Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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186
FXUS64 KLZK 171140 AAA
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion...Updated for Aviation
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
540 AM CST Wed Jan 17 2018

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions will be noted through tonight. Winds will vary
from north to west at 4 to 8 mph today. Winds will be light
south to southwest tonight. (46)
&&

.SHORT TERM...Today Through Thursday Night
Arctic high pressure will build over Arkansas from the northwest
today. The high will be over the region this afternoon and
tonight, and will drift toward the central Gulf Coast on Thursday.

Under the high, very cold/dry air will be in place. Temperatures
will be 20 to 25 degrees below average today, with readings
starting to rebound a bit on Thursday. By rebound, it is meant
that most of the region will finally climb above freezing.

The period will end with a warming trend continuing into the long
term. There will be an eventual transition from a dominant Polar
Jet to a focus on the southern stream/flow from the Pacific. (46)
&&

.LONG TERM...Friday Through Tuesday
Northwest flow will be over Arkansas to begin the long term period
with an upper low over east Texas. This upper low will move south of
Arkansas Friday and into Georgia Saturday. A southwest flow aloft
will return to Arkansas late Saturday and Sunday ahead of the next
trough. An upper low develops over the Rockies and moves into the
Plains Sunday and to the Great Lakes Monday.

Surface high pressure will be east of Arkansas Friday and bringing
Gulf moisture into the state. Will keep the small rain chances for
Friday night then increasing into Saturday. A cold front will move
through on Sunday and this will bring showers with isolated
thunderstorms...some of which could be strong and will narrow this
down in coming forecasts. Dry conditions are expected for Monday and
Tuesday. Temperatures will be warming Friday through the weekend
then a bit cooler behind the front. Highs in the 50s and 60s are
expected for the weekend.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     27  16  41  25 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         32  15  43  25 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       25  14  43  28 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    31  16  42  26 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  29  17  41  26 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     28  16  41  25 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      32  15  43  25 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  25  14  43  24 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        25  15  38  25 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     26  15  39  25 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   29  16  43  26 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         26  14  39  24 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      26  14  38  25 /   0   0   0   0
&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.
&&

$$

Short Term...46 / Long Term...51



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