Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 260922

322 AM CST Mon Jan 26 2015

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 222 AM CST MON JAN 26 2015

The surface low that brought the light rain to the area on Sunday
is now pushing towards the east coast. Clouds are slowly clearing
from northwest to southeast, with a clear sky occurring across
southeastern Kansas and far western Missouri as of 3 AM. The
clouds will continue to slowly clear across the rest of the area
this morning. There could be some light fog develop across the
western portions of the forecast area where clouds have cleared
this morning and where wind is becoming light.

A warming trend will begin today with high temperatures ranging from
the lower 50s across the eastern Ozarks to the lower 60s across
southeastern Kansas and far southwestern Missouri this afternoon
under a mostly sunny sky.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 222 AM CST MON JAN 26 2015

A weak upper level disturbance and an area of surface low pressure
will push south out of the Great Lakes region into the Ohio Valley
on Tuesday as an upper level ridge will be build east across the
Plains. A cooler air mass will be associated with the upper level
shortwave trough to the east as a warmer air mass will be
spreading east with the ridge. This will leave a good temperature range
across the area on Tuesday as highs across the eastern Ozarks will
warm into the upper 40s and southeastern Kansas warms into the
middle 60s.

The upper level ridge will then build over the region on Wednesday
and will be the warmest day of the week as highs range from the
middle to upper 50s across the eastern Ozarks to near the 70
degree mark across southeastern Kansas.

An upper level trough will push through the region Wednesday night
into Thursday. Moisture will be limited across the area so no
precipitation is expected with this system, but a cooler more
seasonable air mass will spread into the region for Tuesday into
the weekend.

Another upper level trough will then approach the region Friday
night into the weekend and bring chances for light precipitation
to the area.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday Night)
Issued at 1135 PM CST SUN JAN 25 2015

For the KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: MVFR ceilings will quickly clear from
west to east over the next few hours as a sfc ridge moves into
the area and low pressure over eastern KY continues to shift east.
Some shallow radiation/ground fog may develop while the winds remain
light under a clear/clearing sky, but a southwest wind should pick
up again fairly quickly after 12z as a sfc trough approaches. Some
gusts of 20 kts will be possible at KJLN and KSGF after 16z with
daytime mixing.




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