Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FXUS64 KSHV 250245
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
945 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE ON THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL PREVAIL OVER THE
FOUR STATE AREA. NO CHANGES TO THE FORECAST HAVE BEEN MADE AND NO
UPDATED NEEDED.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 610 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014/

AVIATION...
BKN BAND OF CIRRUS STREAMING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION THIS
EVENING SHOULD THIN MUCH LATER TONIGHT. OTHERWISE LIMITED MOISTURE
BELOW THIS HIGH CLOUD COVER SHOULD ALLOW FOR VFR CONDITIONS TO
PREVAIL. CANNOT RULE OUT SOME PATCHY FOG OVERNIGHT AT THE MLU
TERMINAL BUT CIRRUS MIGHT PRECLUDE THIS FROM FORMING. LOOKING FOR
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS OVERNIGHT OR NEAR CALM WITH SW WINDS NEAR
4-7KTS DURING THE DAY SATURDAY.

13

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 340 PM CDT FRI OCT 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
PASSING CIRRUS IS THICKENING OVER E OK...BUT WILL BE AN EVENING
AFFAIR FOR THE MOST PART. AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH FAIR SKIES AND
SPREADS CLOSING WE WILL LIKELY SEE SOME SHALLOW PATCHY FOG IN THE
USUAL SPOTS OVER AR...NE LA AND SE TX. OTHERWISE...A WARMER NIGHT
COMPARED TO LAST AND CLOSER AND EVEN SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE
AVERAGE.

WE WILL CONTINUE TO WARM OVER THE WEEKEND WITH HIGHS SOME 5 TO 10
DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE. RECORDS IN THE 90 WILL REMAIN SAFE...BUT A
NICE EARLY FALL WEEKEND TO BE SURE AS THE UPPER RIDGE BUILDS INTO
MUCH OF THE NATION. OUR RISING HEIGHTS ALOFT AND SOUTHWEST WINDS
ON THE SURFACE WILL BOOST THE MERCURY INTO THE MID AND A FEW UPPER
80S THIS WEEKEND. LOWS WILL BE INCREASING TOO WITH EVEN SOME
SCATTERED 60S. ASIDE FROM IN AND OUT CLOUDS THIS EVENING...MUCH OF
THE WEEKEND SHOULD BE MOSTLY CLEAR.

THE GFS AND EURO MODELS ARE STILL IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON A WEAK COLD
FRONT AND 1020ISH MB HIGH INTO MIDWEEK. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL FILTER IN FOR MIDWEEK AND
LINGER A BIT AS THE INITIAL FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLS MORE OR LESS.

LATER IN THE WEEK...STRONGER REINFORCEMENTS ARRIVE WITH A LARGE
1035MB HIGH SHOULD MAKE FOR A NICE END TO THE MONTH AND FIRST
WEEKEND INTO NOVEMBER FOR THAT MATTER. MAV/MEX IS REASONABLE
THROUGH THE MEDIUM RANGE AND HAVE BEEN BLENDED THROUGH THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  54  86  60  87  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
MLU  48  83  57  86  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEQ  54  85  56  86  55 /   0   0   0   0   0
TXK  56  85  61  86  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
ELD  51  83  58  86  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
TYR  60  86  62  87  62 /   0   0   0   0   0
GGG  55  87  59  87  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
LFK  53  86  57  86  58 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

06





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