Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KLZK 111736
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1136 AM CST THU FEB 11 2016

.AVIATION...

WINDS HAVE BECOME NORTHERLY AT ALL TAF SITES WITH SOME STRONGER
WINDS NOTED BEHIND THE FRONT. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT TONIGHT WITH
VFR CONDITIONS PERSISTING THROUGH THE END OF THIS TAF PERIOD.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 516 AM CST THU FEB 11 2016/

AVIATION...
FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE MOVING SOUTH TODAY...WITH WINDS
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AND EAST. VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE
EXPECTED...WITH A FEW PASSING CUMULUS AND SOME MID OR HIGH CLOUDS.
TAFS OUT SHORTLY.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 344 AM CST THU FEB 11 2016/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT
SURFACE LOW WAS OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING...WITH AN
ATTENDANT FRONT EXTENDING INTO CENTRAL ARKANSAS. THE FRONT WILL
MOVE SOUTH LATER TODAY...WITH A FEW CLOUDS AND A WIND SHIFT AND
LITTLE ELSE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THE FRONT ON
FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE SHORT TERM WILL REMAIN WITHIN
A FEW DEGREES OF AVERAGE.

LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AN UPPER RIDGE WILL BE OVER THE ROCKIES TO BEGIN THE LONG TERM
PERIOD WITH AN UPPER LOW MOVING INTO NEW ENGLAND. STRONG NORTHWEST
FLOW WILL BE OVER ARKANSAS. A SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
NORTHERN PLAINS SUNDAY AND GREAT LAKES AREA SUNDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER
SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH ARKANSAS MONDAY. THE UPPER RIDGE OVER
THE WEST WILL EXPAND EASTWARD TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER ARKANSAS SATURDAY THEN WILL MOVE EAST OF
THE AREA SUNDAY. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH TEXAS
SUNDAY AND PASS SOUTH OF ARKANSAS ON MONDAY. WITH AN INCREASE IN
MOISTURE...THIS WILL BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN CENTRAL AND SOUTH AND
WHAT APPEARS AS A WINTRY MIX IN THE NORTH. SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY IN
THE NORTH SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...RAIN AND SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE.
WARMING ON MONDAY AFTERNOON SHOULD CHANGE PRECIPITATION TO RAIN IN
ALL AREAS AS A SECOND SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE STATE. AMOUNTS STILL
APPEAR TO BE LIGHT IN THE NORTH...POSSIBLY UP TO AN INCH OF SNOW AND
SLEET. HEAVIER PRECIPITAITION AMOUNTS WILL BE CENTRAL AND SOUTH.
HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS OVER THE AREA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND THEN TEMPERATURES
WILL WARM MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

FIRE WEATHER...
HUMIDITY WILL BE HIGHER TODAY...WITH MUCH LESS OF A
TEMPERATURE/DEWPOINT SPREAD. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION
WILL BE ON SUNDAY...SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY AS A STRONGER STORM
SYSTEM AFFECTS THE REGION.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     45  28  53  24 /   0   0   0   0
CAMDEN AR         64  34  63  33 /   0   0   0   0
HARRISON AR       46  29  51  20 /   0   0   0   0
HOT SPRINGS AR    57  32  61  32 /   0   0   0   0
LITTLE ROCK   AR  52  31  58  30 /   0   0   0   0
MONTICELLO AR     60  34  60  32 /   0   0   0   0
MOUNT IDA AR      60  31  62  30 /   0   0   0   0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  45  28  52  20 /   0   0   0   0
NEWPORT AR        45  28  51  24 /   0   0   0   0
PINE BLUFF AR     54  32  57  31 /   0   0   0   0
RUSSELLVILLE AR   53  30  59  29 /   0   0   0   0
SEARCY AR         47  27  55  26 /   0   0   0   0
STUTTGART AR      50  31  55  29 /   0   0   0   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...65


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.