Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 271703
AFDSGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1203 PM CDT Fri Mar 27 2015

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 221 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

A highly amplified trough is currently over the Great Lakes Region
down to the Mid Mississippi Valley Region. The Missouri Ozarks are
currently in a chilly weather pattern with a northerly flow in the
upper levels. One short wave is moving through the area this
morning with light to occasionally moderate showers. Dual Pol
Radar is showing some signs that some of these showers are trying
to mix with some wet snow flakes this morning. Temperatures are in
the middle to upper 30s across the area. Any wet snow that mixes
with the rain this morning will not have any impact or accumulate.

The showers will end from northwest to southeast later this
morning. Some sunshine may return this afternoon but temperatures
will be much below average. Another shortwave will move across the
area late tonight into early Saturday morning. This feature may be
a little more robust with precip and temperatures just a touch
colder.

A band of rain showers and snow showers will accompany
this wave tonight with the better potential of a quick shot of
light wet snow across central Missouri into the eastern Ozarks.
Temperatures will be in the lower to middle 30s tonight. The
overall ground will be too warm to support much in the way of any
accumulation. But the snow may briefly fall at a moderate rate
tonight and early Saturday morning which may lead to a light
dusting of snow on grassy areas and elevated surfaces. Otherwise
no impacts are really expected.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 221 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

Rain and show showers will end Saturday morning across the eastern
Ozarks. It will remain chilly out east in the 40s on Saturday and
possibly reach near 60 across southeast Kansas. The pick day for
the weekend will be Sunday as upper level ridging takes place and
heights begin to rise. A southerly wind will help boost
temperatures back into the middle to upper 60s.

A weak front will pass through late Sunday afternoon and evening
with a wind shift and maybe a spotty shower or two. Otherwise
temperatures will not change much behind the front on Monday.
Slight ridging continues early next week into middle of next week
with temperatures more Spring like for the area. Highs will be in
the lower to middle 70s.

The next decent chance for widespread showers and thunderstorms
will be with a front Wednesday night into early Thursday. A zonal
flow for the end of next week will keep the weather pattern
seasonable.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday Afternoon)
Issued at 1149 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

As the first upper level system transits the area...IFR ceilings
are being replaced by cold air stratocumulus. Expect
predominately VFR ceilings this afternoon with occasion MVFR at
KBBG.

Tonight...a second upper level system makes its way across the
area. Winds will lighten up and veer around to a more
southeasterly direction. Models are tending to bring the
precipitation just to the east of the aerodromes after 06z. For
now...conditions appear to remain VFR with only a very slight
chance of rain mixed with snow after 08z. So...will not mention
in the TAFs at this time.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Griffin
LONG TERM...Griffin
AVIATION...Gaede





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