Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FXUS64 KLZK 290540
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1240 AM CDT MON JUN 29 2015

.AVIATION...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAS MOVED INTO EASTERN MISSOURI. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW. INCLUDED
SHOWERS AT BPK AND VCSH AT HRO FOR THE FIRST PART OF THE PERIOD.
PATCHY FOG IS EXPECTED DURING THE MORNING IN THE SOUTHWEST...WITH
IFR CONDITIONS. THE REST OF THE AREA WILL HAVE VFR CONDITIONS
THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 950 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2015/

AVIATION...
THERE WILL BE SOME HIGH CLOUDS OVERNIGHT...AND MAYBE A FEW ISOLATED
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS IN AREAS TOWARD THE MISSOURI BORDER.
OTHERWISE...CONDITIONS WILL BE VFR IN MOST LOCATIONS. TOWARD
MONDAY MORNING...ISOLATED SPOTS COULD EXPERIENCE SOME FOG
BRIEFLY AND MVFR CONDITIONS. ON MONDAY...CUMULUS CLOUDS WILL
FORM AT 4000 TO 5000 FEET.

WINDS WILL BE SOUTHWEST AT 3 TO 7 MPH TONIGHT...AND WILL VARY FROM
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST AT 8 TO 14 MPH MONDAY...WITH GUSTS FROM
16 TO 20 MPH AT TIMES. (46)

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT
LARGELY NORTHWEST UPPER FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE SHORT TERM
PERIODS...AS RIDGING REMAINS OVER THE WESTERN CONUS...AND IN THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN GULF...AND TROUGHING PERSISTS OVER THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.

FRONTAL BOUNDARY OUT IN THE PLAINS WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION ON
MONDAY...THEN WOBBLE BACK TO THE NORTH BY MID WEEK. WITH THE FRONT
NEAR THE AREA...AND SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL SYSTEMS MOVING THROUGH IN THE
NORTHWEST FLOW...THERE WILL BE A CONTINUED CHANCE OF MAINLY
DIURNALLY-DRIVEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE CLOSE TO SEASONAL AVERAGES.

LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
FLOW ALOFT WILL BE FROM THE NW OVER THE STATE AT THE START OF THE
LONG TERM PERIOD...AND WITH DISTURBANCES ALOFT PASSING OVERHEAD...
WILL KEEP SOME RAIN CHANCES GOING THROUGH MUCH OF THE LONG TERM.
TEMPS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY NEAR NORMAL...OR EVEN SLIGHTLY BELOW
ACROSS NRN SECTIONS OF THE CWA WERE RAIN CHANCES WILL BE HIGHER.
BY LATE IN THE PERIOD...HAVE POPS DECREASING SOMEWHAT AS FLOW
ALOFT BECOMES LESS INTENSE AS AN UPPER RIDGE TO THE WEST ATTEMPTS
TO EXPAND EAST. HOWEVER...MOST OF THE IMPACTS FROM THIS EXPANDING
UPPER RIDGE SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL AFTER THIS FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     90  69  91  71 /  20  20  30  20
CAMDEN AR         92  73  91  73 /  20  30  40  20
HARRISON AR       87  66  89  69 /  10  10  20  20
HOT SPRINGS AR    92  71  90  74 /  20  30  30  20
LITTLE ROCK   AR  92  71  91  73 /  20  30  30  20
MONTICELLO AR     91  73  90  73 /  20  30  40  20
MOUNT IDA AR      90  69  89  72 /  20  30  30  20
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  88  66  90  69 /  10  10  20  20
NEWPORT AR        90  70  91  72 /  20  20  30  20
PINE BLUFF AR     91  72  90  72 /  20  30  40  20
RUSSELLVILLE AR   92  69  91  73 /  20  30  30  20
SEARCY AR         91  70  91  70 /  20  30  30  20
STUTTGART AR      91  71  91  73 /  20  30  30  20
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...51




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