Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 040900
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
400 AM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT REMAINS OVER THE SOUTHWEST U.S. THIS AREA OF
HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXPAND THROUGH MID WEEK. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
IN THE ROCKIES WILL MOVE AROUND THE EAST SIDE OF THE RIDGE TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER ARKANSAS
THROUGH THURSDAY...THEN THE HIGH WILL EXPAND EASTWARD INTO
ARKANSAS FRIDAY.

A FRONT REMAINS IN NORTH MISSOURI THIS MORNING. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN NORTH MISSOURI AS WELL AS WESTERN
OKLHAOMA. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SINK SOUTHWARD TODAY AND STALL
NEAR THE ARKANSAS AND MISSOURI BORDER TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
OVER THE AREA. A WARM FRONT MOVING INTO THE STATE WEDNESDAY WILL
HELP INITIATE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE AREA. RAIN CHANCES WILL
CONTINUE THURSDAY BUT DECREASE ON FRIDAY AS THE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
INTO THE AREA. HIGHS TODAY WILL BE IN THE MID 90S TO AROUND 100
DEGREES. HOWEVER...SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR
THE REST OF THE SHORT TERM PERIOD WITH THE INCREASED CLOUD COVER.

&&

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY
NO SIG CHGS WERE MADE TO THE FCST AS THE MODELS CONT TO INDC THAT
THE UPR HIGH WL GRADUALLY REGAIN CONTROL ACRS THE MID SOUTH OVR THE
WEEKEND. THIS WL RESULT IN HOT AND GENERALLY DRY CONDS ACRS THE
REGION. ANY DIURNAL CONVECTION THAT DOES MANAGE TO FORM LOOKS TO BE
OVR PARTS OF NERN AR...ALONG THE ERN PERIPHERY OF THE UPR RDG.

DAYTIME HIGHS WL BE MAINLY IN THE 90S...WITH PARTS OF WRN AND SRN AR
SEEING SOME TRIPLE DIGITS READINGS. HEAT INDICES ARND THE CRITICAL
105 DEGREE MARK WL ALSO BE A CONCERN FOR AREAS ALONG AND S OF THE AR
RVR VALLEY THRU THE PD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     96  73  93  72 /  10  40  50  50
CAMDEN AR        100  75  97  77 /  10  20  20  20
HARRISON AR       93  70  90  71 /  30  40  50  50
HOT SPRINGS AR    98  75  95  75 /  10  30  30  30
LITTLE ROCK   AR  99  75  95  75 /  10  30  30  30
MONTICELLO AR     99  75  97  77 /  10  20  20  20
MOUNT IDA AR      97  75  94  75 /  10  30  30  30
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  93  70  91  71 /  20  50  50  60
NEWPORT AR        97  74  93  73 /  10  40  50  50
PINE BLUFF AR     99  75  96  76 /  10  20  30  30
RUSSELLVILLE AR   95  74  93  73 /  20  40  40  40
SEARCY AR         98  74  94  74 /  10  40  40  40
STUTTGART AR      99  75  96  76 /  10  30  30  30
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...51 / LONG TERM...44



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