Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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FXUS63 KFGF 220235

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
935 PM CDT Fri Jul 21 2017

Issued at 935 PM CDT Fri Jul 21 2017

Storms over west central MN have exited off to the southeast. Now
in a waiting mode to see if any of the storms off to the west in
central ND can hold together as they move east. So right now,
hardly any pcpn is occurring in the FA. Went ahead and canceled
most of the remaining counties from the watch, with the exception
of Grant (MN) and Barnes, Ransom, and Sargent (ND). There are
still storms in Grant (although weak) and some of the activity
over south central ND may still work into the southwest FA, so
left those few counties in the watch.


.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 341 PM CDT Fri Jul 21 2017

Still many questions in regards to convection thru the night.
Boundary located from Red Lake MN west to near Cooperstown ND. a
bit more east wind north of this boundary from earlier convection
while south winds south of this boundary with temps mid 80s to low
90s. Sfc based cape 3-4k in the RRV but where storms are nr
Cooperstown/Carrington some cap exists and still not certain
storms are rooted in boundary layer yet. Storms east toward GFK
into Crookston was elevated.

Overnight storms that are expected to fire in Manitoba may drop
southeast into NE ND but that again is not certain.

Breezy and cooler Saturday with risk of a few showers or t-storms
in NW MN.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 341 PM CDT Fri Jul 21 2017

Sunday a cool day compared to normal and then next wave with tstm
chance arriving into central/ern ND late Monday aftn and moving
east. For Tues-Fri relatively quite pattern.


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday evening)
Issued at 713 PM CDT Fri Jul 21 2017

VFR thru the night with a light wind regime, except near storms.
Increasing NW winds Saturday.




LONG TERM...Riddle
AVIATION...Riddle is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.