Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KLZK 260902
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
402 AM CDT THU MAR 26 2015

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY

MUCH OF THE STRONG TO SVR CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY HAS DIMINISHED THIS
EARLY THU MORNING...WITH MAINLY SOME SCATTERED AND OCCASIONAL
WIDESPREAD SHRA/TSRA ONGOING. THIS TREND SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH
MUCH OF THE MORNING HRS. HOWEVER...SRN SECTIONS OF THE CWA COULD
STILL SEE AN ISOLATED STRONG TO MAYBE SVR STORM THIS MORNING...WITH
DAMAGING HAIL AND SOME WIND DAMAGE THE MAIN THREATS. MUCH OF THE
WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL HAS ALSO ENDED...WITH MOST OF THE HEAVY
RAIN FALLING ACROSS THE FAR NORTH AND NWRN SECTIONS OF THE CWA WED
EVENING. THE ONGOING RAINFALL THIS MORNING IS GENERALLY LIGHT TO
MODERATE...WITH SOME POCKETS OF HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE.

THE COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE CWA THIS MORNING...WITH
PRECIP CHANCES CONTINUING INTO THE REST OF THE MORNING HOURS FOR
MOST LOCATIONS...AND THEN DECREASING FROM NW TO SE BY THIS
AFTERNOON AS THE DRIER AIR ARRIVES. BEHIND THIS FRONT...BREEZY NRLY
WINDS WILL BE SEEN...AND HAVE ALREADY POSTED A LAKE WIND ADV FOR
WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH INTO THE AFTERNOON HRS. GUSTS OVER 30 MPH WILL
BE POSSIBLE. EXPECT THESE WINDS TO LESSEN FROM NW TO SE THIS
AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY THIS EVENING AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
RELAXES.

MOST LOCATIONS SHOULD REMAIN DRY TONIGHT AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE MOVES
OVER THE CWA. HOWEVER...A FAST MOVING CLIPPER SYSTEM OR SHORTWAVE
WILL DIVE SE OVER NERN SECTIONS OF THE STATE...WITH A REINFORCING
SHOT OF COOLER AIR EXPECTED. SOME INCREASED CLOUDINESS AND EVEN SOME
LIGHT PRECIP COULD ALSO BE SEEN ACROSS NRN AND NERN COUNTIES. SOME
LIGHT RAIN IS EXPECTED...THOUGH COULD SEE PRECIP MIXING WITH SOME
SLEET AND OR SNOW BY AROUND SUNRISE FRI. ANOTHER SUCH SYSTEM WILL
MOVE OVER NERN SECTIONS OF THE STATE FRI NIGHT INTO SAT
MORNING...WITH SIMILAR WX EXPECTED. THE COOLER CONDITIONS WILL BE
SEEN THROUGH SAT.

WARMER CONDITIONS WILL BE SEEN FOR SUN AS SRLY FLOW RETURNS.
HOWEVER...A NEW FRONT WILL BE DROPPING SOUTH INTO THE STATE LATE ON
SUN...WITH SOME CHANCES FOR RAINFALL RETURNING FOR A LARGER PORTION
OF THE STATE.

&&

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE EXTENDED PERIOD WILL BEGIN WITH A COLD FRONT PUSHING JUST SOUTH
OF THE REGION MONDAY...AND MAY STALL AT LEAST TEMPORARILY. THAT WILL
KEEP SLIGHT CHANCES FOR SHOWERS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES.
MEANWHILE...A NORTHWEST WIND FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING ANOTHER SLOW
MOVING COLD FRONT INTO ARKANSAS LATE TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY. CLOUDS WILL
INCREASE...WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT/A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     57  37  52  35 /  50  20  20  20
CAMDEN AR         63  39  65  41 /  60  10   0  10
HARRISON AR       55  35  51  35 /  40  20  20  20
HOT SPRINGS AR    61  40  61  40 /  40  10   0  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  58  39  57  39 /  50  10  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     65  38  60  40 /  70  10   0  10
MOUNT IDA AR      61  38  61  39 /  40  10   0  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  56  36  52  35 /  40  20  20  20
NEWPORT AR        55  36  52  34 /  60  20  20  20
PINE BLUFF AR     60  37  57  39 /  60  10  10  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   61  38  58  39 /  40  10  10  10
SEARCY AR         56  37  55  36 /  60  10  10  20
STUTTGART AR      58  38  55  37 /  60  10  10  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR BAXTER-
BOONE-CLEBURNE-CONWAY-FULTON-INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JOHNSON-LOGAN-
MARION-NEWTON-POPE-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN.


LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR ARKANSAS-
BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEVELAND-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-
GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-LINCOLN-LONOKE-MONROE-
MONTGOMERY-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-
WHITE-WOODRUFF-YELL.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...62 / LONG TERM...46





USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.