Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 182334 AAA
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
634 PM CDT FRI APR 18 2014

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE 00Z TAF PERIOD. STILL
SEEING BANDS OF ELEVATED CU ACROSS THE REGION EARLY THIS
EVENING...BUT THESE SHOULD DIMINISH THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS WITH
THE LOSS OF HEATING...AND SUBSIDENCE IN WAKE OF THE DEPARTING
UPPER LOW OVER SRN MS/SE LA. SHOULD SEE CIRRUS INCREASE FROM THE W
LATE TONIGHT OVER E TX/SE OK...AHEAD OF A LARGE UPPER TROUGH OVER
THE DESERT SW AND NRN BAJA REGION. THIS CIRRUS SHIELD SHOULD
OVERSPREAD THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION SATURDAY...WITH A SCT CU
FIELD DEVELOPING BY MIDDAY AREAWIDE. LT NE/LT AND VRB WINDS
TONIGHT WILL BECOME ENE AROUND 5KTS AFTER 15Z...EXCEPT OVER E
TX...WHICH WILL VEER SE 5-7KTS BY LATE MORNING. /15/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 302 PM CDT FRI APR 18 2014/

DISCUSSION...
UPPER LOW THAT MOVED ACROSS OUR REGION OVERNIGHT/THIS MORNING
CONTINUES TO MOVE EWD THIS AFTERNOON. DESPITE THE REDEVELOPMENT OF
CU ACROSS N LA/SRN AR...SKIES SHOULD GO MOSTLY CLEAR TONIGHT AS
SUBSIDENCE ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW TAKES OVER.

UPPER RIDGING SHOULD KEEP US DRY AND SEASONABLY WARM FOR SATURDAY
BEFORE SW FLOW TAKES OVER AHEAD OF ANOTHER DISTURBANCE ON SUNDAY.
CHANCES FOR AN ISOLD SHWR/TSTM WILL CREEP IN FOR SUNDAY...MAINLY
ACROSS E TX/SE OK...AND LINGER THROUGH TUESDAY...AS A SLOW-MOVING
COLD FRONT MAKES ITS WAY ACROSS THE REGION.

RIDGING AT THE SFC AND ALOFT WILL CLEAR US OUT FOR WEDNESDAY...BUT
ANOTHER TROF/COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO MOVE ACROSS THE PLAINS THURSDAY.
THE COLD FRONT WILL BE SLOW-MOVING ONCE AGAIN...KEEPING CHANCES
FOR SHWRS/TSTMS AROUND THROUGH THE END OF THE FCST PD.

ALL IN ALL NOTHING OVERLY SIGNIFICANT...ESPECIALLY CONSIDERING THE
FACT THAT APRIL IS CLIMATOLOGICALLY OUR MOST ACTIVE SEVERE WEATHER
MONTH. TEMPS WILL LIKELY RUN ABOVE NORMAL/GUIDANCE WITH LITTLE TO
NO COLD AIR INTRUSION EXPECTED THIS PD. /12/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  53  81  58  82  61 /  10  10  10  10  20
MLU  53  78  55  82  59 /  10  10  10  10  20
DEQ  49  78  51  77  58 /  10  10  10  20  40
TXK  52  78  56  80  60 /  10  10  10  20  30
ELD  51  78  53  81  58 /  10  10  10  10  20
TYR  54  79  59  79  60 /  10  10  10  20  20
GGG  54  80  57  81  60 /  10  10  10  10  20
LFK  55  81  58  82  60 /  10  10  10  10  20

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

15





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