Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS63 KICT 190849
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
349 AM CDT TUE JUL 19 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 311 PM CDT Mon Jul 18 2016

In the upper levels, water vapor imagery shows one shortwave
tracking across western Quebec with another impulse rotating over
the Pacific NW. Meanwhile, ridging is in place over the Rockies
into the Plains. At the surface, weak lee troughing is in place
with a weak front extending across northern MO into southern
Nebraska.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 311 PM CDT Mon Jul 18 2016

The main theme for the next few days will be for
the upper ridge to continue to build and expand over the Plains
through Fri. This will allow for plenty of sun and a warming
trend. Temps Tue look like the "coolest" through at least Fri
before the more serious heat starts Wed and continues through the
end of the work week. Should start to see more widespread highs at
or above 100 by Wed. The only good news is that we should start
to see afternoon dew points mix out for mid-late week which should
limit the 110+ heat indices. Due to the prolonged period of
100-105+ heat, will continue with heat headlines along and east
of I-135.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Monday)
Issued at 311 PM CDT Mon Jul 18 2016

Upper pattern will slowly start to flatten out starting Sat and
continue into the start of the work week. There is also some
model agreement in some shortwave energy sliding across the
northern Plains and into the western Great Lakes region by Sun
which may try and push a front into northern Kansas. In addition,
the more zonal flow will allow some of the weak impulses to track
over the area which may spark off a few storms. Confidence in
storm chances through these periods is extremely low as models
will have a hard time resolving these smaller scale features this
far out.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Tuesday morning) Issued
at 349 AM CDT Tue Jul 19 2016

Could see a few hours of northerly winds at Russell and possibly
Salina early this morning around dawn, due to outflow winds from
thunderstorms over Nebraska. Otherwise, breezy and mostly
sunny/clear conditions will prevail. Will likely see FEW-SCT
cumulus around 6000-8000 ft AGL this afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    96  75 100  77 /   0   0   0   0
Hutchinson      99  75 100  77 /   0   0   0   0
Newton          96  75  99  77 /   0   0   0   0
ElDorado        95  75  97  77 /   0   0   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   95  75  98  77 /   0   0   0   0
Russell         99  75 102  77 /   0   0   0   0
Great Bend      99  75 101  76 /   0   0   0   0
Salina          99  76 102  79 /  10   0   0   0
McPherson       98  75 100  77 /   0   0   0   0
Coffeyville     94  74  96  76 /   0   0   0   0
Chanute         94  75  95  77 /   0   0   0   0
Iola            94  75  95  77 /   0   0   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    94  75  95  76 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ICT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Friday for KSZ051-068-069-083-
092>096-098>100.

Excessive Heat Warning from noon today to 8 PM CDT Friday for
KSZ049-052-053-070>072.

Heat Advisory until noon CDT today for KSZ049-052-053-070>072.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RBL
LONG TERM...RBL
AVIATION...ADK


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.