Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 311133
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
633 AM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

.AVIATION...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIET WEATHER OVER THE AREA TODAY.
SCATTERED CIRRUS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY...AND CLEAR SKIES
TONIGHT. VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 350 AM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT

SFC HIGH PRES WAS CENTERED OVR SRN MO EARLY THIS MRNG...PROVIDING A
DRIER LGT E/NE WIND FLOW ACRS THE FA. EARLY MRNG TEMPS RANGED FM THE
MID 60S TO THE LOWER 70S. SEEING SOME PTCHY DENSE FOG OVR W-CNTRL AR
WHERE RAIN FELL ON THU. WL CARRY A MENTION OF FOG IN THE FCST EARLY
IN THE PD.

THE AFOREMENTIONED SFC HIGH WL RMN SITUATED ACRS AR THRU SAT...
RESULTING IN DRY AND SEASONABLE CONDS. WHILE TEMPS WL BE CLOSE TO
SEASONAL NORMS...THE AIRMASS WL BE MORE TOLERABLE COMPARED TO JUST A
FEW DAYS AGO THANKS TO MUCH LOWER REL HUMIDITY LVLS.

NWLY FLOW ALOFT WL BRING A WEAK CDFNT SEWD TOWARD THE AREA LATE IN
THE WEEKEND. THE BNDRY IS EXPECTED TO STALL OUT JUST TO THE NE OF
AR. MODELS CONT TO INDC NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF UPR SUPPORT FOR
ORGANZIED CONVECTION THRU THE REST OF THE PD...SO A DRY FCST WL CONT.
TEMPS WL START TO INCRS BY SUN AND MON AS SWLY WINDS EVENTUALLY RETURN
TO THE MID SOUTH.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

AN UPPER RIDGE...CENTERED NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS REGION...WILL
STRETCH ACROSS THE SOUTHERN U.S. TO BEGIN THE LONG TERM PERIOD.
NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BE OVER ARKANSAS. THIS RIDGE WILL SLOWLY MOVE
EAST THROUGH THE PERIOD AND MAY EVEN ENTER WESTERN ARKANSAS THURSDAY.

SEVERAL SHORT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHWEST FLOW
OVER ARKANSAS THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIOD. THIS WILL BRING CHANCES
FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE STATE. THE BEST CHANCES WILL BE
IN THE NORTHEAST HALF OF THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MAINLY IN
THE 90S BUT THE HUMIDITY SHOULD NOT BE EXCESSIVE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     92  67  93  69 /   0   0   0  10
CAMDEN AR         94  68  96  69 /  10   0   0   0
HARRISON AR       90  65  91  67 /   0   0   0  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    93  68  96  69 /  10   0   0   0
LITTLE ROCK   AR  93  69  95  71 /   0   0   0  10
MONTICELLO AR     93  69  94  70 /   0   0   0   0
MOUNT IDA AR      93  66  95  67 /  10   0   0   0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  91  66  92  67 /   0   0   0  10
NEWPORT AR        91  66  92  69 /   0   0   0   0
PINE BLUFF AR     92  68  94  69 /   0   0   0   0
RUSSELLVILLE AR   93  67  95  68 /  10   0   0  10
SEARCY AR         92  67  94  69 /   0   0   0   0
STUTTGART AR      92  69  93  70 /   0   0   0   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...51



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