Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 132309 AAA
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
609 PM CDT Fri Oct 13 2017

.DISCUSSION...

Updated to include the 00Z aviation discussion below...

&&

.AVIATION...

Moisture levels will increase slightly...mainly across WRN
sections of the state through Sat afternoon. However...VFR
conditions should prevail.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...(ISSUED 309 PM CDT Fri Oct 13 2017)

SHORT TERM...Tonight Through Sunday

High pressure continues over the area with mainly clear skies over
the area. A few cumulus clouds are over the western part of the
state. These clouds should dissipate around sunset. The cold front
approaches the area on Saturday night and moves through the state
Sunday. Showers and thunderstorms are expected with the front with
best chances in the northwest. Temperatures will be cooler Sunday.

LONG TERM...Sunday Night Through Friday

The cold front will clear AR on Sunday, as cooler and drier air will
filter into the region. Surface and upper high pressure system move
over the region, and bring cool and drier weather for much of the
week. Temperatures will lower to near or a bit cooler than normal
values. Late week, temperatures will moderate, as the upper flow
flattens out and the surface high moves east.

Climatology...

Several locations will come within about five degrees of daily
record high temperatures on Saturday. Listed below are the locations
that will likely come close, forecasted high temperature and record
high temperature for October 14th.

Location         Forecast     Record
--------------------------------------
Harrison             88     92 in 1899
Batesville Airport   89     94 in 1938
Flippin              89     89 in 1989
Mount Ida            90     95 in 2015
Jacksonville         91     91 in 2015
Little Rock          91     93 in 2015
Monticello           91     94 in 1963
North Little Rock    91     90 in 2015
Stuttgart Airport    91     91 in 2015
Pine Bluff           92     95 in 1928
Russellville         92     96 in 1963

&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.
&&

$$

Aviation...62



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