Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD

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FXUS63 KABR 260814

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
314 AM CDT Sun Mar 26 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Tuesday Afternoon)
Issued at 313 AM CDT Sun Mar 26 2017

Stratus/drizzle/fog impacting the CWA, from the Missouri east, while
the western CWA is seeing high based showers. UNR radar has only
recently filled in, however are still reporting a 10kft ceiling.
Anticipate the status quo for most of the day with light low level
winds and the weakening wave aloft. There will also be a sharp
gradient in temperatures across the CWA today based on where the
status line ends up by evening.

Split flow pattern dominates conditions to end the weekend and start
next week with a storm track mostly south of the CWA. Temepratures
aloft won`t change much and the degree of cloud cover will determine

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday Evening through Saturday)
Issued at 313 AM CDT Sun Mar 26 2017

Split flow aloft will dominate the pattern in the extended. Most of
the significant upper level energy and lift will remain south of the
region. However, all models do stretch some precip into the Dakotas
on Tuesday night/early Wed. Precip chances for the rest of the
period are uncertain due to model differences so stuck with
consensus pops. Temperatures are expected to be above average in the
extended with highs in the 50s and 60s. Temps will be affected by
any precip/cloud cover that moves into the region, however.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday Night)
Issued at 1229 AM CDT Sun Mar 26 2017

IFR cigs will continue to spread west overnight, covering all
terminals.  Vsbys will likely lower into the MVFR range overnight
too. Some improvement in cigs/vsbys will occur on Sunday with
daytime heating.




SHORT TERM...Connelly
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