Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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FXUS63 KFGF 152010

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
310 PM CDT Sun Oct 15 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 310 PM CDT Sun Oct 15 2017

All echoes on radar have dried up now, with just some lingering
cloud cover across the area. These clouds will move to the east
tonight along with decreasing winds. Clearing skies and light
winds means another chilly night for the area, but not as cold as
this morning. There may also be some local pockets of fog, but
confidence in picking them out is pretty low. Return to nicer
weather starts Monday.

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Sunday)
Issued at 310 PM CDT Sun Oct 15 2017

Overall dry period expected for the work week as a seasonally dry
airmasses work across the region. The warmest days, with highs 10 to
15 degrees above normal, in the 70s possibly, on Tuesday and again
Thursday and Friday will feature favorable west or southwest SFC
winds mixing down warmer air aloft. Cooler Wednesday with the
passage of a short wave across the Canadian Prairies and a wind
shift to the northwest bringing temps into the 50s and low 60s,
still above normal.

Next rain chances confined to the end of the period with fast moving
500mb trough expected Saturday night into Sunday. Currently amounts
appear minimal, generally less than a half inch per GEFS ensembles,
with upper support well north in Canadian and to the south the
central plains.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
Issued at 1257 PM CDT Sun Oct 15 2017

Clouds and vsbys will stay in the VFR realm for the next 24 hours.
Winds will be the main story. As a trough moves through today,
south-southwest winds will turn to the west-northwest, and get a
little gusty at times at KDVL. Speeds will die down quickly this
evening, but will increase again by mid Monday morning.




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