Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 162340

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
640 PM CDT Sat Sep 16 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Sunday)
Issued at 254 PM CDT Sat Sep 16 2017

Weak cold front approaching I-35 in Kansas to lose its upper
support as the mid level shortwave advects quickly into Canada.
The lack of a strong low level jet tonight places uncertainty in
the coverage of precipitation to begin with and the southwest
orientation should slow the eastward progression into SW MO.
Further convective inhibition points toward limited chances for
thunderstorms, so bottom line this system won`t end our dry spell.

Clouds and some slight cool advection will knock temperatures back
on Sunday.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 245 AM CDT Sat Sep 16 2017

Next shortwave to migrate even further north across the Canadian
prairie and associated front will again lose its support as it
approaches the region Wednesday so similar questions exist in just
how much relief may be expected with this system as well.

Otherwise mild weather to continue compliments of the maintenance
of the southwest flow.


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 622 PM CDT Sat Sep 16 2017

Convection currently firing just ahead of a cold front located
over Central Kansas. The surface front is currently forecast to
be situated roughly along I-44 by the end of the TAF period.

Current activity should just affect KJLN for the next couple of
hours. Could be some scattered additional activity overnight until
about 18z. Otherwise, expect VFR with mid level clouds and
southerly winds through the period.




SHORT TERM...Runnels
LONG TERM...Runnels
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