Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 221257
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
757 AM CDT SUN MAY 22 2016

.UPDATE...
Near term forecasts have been updated to remove mention of light
morning precipitation.

55

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED /

AVIATION...
A weak short wave continues to move through the area but the
showers in the northeast earlier seem to have dissipated. Mainly
high and a few mid level clouds continue over the area. Light east
winds are expected today. Clouds are expected to dissipate
tongiht. VFR condtions will continue through the period.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED /

SHORT TERM...Today Through Monday Night
A strong upper ridge will be over the plains today, with an upper
trough over the east coast and an upper low over the Pacific
Northwest. This upper ridge will not move east of the area until
late Monday.

KLZK radar and observations indicate light rain falling in northeast
Arkansas. Decided to add slight chance pops for a few hours this
morning. Models indicate this short wave will move out of the area
before noon. Clouds will diminish during late morning and afternoon.
The next short wave will move through the state Monday and this will
bring an increase in rain chances. Moisture will be lacking so
amounts will be light and pops have been lowered a bit. High
temperatures will mainly be in the 80s each day, with lows in the
50s and 60s.

LONG TERM...Tuesday Through Saturday
The extended period will begin with a trough of low pressure in the
eastern United States, ridging in the middle of the country and
a deepening trough out west. This blocking pattern will result in
little movement of weather features, and no big changes in the
coming days.

As the period progresses, the trough to the east will slowly head
out into the Atlantic Ocean. Ridging will take over in the east, and
will continue toward the Mississippi River. The trough to the west
will wobble in our direction. As the latter happens, a nearly
stationary front in the Plains will inch toward Arkansas. Ahead
of the front, isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are
expected, especially during the heat of the afternoon.

A this point, widespread heavy rain is not in the forecast,
and any severe weather will be isolated. Temperatures through
much of the period will be above average.

&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.
&&

$$


Aviation...99



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