Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 280843
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
343 AM CDT TUE OCT 28 2014

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT
UPPER LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TODAY AND THE
ASSOCIATED TROUGH WILL DIG INTO THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE U.S.
TONIGHT. THE TROUGH WILL MOVE TO THE EAST COAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE ROCKIES THURSDAY...PROVIDING NORTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT FOR ARKANSAS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

A COLD FRONT HAS MOVED INTO THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF ARKANSAS THIS
MORNING. A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALONG THE
FRONT...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AHEAD OF THE FRONT. RAIN CHANCES WILL
INCREASE ACROSS NORTHWEST SECTIONS THIS MORNING AND SPREAD
SOUTHEAST. THE FRONT WILL SLOW ITS PROGRESS THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST
THIRD OF THE STATE. SHOWERS WILL END IN THE SOUTHEAST WEDNESDAY
MORNING. THOUGH WIDESPREAD SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED...A
FEW STORMS COULD REACH SEVERE LIMITS WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL THE MAIN THREATS.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA FOR THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY. A SHORT WAVE MOVING THROUGH MISSOURI THURSDAY NIGHT WILL
BRING SOME EXTRA CLOUDS TO NORTH ARKANSAS BUT NO RAIN. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE NEAR NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY
HIGH PRES WL PREVAIL ACRS THE MID SOUTH THRU THE WEEKEND. COOLER
AIRMASS WL BE IN PLACE AT START THE PD...WITH SOME PTCHY FROST STILL
POSSIBLE IN THE SHELTERED VALLEYS. THE AIRMASS WL BEGIN TO MODERATE
STARTING ON SUN AS THE SFC RDG WEAKENS AND BEGINS TO SHIFT EWD.

A DVLPG STORM SYS WL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE SRN PLAINS STARTING
MON...WITH MOISTURE/RAIN CHCS RETURNING TO THE FCST. SOME TIMING
DIFFERENCES ARE NOTED BETWEEN THE GFS AND ECMWF...SO EXPECT SOME
CHGS WITH THE FCST IN THE COMING DAYS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     67  46  67  42 /  60  20  10   0
CAMDEN AR         75  53  73  44 /  60  50  20  10
HARRISON AR       69  42  67  42 /  70  10  10   0
HOT SPRINGS AR    71  49  74  43 /  60  40  10   0
LITTLE ROCK   AR  70  50  73  44 /  70  40  10   0
MONTICELLO AR     77  55  72  44 /  50  60  20  10
MOUNT IDA AR      70  46  73  42 /  70  30  10   0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  69  43  67  42 /  70  10  10   0
NEWPORT AR        68  47  68  43 /  70  30  10   0
PINE BLUFF AR     74  53  73  45 /  60  50  10   0
RUSSELLVILLE AR   69  44  70  42 /  70  20  10   0
SEARCY AR         68  47  70  43 /  70  30  10   0
STUTTGART AR      72  51  73  45 /  70  50  10   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...51 / LONG TERM...44





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