Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 041142
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
642 AM CDT WED MAY 4 2016

.AVIATION...04/12Z TAF CYCLE

VFR CONDS WL PREVAIL THRU THE PD. A CDFNT WL DROP SWD THRU THE FA
TODAY AND EARLY TNGT. WINDS WL SHIFT TO THE NW BEHIND FROPA...
WITH SPEEDS OF 10 TO 15 KTS COMMON. GUSTS TO ARND 20 KTS WL BE
POSSIBLE AT TIMES. WINDS WL DIMINISH TNGT AS HIGH PRES BLDS INTO
THE FA. /44/
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 330 AM CDT WED MAY 4 2016/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT

QUITE WX NOTED ACRS THE FA EARLY THIS MRNG. A BAND OF MID/HIGH LVL
CLOUDS WAS WORKING ACRS SRN AR ATTM...ASSOCD WITH AN UPR TROF
WORKING THRU THE REGION. OTHERWISE...MAINLY CLEAR SKIES WERE NOTED
WITH TEMPS RANGING FM THE MID 40S TO THE MID 50S.

ANOTHER UPR TROF/CDFNT WL DROP SWD THRU THE FA LATER TODAY AND EARLY
TNGT. A BAND OF MID CLOUDS WL ACCOMPANY THE FROPA. STILL APPEARS
THAT ANY RAIN CHCS ASSOCD WITH THIS SYSTEM WL RMN E OF AR. SWLY SFC
WINDS AHEAD OF THE FNT WL ALLOW HIGHS TODAY TO TOP OUT IN THE 70S.
BREEZY CONDS WL BE NOTED IN THE VCNTY OF THE FNT AS WELL...BUT
SPEEDS STILL LOOK TO RMN BLW LAKE WIND ADVY CRITERIA.

HIGH PRES WL BLD IN BEHIND THE FNT LATER TNGT AND ON THU. MUCH DRIER
AIR WL BE NOTED ACRS THE REGION ON THU...WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE
LOWER AND MID 70S. LOWS THU NGT WL DROP BACK INTO THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S.

LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE OMEGA BLOCKING PATTERN CONTINUES FRIDAY WITH THE UPPER RIDGE
OVER THE PLAINS. THIS RIDGE WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST LATE FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY. THE UPPER LOW OVER THE WEST COAST MOVES INTO THE ROCKIES
SUNDAY AND WILL STRENGTHEN SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AS THE RIDGE
WEAKENS. THIS UPPER LOW THEN MOVES INTO THE PLAINS TUESDAY.

DRY WEATHER AND RIDGING WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY AND THROUGH MUCH OF THE
WEEKEND. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
OVER WEST ARKANSAS SUNDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO WEST TEXAS
SUNDAY AND AS IT MOVES EAST MONDAY AND TUESDAY RAIN CHANCES IN
ARKANSAS WILL INCREASE. THE FRONT SHOULD REACH WESTERN ARKANSAS
TUESDAY MORNING. NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE EXTENDED FORECAST THOUGH
DID INCREASE POPS FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY A BIT. HIGH TEMPERATURES IN
THE MID 70S TO MID 80S ARE EXPECTED...WITH LOWS IN THE 50S AND 60S.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


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