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000
FXUS64 KLZK 201952
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
252 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2014

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THE UPPER RIDGE IS BEGINNING TO MOVE EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
THIS AFTERNOON. AN UPPER TROUGH IS MOVING INTO THE PLAINS. THIS
UPPER TROUGH WILL SWING THROUGH ARKANSAS TONIGHT AND MONDAY. AN
UPPER RIDGE OVER THE ROCKIES TUESDAY WILL MOVE TO THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.

SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER OVER WESTERN
ARKANSAS. EXPECT CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO INCREASE
THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE FROM THE NORTHERN
PLAINS TONIGHT TO JUST NORTHWEST OF ARKANSAS MONDAY AFTERNOON. BEST
CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS THE AREA...AHEAD OF AND ALONG THE FRONT. THE FRONT
WILL EXIT THE AREA TUESDAY MORNING. ANY RAIN LINGERING TUESDAY
MORNING WILL BE IN THE SOUTHEAST AND WILL BE OUT OF THE AREA BY MID
MORNING.

HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE AREA TUESDAY MORNING. THIS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY BEFORE MOVING EAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE PLAINS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE OVER ARKANSAS AS MOISTURE RETURNS. NEAR
TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
PERIOD.

&&

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
THE EXTENDED PERIOD LOOKS UNSETTLED. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO
ARKANSAS FROM THE PLAINS ON THURSDAY. IT APPEARS THE STORM SYSTEM
ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT WILL GO WELL TO THE NORTH...WITH THE FRONT
LEFT TO HANG UP. A LARGER SYSTEM WILL ARRIVE FROM THE WEST NEXT
WEEKEND...AND WILL INTERACT WITH THE STALLED FRONT.

CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE FORECAST THROUGH
MUCH OF THE LONG TERM...ESPECIALLY ON THURSDAY AND NEXT WEEKEND.
WHILE WE ARE SEVERAL DAYS OUT...WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO HAVE AN
MCS OR TWO AND AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN...AS WELL AS SOME SEVERE WEATHER.
WILL KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON THIS.

MILD TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED...WITH ABOVE NORMAL READINGS
ANTICIPATED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     58  76  57  74 /  50  60  60  10
CAMDEN AR         59  79  60  78 /  30  60  60  10
HARRISON AR       58  72  55  72 /  50  60  60  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    60  78  59  77 /  50  60  60  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  59  78  59  77 /  40  60  60  10
MONTICELLO AR     58  79  60  77 /  30  60  60  20
MOUNT IDA AR      60  77  58  76 /  50  60  60  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  58  73  55  73 /  50  60  60  10
NEWPORT AR        57  77  58  75 /  50  60  60  10
PINE BLUFF AR     59  79  60  77 /  30  60  60  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   59  75  57  76 /  50  60  60  10
SEARCY AR         58  78  57  75 /  50  60  60  10
STUTTGART AR      58  79  59  77 /  40  60  60  20
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...51 / LONG TERM...46