Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 221927
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
227 PM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT
RATHER BENIGN SHORT TERM PERIOD IS IN STORE...AS HIGH PRESSURE AT
THE SURFACE AND ALOFT CONTINUES TO BE THE DOMINANT WEATHER
FEATURE. WHAT THIS MEANS FOR US IS LITTLE IN THE WAY OF CLOUD COVER...
EAST AND NORTHEAST WINDS...AND TEMPERATURES WITHIN ABOUT 2-3
DEGREES OF SEASONAL AVERAGES.
&&

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER
PATTERN ACROSS THE EASTERN TWO THIRDS OF THE COUNTRY DURING THE
FIRST HALF OF THE EXTENDED TERM. A WEAKNESS UNDER THE RIDGE WILL
DEVELOP INTO AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...WHICH WILL BRING
PRECIPITATION CHANCES TO THE AREA ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. ANOTHER
TWIST IN THE FORECAST IS BEING SHOWN BY THE GFS AND ECMWF MODEL
RUNS...WHERE A WEAK TROPICAL DISTURBANCE MOVES OUT OF THE
NORTHWESTERN GULF AND BRINGS SOME ADDITIONAL MOISTURE INTO THE
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PART OF THE STATE ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. AT
THIS TIME IT LOOKS LIKE THE GREATEST CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION
WILL BE IN THE SOUTHEAST PART OF THE FORECAST AREA ON SUNDAY...AND
ACROSS THE EAST ON SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     48  76  48  80 /   0   0   0   0
CAMDEN AR         51  81  52  85 /   0   0   0   0
HARRISON AR       48  74  49  78 /   0   0   0   0
HOT SPRINGS AR    53  82  54  83 /   0   0   0   0
LITTLE ROCK   AR  52  80  56  83 /   0   0   0   0
MONTICELLO AR     53  82  55  86 /   0   0   0   0
MOUNT IDA AR      49  79  49  82 /   0   0   0   0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  48  76  48  80 /   0   0   0   0
NEWPORT AR        49  76  50  81 /   0   0   0   0
PINE BLUFF AR     52  78  55  83 /   0   0   0   0
RUSSELLVILLE AR   48  81  49  82 /   0   0   0   0
SEARCY AR         50  77  51  80 /   0   0   0   0
STUTTGART AR      52  77  55  81 /   0   0   0   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...57 / LONG TERM...53






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