Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 170000

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
600 PM CST Mon Jan 16 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday)

A dryline was pushing across southwest Missouri this afternoon
with a few showers affecting some areas to the east. Eventually
this rain will come to an end completely by this evening, setting
the stage for a mostly dry and mild forecast.

Look for overnight lows to fall into the 30s tonight, under mostly
cloudy skies and west southwest breezes.

For Tuesday temperatures will be steady in the 40s as westerly
winds continue. No precipitation chances are expected tonight or

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)

The area remains under cyclonic flow through most of the seven day
forecast. That will bring plenty of cloud cover during several
periods, however, precipitation chances for the most part are low.

For Wednesday a long wave trough will approach from the west.
Forcing and lift with this feature will occur to the south and
east of the Ozarks. Therefore we think an area of widespread
precipitation will occur over Arkansas and shift into the middle
Mississippi River Valley, keeping much of the Ozarks dry. Temps on
Wednesday will warm into the 50s.

The upper low will shear off to the north, not having much impact
with the sensible weather for Thursday and Friday. More energy
will move over the West Coast and Desert Southwest this weekend.
Eventually this energy will approach the Ozarks and potentially
give us a couple rounds of showers. Our best chances for rain will
be late Saturday night into Sunday.


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday evening)
Issued at 545 PM CST Mon Jan 16 2017

As one stratus deck moves off to the east another stratus deck is
building back into the area from the west this evening. MVFR
ceilings have moved back over the KJLN area and will spread over
the KSGF and KBBG sites early this evening. Ceilings will then
lower to IFR later this evening into Tuesday morning. Ceilings
will then slowly improve Tuesday afternoon.

Some patchy shallow ground fog will be possible at times, but
the clouds building in should help limit widespread fog
development tonight.




LONG TERM...Cramer
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