000
FXUS63 KFGF 281455
AFDFGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
955 AM CDT Fri Jul 28 2017

.UPDATE...
Issued at 953 AM CDT Fri Jul 28 2017

No changes to ongoing forecast. Virga showers over SE ND have
dissipated and no plans to introduce showers this aftn. Most
activity staying south of CWA.

UPDATE Issued at 700 AM CDT Fri Jul 28 2017

Updated sky conditions with mid level clouds moving into the
southern zones. Expect more clouds in the southern zones today
with short wave moving through. No other changes at this update.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Sunday night)
Issued at 359 AM CDT Fri Jul 28 2017

Split flow was across North America with southern stream just south
of the forecast area. Northern stream was over central Canada. Upper
level ridge was over the area with short waves moving through the
flow.

Water vapor loop indicated a short wave over northeast WY. Short
wave was producing clouds and high based showers over SD and south
central ND. Mid level warm advection and clouds over the ND/SD
border will shift east this afternoon and tonight and brush the
southwest/southern zones. Elsewhere cumulus field will develop this
afternoon.

Water vapor loop indicated a short wave over southern MT. Short wave
forecast to move across the southern Red River Valley Sat night.
Precipitable water rises over an inch and a half ahead of the short
wave.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Thursday)
Issued at 359 AM CDT Fri Jul 28 2017

The warmest day of the period will be Monday as blyr thermal axis
aligns from SW to NE across the forecast area ahead of a SFC trough,
as low pressure tracks well north of the area, across N Ontario.
Highs around 90 in E ND and mid 80s in NW MN are expected. There
will be a chance for thunderstorms as the front moves through Monday
afternoon and evening. Thereafter the 500mb ridge sets up over the
Rockies with NW flow and overall dry conditions persisting into the
first week of August across the Northern Plains. Seasonal temps are
expected with highs in the low 80s and lows within a couple degrees
of 60.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday morning)
Issued at 700 AM CDT Fri Jul 28 2017

Generally VFR conditions were across the area. However some patchy
fog over the north and east zones. Fog should dissipate quickly in
the next hour or so. Expect VFR conditions for today and tonight.
Afternoon and early evening cumulus are expected to develop with
mostly sct cigs above 40 hundred ft.


&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Speicher
SHORT TERM...JH
LONG TERM...JK
AVIATION...JH