Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 211909

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
209 PM CDT Fri Oct 21 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)

Incredible weather was observed over extreme southeast Kansas and
the Missouri Ozarks this afternoon. Temperatures warmed into the
60s, under sunny skies and light winds. Surface high pressure was
drifting over the state of Missouri, creating the fair weather.

For tonight, look for overnight lows to fall into the upper 30s
and lower 40s. We do not believe we`ll see much frost tonight
given the forecasted temperatures, and the gradual increase in
southerly breezes.

Another nice sunny day for outdoor activities will be felt on
Saturday, with highs in the 70s. Southerly winds will pick up at 5
to 12 mph.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday Night through Friday)

An upper level ridge of high pressure will continue to build over
the nations midsection Saturday into Tuesday. Warm and dry weather
will continue as a result of this high pressure system.

Our next chances for showers and thunderstorms will occur Tuesday
night into Wednesday, as a disturbance approaches from the west.
At this time, it doesn`t appear as though we`ll have much of a
chance for organized storms or severe weather. The Gulf of Mexico
is currently experiencing a frontal passage and continental air.
Therefore moisture return by Tuesday night and Wednesday looks
thin, and not sufficient enough for very much instability.

Temperatures shouldn`t drop off much behind Wednedsay`s front
since this air will be of Pacific origin. Expect temperatures to
warm back into the 70s for next Thursday and Friday.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 1202 PM CDT Fri Oct 21 2016

For the KSGF, KJLN, and KBBG TAFS: VFR conditions will occur this
afternoon through Saturday as high pressure moves over the
region. Winds will be light through out the TAF period, generally
out of the north this afternoon, becoming variable this evening
then switching to the south overnight into Saturday morning.




LONG TERM...Cramer
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