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000
FXUS64 KFWD 021731 AAA
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1131 AM CST MON MAR 2 2015

.DISCUSSION...

MORNING KFWD SOUNDING SHOWS THE SWALLOW ARCTIC AIR CONTINUING TO
MODIFY SLOWLY OVERNIGHT WITH A SHAPE INVERSION NOW AROUND 1200
FEET AND AROUND 50 DEGREES (10C) AT 850 MB (5000 FEET). AS A
RESULT OUR LOW CLOUDS WILL HANG IN TODAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES
ONLY 5 TO 9 DEGREES ABOVE THE MORNING LOWS. COOLEST HIGHS WILL BE
OVER THE NORTHWEST COUNTIES WHERE SNOWFALL WAS HEAVIEST. AS WINDS
VEER EAST AND SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT...WE WILL SEE DEWPOINTS BEGIN TO
RISE AS A WARM FRONT NEARS FROM THE SOUTH. WE WILL LIKELY SEE FOG
ACROSS MOST OF THE CWA TONIGHT.

FIRST LOOK AT THE MORNING MODELS DO NOT SHOW ANY MAJOR CHANGES
NEEDED. WE/LL BE WORKING ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING PRECIP TYPE AND AMOUNTS FOR THE AFTERNOON PACKAGE. 75

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 601 AM CST MON MAR 2 2015/
IFR TO LIFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT THE TAF SITES THROUGH
THE TAF PERIOD.

A SHALLOW COLD AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY...KEEPING US WITH NORTHERLY WINDS...LOW CEILINGS AND PERIODS
OF DRIZZLE/LIGHT RAIN AND AREAS OF FOG. A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT
NORTH ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS...RESULTING IN WINDS COMING AROUND TO THE SOUTHEAST AND THEN
SOUTH. CURRENTLY HAVE WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AT THE METROPLEX
TAF SITES AROUND 05Z TUESDAY...AND SOUTH AROUND 12 KNOTS AT 11Z
TUESDAY.

58


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  41  40  65  39  39 /  30  40  40  60  70
WACO, TX              43  42  69  48  48 /  30  30  30  50  70
PARIS, TX             42  39  63  38  40 /  40  40  60  60  70
DENTON, TX            40  39  65  35  37 /  30  40  40  60  60
MCKINNEY, TX          40  40  64  37  38 /  30  40  50  60  70
DALLAS, TX            41  41  67  40  41 /  30  40  40  60  70
TERRELL, TX           43  41  67  42  43 /  40  40  50  60  70
CORSICANA, TX         44  43  68  46  47 /  40  40  40  60  70
TEMPLE, TX            43  42  68  50  50 /  30  30  30  40  70
MINERAL WELLS, TX     40  39  69  35  37 /  30  30  30  60  60

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

 /75