Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 221719

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1119 AM CST Wed Nov 22 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 1208 AM CST Wed Nov 22 2017

A surface ridge axis will slowly settle southeast across the
Ozarks. The low and mid levels of the atmosphere will remain very
dry, however some high cloudiness will once again make an
appearance at times, especially later this afternoon and this
evening. Temperatures today will be much cooler with highs only warming
into the lower to middle 40s.

After light and variable winds today, light south winds are then
expected for tonight. Despite the south wind, we have leaned
towards the cool side of model guidance over most areas with dew
points in the upper teens and lower twenties. Lows should range
from the middle 20s over the eastern Ozarks to the lower 30s back
towards I-49.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 1208 AM CST Wed Nov 22 2017

Quiet weather will persist from Thanksgiving through the upcoming
weekend. Temperatures look mild, especially for Friday with highs
getting well into the 60s. Another dry cold front will pass
through the region Friday night and will bring slightly cooler
(but still above normal) temperatures for Saturday and Sunday.

Global models then indicate a stronger trough digging across the
Rockies early next week. We should see another warming trend ahead
of this trough along with an increase in low level moisture. If
"quality" moisture can return in time ahead of this trough and
associated surface forcing, we may actually see a chance for rain
showers by next Tuesday.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 1115 AM CST Wed Nov 22 2017

KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: High pressure over the area now will shift
off to the southeast with light north winds backing to the ssw.




SHORT TERM...Schaumann
LONG TERM...Schaumann
AVIATION...DSA is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.