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000
FXUS64 KSHV 050403
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1003 PM CST WED DEC 4 2013

.DISCUSSION...

ONLY MINOR TWEAKS IN THE CURRENT FORECAST PACKAGE NEEDED.
INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND ADJUSTED THE WINDS SLIGHTLY. /06/

&&

.AVIATION...

STRATUS TO REDEVELOP THIS EVENING ACROSS THE REGION AS MOIST SLY
FLOW CONTINUES OUT AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT...WHICH HAS ALREADY
PUSHED INTO THE FAR NW PORTIONS OF THE REGION. EXPECT MVFR/IFR CIGS
TO PREVAIL THROUGH NEARLY ALL OF THE UPCOMING 06Z TAF PERIOD AS THE
LOW STRATUS WILL LAG BEHIND THE FRONT ON THURSDAY AS IT BEGINS TO
SLOW...WITH RAIN AND FOG ALSO EXPECTED TO REDUCE VSBYS TO MFVR AND
POSSIBLY IFR AT TIMES. THE FRONT WILL PUSH INTO TXK...TYR AROUND
09-10Z THIS MORNING AND SOON AFTER AT GGG...THEN ARRIVING AT SHV
AROUND 12-13Z WITH ELD/MLU/LFK SEEING FROPA BY LATE MORNING/EARLY
AFTERNOON. SOUTH WINDS OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL SHIFT SHARPLY TO
THE NW AROUND 10-15 KTS WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS DURING THE AFTERNOON.
CLIMB WINDS SHOW GOOD VEERING WITH HEIGHT TO THE SW AND THEN DUE W
BY 20KFT WITH SPEEDS OF 50 KTS...INCREASING TO 70 KTS AT 30KFT. /19/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  58  58  37  38  28 /  20  70 100 100  20
MLU  64  69  38  38  30 /  20  70 100 100  40
DEQ  41  41  32  33  18 /  40  80 100 100  10
TXK  47  47  32  33  20 /  30  80 100 100  10
ELD  57  60  34  35  25 /  20  80 100 100  20
TYR  41  41  33  33  25 /  30  70 100 100  10
GGG  46  46  34  35  26 /  30  70 100 100  10
LFK  64  64  37  39  32 /  20  60 100 100  30

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...ICE STORM WARNING FROM 6 PM THURSDAY TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: ARZ050-051-059>061-070-071.

LA...NONE.

OK...ICE STORM WARNING FROM 6 PM THURSDAY TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: OKZ077.

TX...ICE STORM WARNING FROM 6 PM THURSDAY TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: TXZ096-097-108>112-124-125-136.

&&

$$

06/19