Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 260941
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
340 AM CST WED NOV 26 2014

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT

NWLY FLOW ALOFT WL BRING A STRONG SHRTWV SEWD INTO THE REGION TODAY.
MID AND HIGH LVL CLOUDS WL CONT TO INCRS IN ADVANCE OF THIS SYS.
EVEN THOUGH CONDS WL RMN QUITE DRY IN THE LOW LVLS...STILL CANNOT
RULE OUT SOME PTCHY LGT RAIN OVR N-CNTRL AND NERN AR LATER THIS MRNG
AND INTO THE AFTN HRS. CONTD TO FOLLOW THE TRENDS OF THE HIGH RES
MODEL REGARDING TIMING OF RAIN CHCS.

HIGH PRES WL BLD INTO THE NATURAL STATE FOR THE THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY
WITH A QUICK SHOT OF COLDER AIR. THE HIGH WL SHIFT QUICKLY EWD...
ALLOWING SLY WINDS TO RETURN TO THE FA BY FRI. THE RESULTING WARMING
TREND WL EXTEND INTO THE WEEKEND...ALONG WITH THE NWD RETURN TO GULF
MOISTURE. FCST HIGH TEMPS BY SAT WL BE ABT 10 DEGREES ABV NORMAL FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR.
&&

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION SUNDAY...BEFORE STALLING AND/OR
WASHING OUT MONDAY. THERE IS SOME DISAGREEMENT ABOUT HOW FAR SOUTH
THE BOUNDARY WILL GET...AND HAVE KEPT THE PREVIOUS TREND OF SMALL
RAIN CHANCES SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...THE HIGHEST CHANCES IN THE
NORTHEAST.

AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY SUNDAY...TEMPERATURES WILL WARM CONSIDERABLY
ACROSS SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...WITH READINGS APPROACHING THE MID 70S.
COOLER AIR WILL MOVE IN MONDAY...WITH HIGHS MONDAY IN THE MID 40S
ACROSS THE NORTH. HOWEVER...TEMPS WILL REBOUND SOME ON TUESDAY...AS
SOUTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPS AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...44 / LONG TERM...58






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