Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 291126
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
526 AM CST THU JAN 29 2015

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL AT MOST SITES THROUGH MUCH
OF THE PD. SOME PATCHY LOW STRATUS/BR HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS PARTS
OF DEEP E TX AND ADJACENT NW LA...AND IS MOVING NWD INTO THE I-20
CORRIDOR RAPIDLY. HOWEVER...AMPLE MIXING WILL SCATTER ANY
REMAINING STRATUS BY MID MORNING...ALLOWING FOR ANOTHER MOSTLY
CLEAR AFTERNOON ACROSS THE REGION. OTHERWISE...A COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TODAY AND BRING NLY WINDS 10-12 KTS...WITH
THE POSSIBILITY OF HIGHER GUSTS. /12/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 242 AM CST THU JAN 29 2015/

DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT CURRENTLY ACROSS THE RED RIVER OF NORTH TEXAS AND INTO
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS. FRONT TO PUSH
SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION TODAY ALLOWING FOR A WIND SHIFT TO
THE NORTHWEST FOLLOWED BY COOLER TEMPERATURES. STRONGER
WINDS...AROUND LAKE WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA OF 20 MPH POSSIBLE
ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST TEXAS. FOR
THIS FORECAST PACKAGE...WENT AHEAD AND ISSUED A LAKE WIND ADVISORY
FROM MID-MORNING THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON FOR THESE AREAS.

TEMPS TO FALL INTO THE MID 30S ACROSS MOST LOCATIONS OVERNIGHT.
AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 30 CORRIDOR COULD SEE
LIGHT FREEZE CONDITIONS.

CLOUDS TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK
AHEAD OF THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM THAT WILL PROVIDE SUBSTANTIAL
RAINS TO THE REGION LATE IN THE WEEKEND. AS UPPER RIDGE BREAKS
DOWN...SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL ALLOW FOR PACIFIC MOISTURE TO
MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. A TROUGH
WILL DIG SOUTH FROM THE GREAT PLAINS ALLOWING FOR THE POTENTIAL
FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. UP TO AN INCH TO AN INCH AND A HALF
OF RAIN MAY BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE INTERSTATE 30 CORRIDOR SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

UPPER-RIDGE TO REBUILD ACROSS THE REGION ON MONDAY ALLOWING FOR
MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WORK WEEK. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL AVERAGE IN THE 50S WITH LOWS AROUND FREEZING.
/05/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  70  39  56  38  54 /   0   0   0  10  20
MLU  72  39  54  34  53 /   0   0   0   0  10
DEQ  64  31  55  35  50 /   0   0   0  10  30
TXK  66  35  53  36  49 /   0   0   0  10  20
ELD  68  35  53  33  51 /   0   0   0  10  10
TYR  68  39  55  40  53 /   0   0   0  10  40
GGG  70  40  55  39  54 /   0   0   0  10  30
LFK  73  43  58  40  58 /   0   0   0  10  30

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM CST THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: OKZ077.

TX...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM CST THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: TXZ096.

&&

$$

12




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