Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 180526 AAB

Area Forecast Discussion...Updated
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1230 AM CDT Wed Oct 18 2017


Mostly VFR flight conditions will be seen over the next 24 hours.
Patchy MVFR conditions with fog may form near bodies of water early
Wednesday. Winds will be light and variable to light southeast
Tuesday night. Winds on Wednesday will be southeast at 5 to 10 mph
except some gusts over northwest AR to 15 to near 20 mph. Winds will
lower again after sunset Wednesday. (59)


.SHORT TERM...Tonight Through Thursday
A ridge of surface high pressure, extending from east Texas to
the mid Atlantic region, will remain in place during this period.
A short wavelength mid level ridge will increase in amplitude over
the mid south during this period as well. These features will
promote continued dry conditions in the short term.

Below normal temperatures are expected again tonight. An overall
warming trend is expected during this period, with above normal
afternoon temperatures expected for Thursday.


.LONG TERM...Thursday Night Through Tuesday
Initially, upper ridging will be over the region. However, by the
weekend, this will shift eastward, as the North American longwave
pattern amplifies. Southwest upper flow will develop, with a trough
digging down into the southern plains. This will allow large-scale
moisture increase, and will push a cold front into the region by
Sunday. This is looking like the most decent shot at/highest
coverage of rainfall we`ve had in a while.

Colder air will lag the front a bit, with the boundary clearing the
area around Sunday night or early Monday, and temperatures cooling
down Monday/Monday night as northwest upper flow sets in and pushes
high pressure into the region.


.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.


Short Term...55 / Long Term...57 is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.