Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 220939
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
439 AM CDT Mon May 22 2017

.SHORT TERM...Today Through Tuesday Night
The front that pushed through the region from the Plains on
Sunday has stalled along the Gulf Coast. Meanwhile, a big
storm system in the upper Midwest will wobble to the south
the next couple of days. A new cold front will precede
the system, and will arrive in Arkansas on Tuesday. This
will result in an unsettled pattern.

There was already some rain building from northeast Texas
into southern Arkansas early this morning. Precipitation
should stay confined to the southern counties and on into
Louisiana as the day progresses.

Later today and especially tonight/Tuesday, chances for
showers/isolated thunderstorms will increase elsewhere
as the new front approaches.

Precipitation will taper off Tuesday night, with a
return to dry conditions at the end of the near
term.

This will not be a big rain event. Instead, some places
may get quarter to half inch amounts.

As far as temperatures, below average readings are
in the forecast.
&&

.LONG TERM...Wednesday Through Sunday
Rain chances will be decreasing Wednesday, as the front moves away
from the region. Cutoff upper low will follow, which will usher
surface high pressure and much cooler air into the region. Airmass
will moderate by the end of the week, as ridging aloft pushes
eastward across the nation`s mid-section, and the surface high moves
southeast, with return flow setting up. For the end of the week and
the weekend, temperatures will be back into the 80s in most areas.
Rain chances will return to the forecast, as surface low pressure
drags a front into the region. The boundary will hit nearly parallel
upper flow, and may slow down or stall out.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     74  55  73  51 /   0  20  50  50
Camden AR         72  56  75  54 /  30  40  50  60
Harrison AR       75  53  68  47 /   0  20  60  30
Hot Springs AR    76  56  74  53 /  20  40  50  40
Little Rock   AR  75  58  75  54 /  10  30  50  60
Monticello AR     72  58  76  56 /  30  30  30  60
Mount Ida AR      74  54  74  52 /  20  40  50  40
Mountain Home AR  75  54  69  47 /   0  20  50  40
Newport AR        75  56  74  53 /   0  20  40  60
Pine Bluff AR     73  57  76  55 /  20  30  40  60
Russellville AR   77  57  72  51 /  10  30  50  40
Searcy AR         75  57  75  53 /  10  30  40  60
Stuttgart AR      75  59  76  55 /  10  30  40  60
&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.
&&

$$

Short Term...46 / Long Term...57



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