Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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435
FXUS64 KLZK 031135 AAA
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
635 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.UPDATE...

UPDATED FOR THE 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...

LOW LEVEL VFR CIGS HAVE BECOME LESS EXPANSIVE OVERNIGHT...BUT
STILL MANAGE TO BE SITUATED OVER MOST TAF SITES THIS MORNING. ASIDE
FROM SOME TEMPO LIFR CONDITIONS UP NORTH THROUGH 14Z OR SO...VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. BKN-OVC050 CIGS WILL
BECOME SCT-BKN IN NATURE THIS AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER TROUGH AXIS
PASSES OVERHEAD. EXPECT CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 358 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT

STILL HAVE SOME LOW CLOUDS LINGERING ACROSS THE STATE EARLY THIS
MORNING. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE CASE AS ONE MORE DISTURBANCE
DIVES SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION...FINALLY SHIFTING SOUTH OF THE STATE
THIS EVENING. BEHIND THAT SHORTWAVE...NORTHERLY FLOW FROM THE
SURFACE THROUGH THE MID LEVEL WILL SPREAD INTO THE REGION. THIS WILL
KEEP ARKANSAS MOSTLY CLEAR/SUNNY FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THE END
OF THE SHORT TERM.

LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE PERIOD WILL BEGIN WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE REGION
BEHIND A COLD FRONT VIA A NORTHWEST WIND FLOW ALOFT.
EVENTUALLY...RIDGING WILL TAKE PLACE IN THE MIDDLE OF THE
COUNTRY...WITH A BIG TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST
UNITED STATES AND ANOTHER OUT WEST. THIS BLOCKING PATTERN WILL KEEP
IT DRY THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY.

EVENTUALLY...THE SYSTEM TO THE WEST WILL WOBBLE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
PRODUCE ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS BY SUNDAY. PRECIPITATION
COVERAGE WILL BE A LITTLE MORE ON MONDAY...BUT NOT WIDESPREAD
YET.

AS FAR AS TEMPERATURES...READINGS WILL BE CLOSE TO NORMAL AS THE
PERIOD BEGINS...WITH READINGS GOING AT/ABOVE NORMAL AS THE PERIOD
PROGRESSES.

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...64



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