Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 271810
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1210 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH LIGHT
WINDS TODAY SHIFTING OUT OF THE SOUTH BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. WINDS
WILL ONCE AGAIN BE A BIT STRONG ON WEDNESDAY...GENERALLY ACROSS
NORTHERN ARKANSAS.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 449 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015/

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 217 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY

WINDS HAVE SWITCHED BACK TO THE NW THIS MORNING AS A VERY WEAK FRONT
WAS DROPPING SOUTH INTO THE STATE. NOT MUCH IMPACT WILL BE SEEN FROM
THIS FRONT OTHER THAN THE WIND SHIFT...WITH MILD TEMPS EXPECTED ONCE
AGAIN FOR THIS TUE AFTERNOON. EXPECT HIGH TEMPS IN THE 50S AND
60S...THOUGH SOME LOCATIONS ACROSS THE FAR WEST COULD SEE TEMPS
AROUND 70. A MOSTLY CLEAR SKY WILL CONTINUE.

SRLY FLOW WILL RETURN FOR WED...THOUGH SOME INCREASED CLOUDINESS
WILL BE SEEN. EVEN SO...EXPECT TEMPS TO BE WARMER THAN TODAY...WITH
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOW 70S...WITH THE WARMEST TEMPS ACROSS THE
FAR WEST.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE STATE ON THU...WITH MAINLY INCREASED
CLOUDS AND A NWRLY WIND THE MAIN IMPACTS. MOISTURE LEVELS LOOK
LIMITED ENOUGH TO KEEP THE FORECAST DRY. HOWEVER...THERE COULD BE
SOME SPRINKLES OR LIGHT RAIN ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT THU
AFTERNOON. WILL ONLY CARRY SILENT POPS HOWEVER DUE TO THE LOW
CONFIDENCE OF PRECIP AND LOW MOISTURE LEVELS.

MUCH COOLER CONDITIONS WILL BE SEEN FOR FRI AS NRLY FLOW USHERS IN
COOLER AND DRIER AIR. TEMPS SHOULD DROP BELOW NORMAL...WITH HIGHS IN
THE MID 40S TO MID 50S. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SEEING PRECIP WILL COME
VERY LATE FRI NIGHT AND MORE LIKELY OVER THE WEEKEND.

LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A SURFACE AND UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE AREA ON SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY...WITH PRECIPITATION BECOMING FAIRLY WIDESPREAD.
INDICATIONS ARE THAT THERE WILL BE SOME FORM OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION
OVER PORTIONS OF THE AREA. HOWEVER...THIS CONTINUES TO BE A LOW-
CONFIDENCE FORECAST DUE TO CONTINUED MODEL PERFORMANCE ISSUES IN THE
EXTENDED RANGE.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL PUSH IN TO THE REGION LATE SUNDAY...WITH ANY
LINGERING PRECIPITATION COMING TO AN END. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE
PERIOD WILL RANGE BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     59  33  59  45 /   0   0  10  10
CAMDEN AR         69  40  71  51 /   0   0  10  10
HARRISON AR       61  36  65  43 /   0   0  10  10
HOT SPRINGS AR    68  39  68  49 /   0   0  10  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  65  36  65  48 /   0   0  10  10
MONTICELLO AR     65  38  67  50 /   0   0  10  10
MOUNT IDA AR      70  39  69  49 /   0   0  10  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  60  34  61  44 /   0   0  10  10
NEWPORT AR        59  33  60  44 /   0   0  10  10
PINE BLUFF AR     64  36  66  48 /   0   0  10  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   66  37  67  45 /   0   0  10  10
SEARCY AR         61  32  61  45 /   0   0  10  10
STUTTGART AR      62  35  63  46 /   0   0  10  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...65




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