Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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000
FXUS63 KFGF 241956
AFDFGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
256 PM CDT MON AUG 24 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 256 PM CDT MON AUG 24 2015

MAIN CHALLENGES WILL BE TEMPS AND FOG POTENTIAL TONIGHT. AS OF MID
AFTERNOON...THE THICKER CLOUDS WERE HANGING TOUGH EAST OF A LINE
FROM KROX TO KADC. MODELS SHOW THIS BAND SLOWLY SLIDING EAST LATER
TONIGHT. OTHERWISE THERE HAS BEEN SOME SCATTERED CUMULUS FORMATION
ELSEWHERE THAT SHOULD DISSIPATE QUICKLY THIS EVENING. ALSO EXPECT
WINDS TO DROP OFF OVERNIGHT. WITH THE RECENT RAINFALL THERE COULD
BE SOME PATCHY FOG AROUND. HOWEVER SINCE IT HAS BEEN SO DRY LATELY
IN AREAS THAT PICKED UP THE RAIN WILL HOLD OFF ON MENTIONING AT
THIS POINT AND SEE WHAT HAPPENS THRU THE EVENING. SHOULD BE LOTS
OF SUN AGAIN TUE WITH SLIGHTLY WARMER HIGHS.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 256 PM CDT MON AUG 24 2015

WARMING TREND CONTINUES FOR WED/THU WITH HIGHS CLIMBING BACK
TOWARD NORMAL FOR LATE AUGUST. PCPN CHANCES ENTER THE FORECAST
AGAIN BY THU...ALTHOUGH MODELS NOT IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT AT THIS
POINT.

FRIDAY TO MONDAY...MODELS IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH STARTING THE PERIOD
WITH A CHC OF THUNDER AS A SHORT WAVE TROUGH SLIDES ACROSS SD INTO
IOWA. THIS SOUTHERN TRACK MAY ALLOW MOST OF THE PCPN TO REMAIN SOUTH
OF THE FA WITH THE HIGHER CHANCES IN THE SOUTHERN VALLEY. THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK THE 500MB RIDGE
STRENGTHENS OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS MAKING ANY POP CHC SLIGHT WITH
MAX TEMPS IN THE LOW 80S AND MINS IN THE LOW 60S...A BIT ABOVE
NORMAL FOR THE END OF AUGUST.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1234 PM CDT MON AUG 24 2015

SCT TO BKN STRATUS DECK AT 4000FT AT TVF AND BJI WILL PUSH EAST
THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTY NW WINDS WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING WITH SKC
AND LIGHT WINDS TONIGHT.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...NONE.
MN...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...GODON
LONG TERM...GODON/JK
AVIATION...JK



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