Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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000
FXUS63 KPAH 050757
AFDPAH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
157 AM CST THU MAR 5 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 152 AM CST THU MAR 5 2015

WINTER STORM CONTINUES TO PRODUCE HEAVY SNOW ACROSS SOUTHERN
KENTUCKY AND THE PENNYRILE...WHERE UP TO A FOOT HAS FALLEN IN
SOME LOCATIONS AND AT LEAST A COUPLE MORE INCHES LOOK POSSIBLE
BEFORE IT TAPERS OFF. RADAR SHOWS THE BACK EDGE CLEARLY AND OBS
REVEAL DEW POINT DEPRESSIONS SHARPLY INCREASING WHERE THE SNOW
TAPERS SHARPLY FROM SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATING SNOW TO LIGHT SNOW
BEFORE IT ENDS. ANTICIPATE ALL THIS WILL COME TO A CLOSE IN THE
NEXT FEW HOURS AND WILL RETAIN THE CURRENT EXPIRE TIME AND CANCEL
WEST TO EAST AS WE SEE THESE TRENDS UNFOLD.

STILL FORECASTING BELOW GUIDANCE LOWS IN THE LOWER SINGLE DIGITS
TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE WORKS IN OVERHEAD AND ANCHORS ACROSS THE
TN VALLEY BY 12Z FRIDAY. AS A RESULT...WINDS WILL DIMINISH...SO
THE EFFECTIVE TEMPS/WIND CHILLS NEAR ZERO WILL BE HIGHLIGHTED AS
SUCH ON THE HWO. RECORD LOWS LOOK TO BE UNTOUCHED UNLESS IT COOLS
ABOUT 5F OR MORE FROM OUR EXISTING FORECAST LOWS.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 239 PM CST WED MAR 4 2015

MODELS SHOW HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED SOUTH OF THE PAH FORECAST AREA
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  SOUTHWEST WINDS ALONG WITH SOME SUNSHINE WILL
BEGIN A GRADUAL WARM UP.  TEMPERATURES WILL REACH THE LOWER 40S
SATURDAY, AND THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 40S SUNDAY.  THE HIGH WILL SLOWLY
MOVE NORTHEAST, AND THIS WILL OVERALL KEEP OUR REGION IN WARM
SOUTHERLY FLOW INTO MID WEEK.  WE WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO SEE QUITE A
BIT OF SUNSHINE.  TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO MODERATE EACH DAY,
WITH READINGS FINALLY REACHING NEAR SEASONAL READINGS MONDAY AND
MONDAY NIGHT, AND ACTUALLY CLIMBING ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS TUESDAY
AND ESPECIALLY WEDNESDAY. WEDNESDAY HIGHS COULD REACH AROUND 60
DEGREES.

&&

.AVIATION...
ISSUED AT 1137 PM CST WED MAR 4 2015

CONDITIONS BECAME RAPIDLY VFR AFTER THE SNOW ENDED AT KCGI AND
KEVV...AND FIGURE THAT WILL BE THE CASE AT KPAH AND KOWB AS WELL.
KEPT SOME IFR OR LOWER SNOW FOR 3 HOURS AT KPAH...BUT FIGURE IT
WILL BE DONE BY 06Z AT KOWB...SO DID NOT LEAVE ANY MENTION OF SNOW
THERE. NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GUST INTO THE TEENS AT
TIMES...MAINLY AT KPAH AND KCGI OVERNIGHT. STILL CONCERNED ABOUT
LOWER MVFR CEILINGS RE-DEVELOPING LATE MORNING AT KPAH AND KCGI.
MAY SEE FEW TO SCATTERED AT KOWB AND KEVV. OTHERWISE WINDS SHOULD
BE DYING OFF BY THE END OF THE DAY...AND ANY LEFTOVER LOW CLOUDS
SHOULD BE DISSIPATING WITH SUNSET AT THE LATEST.


&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR
     ILZ090-091-093-094.

MO...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR
     MOZ112-114.

IN...NONE.
KY...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR
     KYZ001>022.

&&

$$


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