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000
FXUS64 KLZK 070532
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1132 PM CST THU MAR 6 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDS WL PREVAIL FOR A MAJORITY OF THE PD. HOWEVER...STILL
EXPECT SOME AREAS OF FOG AND LOW CLOUDS TO DVLP DURG THE LATE NGT
AND EARLY MRNG HRS...ESP ACRS CNTRL AND SERN AR WITH OCNL IFR/LIFR
CONDS AT TIMES. FOG AND LOW CLOUDS WL DISSIPATE BY MID MRNG ON
FRI. HIGH CLOUDS WL SPREAD SEWD THRU THE AFTN AND EVENING HRS ON
FRI.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 552 PM CST THU MAR 6 2014/

AVIATION...07/00Z TAF CYCLE

SOME SCTD LOW CLOUDS WL LINGER OVR FAR SERN AR EARLY THIS EVENING...
WITH VFR CONDS EXPECTED THIS EVENING. LOW CLOUDS/FOG WL REFORM
LATER TNGT...ESP ACRS CNTRL AND SERN AR WITH MVFR/IFR CONDS...WITH
OCNL LIFR VSBYS AT TIMES. FOG AND LOW CLOUDS WL DISSIPATED BY MID
MORNING ON FRI...WITH VFR CONDS THEREAFTER. /44/

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 245 PM CST THU MAR 6 2014/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT

CLOUDS HAVE FINALLY CLEARED ACROSS MOST OF THE STATE...WITH
TEMPERATURES REBOUNDING WELL INTO THE 40S AND 50S UNDER THE LATE
WINTER SUN. THE ONLY EXCEPTION IS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST...WHERE
MOISTURE IS STILL BEING WRAPPED AROUND THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM THAT
BROUGHT RAIN AND SOME SLEET TO CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS.

CLOUDS WILL SLOWLY EXIT TONIGHT. THERE WILL BE ENOUGH MOISTURE
IN PLACE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE STATE...ESPECIALLY
SOUTH AND EAST...FOR FOG TO DEVELOP AGAIN OVERNIGHT. AREAS DOWN
TOWARDS PINE BLUFF AND MONTICELLO COULD SEE AREAS OF DENSE FOG
DEVELOP BUT WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY HEADLINES AT THIS TIME.
ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND FREEZING...DO NOT THINK
FREEZING FOG WILL BECOME AN ISSUE.

OTHERWISE...A MUCH WARMER AND SUNNY DAY WILL BE NOTED ON FRIDAY.
RIDGING ALOFT AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN PLACE...WITH
SOUTHERLY FLOW BACK PLACE. WARMER AND MORE MOIST AIR WILL ADVECT
INTO THE REGION FROM THE GULF...WITH DEWPOINTS INCREASING. THIS
THE WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL DROP OUT OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND
PASS THROUGH ARKANSAS SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.
EXPECT WIDESPREAD SHOWERS TO DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT AS IT PUSHES
THROUGH. THE UPPER LEVEL WAVE WILL LAG BEHIND SLIGHTLY AND NOT
PROVIDE MUCH SUPPORT. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL BEHIND THE
FRONT...WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A RAIN/FREEZING RAIN MIX ACROSS
THE FAR NORTH. HOWEVER...WITH WILL BE NEAR THE TAIL END OF THE
EVENT AND NO ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED.

DRY WEATHER AND TEMPERATURE NEAR NORMAL WITH BE IN PLACE FOR THE
LAST DAY OF THE WEEKEND.

LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

IT LOOKS DRY ON MONDAY...BUT THEN IT WILL BECOME UNSETTLED. A
STORM SYSTEM ALOFT IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL ARRIVE AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT. MOISTURE LEVELS WILL COME UP ON
TUESDAY...WITH CLOUDS AND ISOLATED/SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE
FORECAST. A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT...AND
WILL INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS THROUGH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND THE
CENTRAL APPALACHIANS. THE SYSTEM WILL PULL THE FRONT THROUGH
THE REGION LATE TUESDAY/EARLY WEDNESDAY...WITH CHANCES FOR SHOWERS
CONTINUING. CANNOT RULE OUT A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AS THE FRONT
PASSES. ALSO...AS IT TURNS COLDER BEHIND THE FRONT...THERE
COULD BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION BEFORE THE
MOISTURE SHUTS OFF. TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL TO START THE
PERIOD...WITH BELOW NORMAL READINGS TOWARD THE END.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     27  53  37  59 /   0   0   0  40
CAMDEN AR         31  65  43  66 /   0   0   0  30
HARRISON AR       29  60  36  53 /   0   0  10  50
HOT SPRINGS AR    30  62  40  63 /   0   0   0  40
LITTLE ROCK   AR  30  60  41  64 /   0   0   0  30
MONTICELLO AR     30  63  44  67 /   0   0   0  20
MOUNT IDA AR      25  63  39  63 /   0   0   0  40
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  28  60  35  55 /   0   0  10  50
NEWPORT AR        27  53  39  60 /   0   0   0  30
PINE BLUFF AR     31  61  43  65 /   0   0   0  30
RUSSELLVILLE AR   27  62  37  61 /   0   0  10  40
SEARCY AR         26  55  38  61 /   0   0   0  30
STUTTGART AR      29  58  41  64 /   0   0   0  30
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...56