Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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FXUS63 KFGF 170540
AFDFGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1140 PM CST Tue Jan 16 2018

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1140 PM CST Tue Jan 16 2018

Adjusted cloud cover and winds just a bit. Winds will continue to
bring warm air advection overnight with rising temps and readings
approaching the freezing mark tomorrow afternoon. Adjusted patchy
blowing snow mention for updated winds.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 305 PM CST Tue Jan 16 2018

Clouds will continue to move north to south through the afternoon,
with temperatures getting above zero in most places, and temperatures
will remain fairly steady throughout the night with lows around
zero. Wednesday will be sunny and significantly warmer, with high
temperatures in the upper 20s across northwest Minnesota and lower
30s into North Dakota. Winds will become breezy tomorrow
afternoon with gusts up to 30 mph. This could lead to some blowing
and drifting snow, and snow on roadways could melt and refreeze,
potentially leading to slippery conditions, mostly in open country.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 305 PM CST Tue Jan 16 2018

A compact clipper system is expected to stroll across the region
from the northwest Wednesday overnight into Thursday morning
bringing some chance of light precipitation. Better chances of
precipitation reside in the northern Red River Valley into
northwestern Minnesota, but exact track will dictate who sees
light precipitation. Also, with the warmer temperatures expected,
there will be the chance of precipitation being freezing rain or
sleet. Impacts should be minimal as little moisture is expected
with this system.

Upper level ridging continues over the area late this week
continuing warmer than normal temperatures. An upper level wave
moves through this ridge in Canada dragging a cold front over the
Northern Plains. This will halt the warming trend Friday into
Saturday bringing along with it the chance of a wintry mix and even
some rain. Again, the amount of QPF forecast on Friday is light
which may limit impacts. Attention then turns to a developing system
in the Central Plains moving into the Great Lakes Region late this
weekend into early next week. Details are still getting resolved
regarding this system and possibly another, smaller system on its
heels that should influence the region`s weather.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday night)
Issued at 1140 PM CST Tue Jan 16 2018

Cirrus moving across western MN but all TAF sites are VFR and will
remain so throughout the period. Winds will continue to ramp up
above the 12 kt range, with some gust greater than 20 kts
possible tomorrow. Winds will settle down slightly around sunset.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...JR
SHORT TERM...Godon/Wilson
LONG TERM...CJ
AVIATION...JR



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