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000
FXUS64 KLZK 271944
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
244 PM CDT TUE SEP 27 2016

.SHORT TERM...Tonight Through Thursday

Dry weather with seasonal temperatures is the story for the day on
Tuesday as the region continues to be under WNW/NW flow aloft as
we sit on the southwest periphery of a deep upper level low. At
the surface, a light northerly (or even variable) wind will
persist as we sit between surface troughing and a high pressure
centered near the low Rio Grande valley. Even with plenty of
insolation, weak winds through the PBL will keep winds light at
the surface.

WV imagery continues to show the aforementioned upper level low
digging into the Great Lakes region from Canada. A shortwave
rotating around this upper low will be responsible for a
reinforcing shot of colder air on Wednesday. Some warm air
advection ahead of the cold front will be responsible for a brief
warming trend, as we`ll see highs back in the mid 80s tomorrow for
much of the southern half of the state. The front will cross the
state through the day on Wednesday. While some ascent will occur,
deep-layer dry air (PWATS < 1 inch) will shunt any possibility of
precipitation. Temperatures following the front will be near, or
even a little below seasonal, with highs in the 70s and lows in
the 50s.

&&

.LONG TERM...Thursday Night Through Tuesday

Period will start out fairly pleasant, with the area in northwest
flow aloft, and temperatures close to average. By the late weekend,
the flow will flatten out, and surface winds will gain more of a
southerly component. This will allow temperatures to gradually warm
into next week. There will be little if any chances for rain.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     58  83  54  73 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         56  89  58  76 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       58  78  50  69 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    56  88  57  74 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  58  87  58  75 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     58  87  60  75 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      54  87  56  73 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  57  79  52  71 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        57  83  54  73 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     57  87  58  74 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   55  87  55  75 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         57  86  56  73 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      58  86  56  73 /   0   0   0   0
&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.
&&

$$

Short Term...BROWN / Long Term...57