Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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FXUS63 KFGF 171600

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1000 AM CST Wed Jan 17 2018

Issued at 1000 AM CST Wed Jan 17 2018

There is abundant sunshine across the FA this morning, with not
much cloud cover expected through the rest of the afternoon
either. Temperatures are already approaching or are above 10
degrees...on their way to around 30 today. Winds are a little
breezy with area web cams showing some drifting snow. By
afternoon, some of this drifting snow may melt on roads and cause
some slippery spots. Have been highlighting this possibility in
our products, so no changes needed to the forecast at this point.


.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 359 AM CST Wed Jan 17 2018

Warmer today with warmer air moving in aloft. Clipper system will
move across southern MAN tonight with colder air clipping the
northeast zones.

Water vapor loop indicated a short wave trough over southern ALTA.
Trough will move across southern MAN and will produce light
snow/freezing rain mainly over northern MN for tonight.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 359 AM CST Wed Jan 17 2018

Minor weather impacts expected through the extended period and
limited to light precip potential. Well above normal temps to end
the week with highs in the 30s Thursday to Saturday. Cooler air
returns Sunday, highs in the 20s, as winds shift to the NW with the
temperatures continuing to cool with highs Monday and Tuesday in
the teens.

Limited precip for the region in the extended with a slight chance
of a wintry mix Friday morning along the International Border
region. As a central plains storm system develops over the weekend
there will be a chance for light snow along the southern third of
the area as GEFS guidance indicates about a third of the solutions
bringing light snow to the Fargo area. This system bares watching
with its synoptic scale features a wide area will see measurable
snow and wind so any change in its track or its expected evolution
is still very possible.


.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Thursday morning)
Issued at 658 AM CST Wed Jan 17 2018

VFR conditions were across the area under a mostly clear sky. A
patch of clouds with cigs around 15 to 20 thousand ft were located
over the far southeast zones this morning. Cloud patch was moving
south around 40 knots. Expect VFR conditions for today. MVFR cigs
will be possible after midnight for far northern MN. MVFR cigs
will continue into Thu for northern MN. Rest of the area expected
to remain VFR.




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