Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 070021

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
621 PM CST Wed Dec 6 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 110 PM CST Wed Dec 6 2017

Plenty of sunshine across the area this afternoon along with a
dry airmass has allowed temps to climb into the upper 40s to
around 50. Changes are coming as a strong shortwave is dropping
south into Iowa and Nebraska. A few flurries were occuring with
this wave to our north. As the wave drops south tonight, winds
will turn more northwesterly and 850mb CAA kicks in. Did go a
ahead and throw in a few sprinkles or flurries across the
Rolla/Vichy area tonight as the wave move through. Dont think many
will see much at all, especially with dry air in place. Did go a
few degrees lower than guidance for lows tonight given such strong
CAA with 850mb temps dropping to -11C by 12Z Thurs. Thursday will
be a much colder day with continued CAA as the main trough moves
through. Highs will struggle to reach freezing across the area.
Wind chill values may reach the single digits in a few locations
Tomorrow into Tomorrow night. Low temps Thursday night will drop
into the teens with a few single digits not impossible in some of
the valleys and sheltered locations of the Ozarks.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 110 PM CST Wed Dec 6 2017

Northwest flow will continue for the rest of the week, through the
weekend and into next week. Some moderation in temps will occur
from Saturday into Monday as plenty of sunshine and some west
winds occur. Another wave moves down Monday and will bring another
reinforcing shot of cold air to the area as we look to repeat the
cycle again. A cool and dry pattern appears to rule the area for
the foreseeable future. An elevated fire risk will reside on
nearly a day to day basis due to dry air and gusty winds at times.


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Thursday evening)
Issued at 617 PM CST Wed Dec 6 2017

KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: VFR. A disturbance will bring some vfr
ceilings, mainly north and northeast of the taf sites in the near
term, otherwise nw winds, moderately gusty at times, will




SHORT TERM...Burchfield
LONG TERM...Burchfield
AVIATION...DSA is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.