Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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648
FXUS64 KLZK 281721
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1221 PM CDT THU APR 28 2016

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST 29/06Z. TSRA
CHANCES...AND ASSOCIATED MVRF CIGS...WILL SPREAD FROM
SOUTHWEST...THROUGH CENTRAL SECTIONS BETWEEN 29/11 AND 29/15Z.

55


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 513 AM CDT THU APR 28 2016/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT
IT LOOKS LIKE A QUIET DAY...WITH A FRONT HANGING UP NEAR
THE ARKANSAS AND LOUISIANA BORDER. A LARGE STORM SYSTEM IN
THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES WILL INTERACT WITH THE FRONT
TONIGHT/FRIDAY...WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BECOMING LIKELY.

PRECIPITATION WILL GET GOING IN SOUTHWEST SECTIONS OF THE STATE
AFTER MIDNIGHT...WITH RAIN BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD FRIDAY/FRIDAY
NIGHT.

AS FAR AS RAINFALL...ONE TO TWO INCH AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE
IN PARTS OF CENTRAL/SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...WITH LOCALLY MORE IN
THE SOUTHWEST.

WHILE THERE COULD BE ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS DURING THIS EVENT...
SEVERE WEATHER LOOKS MORE LIKELY IN OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE PRESENT ON SATURDAY. AM NOT VERY
CONFIDENT IN HOW WIDESPREAD THEY WILL BE...BUT FULLY EXPECT THEM TO
BE PRESENT SO DO HAVE SOME LIKELY POPS IN THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
FORECAST AREA TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS. EXPECT DRYING CONDITIONS LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES IN FROM THE
NORTH. ANOTHER ROUND OF RAINFALL WILL LIKELY AFFECT THE SOUTHERN
PART OF THE STATE SOMETIME ON MONDAY BUT THE TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF
THE SHORTWAVE RESPONSIBLE FOR THIS IS IN QUESTION AT THE MOMENT...SO
ONLY HAVE SLIGHT CHANCES IN THE FORECAST FOR SOUTHERN AREAS MONDAY
AND MONDAY NIGHT.

TEMPERATURE WISE...MID TO UPPER 70S WILL BE THE NORM ON SATURDAY BUT
WITH HIGH PRESSURE PUSHING IN FROM THE NORTH TEMPERATURES SHOULD
COOL INTO THE LOWER 70S FOR SUNDAY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
PERIOD.

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...99



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