Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FXUS64 KLZK 222336
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
636 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014

.AVIATION...

TONIGHT A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE STATE FROM THE NORTH AND
BRING PRECIPITATION CHANCES TO THE FORECAST ACROSS KHRO AND KBPK
AFTER 06Z. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL LIKELY HOLD OFF ACROSS
CENTRAL ARKANSAS THROUGH MID DAY ON WEDNESDAY. AS A RESULT...ONCE
AGAIN COULD SEE SOME PATCHY FOG ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN ARKANSAS WITH MAINLY MVFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL DIMINISH BEFORE THE END OF THE TAF
PERIOD FOR ALL LOCATIONS EXCEPT KPBF AND KLLQ.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 302 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014/

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT
THE NEAR TERM PATTERN WILL FEATURE A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS. EAST OF THE RIDGE...A
TROUGH WILL EXIST EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

THE RIDGE WILL BE FAR ENOUGH TO THE WEST TO ALLOW A COLD
FRONT TO MOVE INTO ARKANSAS FROM THE NORTH ON WEDNESDAY.
THE FRONT WILL HAVE NO PROBLEM PUSHING THROUGH AREAS
EAST OF THE STATE WHERE TROUGHING EXISTS. IT APPEARS
THE FRONT MAY MAKE IT INTO LOUISIANA BEFORE STALLING
ON THURSDAY.

THE FRONT WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. PRECIPITATION WILL BE POSSIBLE NORTH OF
LITTLE ROCK TONIGHT...AND IN AREAS FARTHER SOUTH AS THE
FRONT PASSES BY. ANY SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE ISOLATED.
WHILE LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE EXPECTED...WIDESPREAD
HEAVY RAIN IS NOT IN THE FORECAST.

IT WILL COOL OFF BRIEFLY BEHIND THE FRONT ON THURSDAY.
THE FRONT WILL MOVE BACK TO THE NORTH ON FRIDAY...WITH
SUMMERLIKE CONDITIONS RETURNING.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE CLOSE TO NORMAL WEDNESDAY AND
FRIDAY...AND BELOW NORMAL THURSDAY.

LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
PERIOD WILL INITIATE WITH A LARGE UPPER TROUGH DIGGING INTO THE
GREAT LAKES REGION WITH A BROADENING RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
DESERT SOUTHWEST. ARKANSAS WILL REMAIN SANDWICHED BETWEEN THE
TWO...CREATING NORTHWEST FLOW AND ALLOWING SEVERAL PIECES OF
SHORTWAVE ENERGY TO PASS THROUGH THE REGION WITH AT LEAST A CHANCE
OF ISOLATED CONVECTION DAILY. ON SUNDAY A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL PASS
THROUGH AND GIVE US THE BEST CHANCE OF PRECIP. RAIN COOLED AIR WILL
DROP TEMPS BACK DOWN BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS MON/TUES...WITH HIGHS
BACK IN THE 80S AND LOWS IN THE 60S.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     70  91  67  85 /  10  40  30  10
CAMDEN AR         71  93  72  93 /  10  20  30  30
HARRISON AR       69  90  66  86 /  20  40  20  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    70  92  72  91 /   0  30  40  20
LITTLE ROCK   AR  72  92  72  89 /   0  30  40  20
MONTICELLO AR     71  92  71  93 /  10  20  30  30
MOUNT IDA AR      68  92  68  91 /   0  30  30  20
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  70  92  67  86 /  20  50  20  10
NEWPORT AR        72  91  67  85 /  10  40  30  10
PINE BLUFF AR     72  92  71  89 /   0  20  40  30
RUSSELLVILLE AR   68  93  71  91 /  10  40  30  10
SEARCY AR         70  91  70  85 /  10  40  40  20
STUTTGART AR      72  91  71  86 /   0  30  40  20
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...225




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