Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 212108
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
308 PM CST SUN DEC 21 2014

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT

CLOUDY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF ARKANSAS HAVE HELD
TOUGH THROUGH THE DAY TODAY...TONIGHT MOISTURE AND CLOUDS WILL
INCREASE FROM WEST TO EAST...AND AS A RESULT..EXPECTING PATCHY FOG
AND DRIZZLE ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE. TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT WILL BE FAIRLY WARM AND WILL ONLY COOL BY A FEW DEGREES
TONIGHT.

TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE ON MONDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD
FRONT...AND DESPITE SIGNIFICANT CLOUD COVER AND CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION...DO STILL EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO WARM INTO THE 50S
AND LOWER 60S ACROSS THE STATE. THERE COULD BE CHANCES FOR A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS MONDAY
EVENING...HOWEVER LAPSE RATES DO NOT LOOK AS STEEP AS YESTERDAYS
MODEL RUNS...AND JUST ADDED ISOLATED THUNDER.

THERE MAY BE A BRIEF BREAK IN THE PRECIP CHANCES EARLY IN THE DAY ON
TUESDAY...BUT MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE A SECOND ROUND OF PRECIP
TUESDAY NIGHT AS THE UPPER TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH THE REGION. THE GFS
HAS COME BETTER IN LINE WITH THE EURO AND NAM AND ENDS THE PRECIP
BEFORE SIGNIFICANT COLD AIR MOVES INTO THE STATE. AT THIS TIME...IT
APPEARS EVEN LESS LIKELY THAT ACCUMULATING WINTRY PRECIP WILL
OCCUR...BUT DO EXPECT A FEW FLAKES TO FLY ACROSS THE NORTH.
TEMPERATURES FINISH THE SHORT TERM SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL ON
WEDNESDAY.


&&

.LONG TERM...CHRISTMAS DAY THROUGH SUNDAY
HIGH PRESSURE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL CREATE SOUTHERLY WINDS
CHRISTMAS DAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN MILD CONDITIONS. MEANWHILE...A
COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE PLAINS. THE FRONT WILL PASS
THROUGH THE AREA ON FRIDAY...WITH SMALL CHANCES FOR RAIN IN THE
FORECAST. THE FRONT WILL BE FOLLOWED BY COOLER AIR/TEMPERATURES A
FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL ON SATURDAY. IT WILL REMAIN COOL AND DRY ON
SUNDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     41  55  45  50 /  10  40  50  50
CAMDEN AR         44  62  51  54 /  10  20  30  70
HARRISON AR       40  55  40  47 /  10  40  30  20
HOT SPRINGS AR    43  58  47  52 /  10  30  30  60
LITTLE ROCK   AR  42  58  49  52 /  10  30  50  60
MONTICELLO AR     45  61  54  58 /  10  20  50  70
MOUNT IDA AR      44  58  44  50 /  10  30  30  50
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  40  55  42  48 /  10  40  40  20
NEWPORT AR        41  56  47  52 /  10  30  60  60
PINE BLUFF AR     42  60  51  54 /  10  20  50  70
RUSSELLVILLE AR   42  57  44  50 /  10  40  40  40
SEARCY AR         39  55  46  50 /  10  30  50  60
STUTTGART AR      42  59  50  53 /  10  30  60  60
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...65 / LONG TERM...46





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