Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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998
FXUS64 KLZK 100923
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
323 AM CST WED FEB 10 2016

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT SOUTHEAST TODAY. SURFACE FLOW WILL
BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY/SOUTHWESTERLY WITH MOISTURE INCREASING
SLIGHTLY.

HUMIDITY...WHILE REMAINING LOW...WILL BE HIGHER THAN TUESDAY.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY
WITH LITTLE FANFARE OTHER THAN A WIND SHIFT AND A FEW PASSING
CLOUDS.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGES.
&&

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
AN UPPER RIDGE WILL BE OVER THE ROCKIES TO BEGIN THE LONG TERM
PERIOD WITH A STRONG UPPER LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHEAST CANADA. THE
UPPER LOW WILL MOVE INTO NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY AS THE RIDGE MOVES
INTO THE PLAINS. NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER ARKANSAS THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT. ZONAL FLOW WILL BE SEEN OVER THE AREA SUNDAY
BRIEFLY...THEN NORTHWEST FLOW RETURNS MONDAY.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
THIS HIGH MOVES OFF TO THE EAST OF ARKANSAS SUNDAY AS LOW PRESSURE
MOVES ACROSS TEXAS AND THEN LOUISIANA MONDAY. THIS LOW WILL BRING A
COLD FRONT WITH IT BUT WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF ARKANSAS. A SHORT WAVE
WILL MOVE THROUGH ARKANSAS WITH THE NORTHWEST FLOW. THIS WILL BRING
CHANCES OF LIGHT RAIN OR LIGHT SNOW SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY ACROSS THE
NORTH...AND JUST LIGHT RAIN IN CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN SECTIONS. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL RETURN MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.
TEMPERATURES WILL VARY THROUGH THE PERIOD BUT THE COLDEST DAYS WILL
BE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 30S AND 40S.
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
MINIMUM HUMIDITY WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE 30TH PERCENTILE TODAY...
WITH FIRE DANGER REMAINING ELEVATED. HOWEVER...WINDS WILL NOT BE
NEARLY AS STRONG TODAY...WHICH WILL KEEP THINGS BELOW RED FLAG
CRITERIA.

SEVERAL WEAK SYSTEMS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA OVER THE COURSE OF
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE NEXT APPRECIABLE CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION LOOKS TO BE ON SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...AS A
STRONGER COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     44  27  44  27 /  10   0   0   0
CAMDEN AR         55  39  62  33 /   0   0   0   0
HARRISON AR       48  28  45  27 /   0   0   0   0
HOT SPRINGS AR    52  37  56  31 /   0   0   0   0
LITTLE ROCK   AR  49  32  51  30 /   0   0   0   0
MONTICELLO AR     51  38  59  34 /   0   0   0   0
MOUNT IDA AR      53  37  58  30 /   0   0   0   0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  46  26  45  26 /   0   0   0   0
NEWPORT AR        42  27  44  27 /  10   0   0   0
PINE BLUFF AR     49  35  53  31 /   0   0   0   0
RUSSELLVILLE AR   50  30  53  29 /   0   0   0   0
SEARCY AR         44  26  46  27 /   0   0   0   0
STUTTGART AR      46  33  49  31 /   0   0   0   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...57 / LONG TERM...51



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