   0   0  10  10
SEARCY AR         26  53  30  53 /   0   0  10  10
STUTTGART AR      29  52  32  53 /   0   0  10  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...56



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.