Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 312327

627 PM CDT Sun May 31 2015

...Update to Aviation...

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Monday)

Weather conditions felt like mid October over extreme southeast
Kansas and the Missouri Ozarks today. Temperatures struggled to
warm out of the middle 60s, under overcast skies and northeast

Light rain remained south and east of the Ozarks this afternoon,
with areas of very light drizzle observed in some spots.

For tonight, look for patchy fog with overnight lows falling into
the low to mid 50s. No rain is expected through tonight.

We may finally see some sun on Monday making for ideal conditions
for outdoor activities. Temperatures will range from the upper 60s
in the eastern Ozarks, to the middle 70s down toward Joplin and
Columbus. Light northeast winds will persist as a surface high
axis drifts across the area.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)

The Ozarks will be positioned between a cut off low over the deep
south, and gradual height rises over the central Plains Tuesday
and Wednesday.

This pattern should facilitate dry weather along with a warming
trend. As a matter of fact, highs ranging from the upper 70s into
the middle 80s are expected on an afternoon basis beginning

South breezes will return by Thursday, bringing an increase in
moisture and humidity. Meanwhile, medium range models show a
summertime high attempting to develop over Mexico and far
southwest Texas. This will set the stage for increasing
thunderstorm chances for the Ozarks, as shortwave disturbances
migrate around the periphery of the summertime high.

Best guesses for our next chances for rain will be Thursday into
Friday. Rain chances for next weekend remain highly uncertain at
this time.


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday Evening)
Issued at 626 PM CDT SUN MAY 31 2015

For the KSGF, KJLN, and KBBG TAFS: A cloud deck remains over the
area early this evening, but the low clouds in it are breaking up
some. Ceilings may bounce around some this evening between MVFR
and VFR but overnight ceilings should lower with IFR to LIFR
ceilings possible. Stratus build down will also result the
visibility lowering too.

MVFR conditions will linger into Monday morning, before improving
into the MVFR range Monday afternoon.




LONG TERM...Cramer
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