Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 181716

1216 PM CDT Sat Oct 18 2014

...Update to Aviation...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)

Calm and quiet weather was observed over extreme southeast Kansas
and the Missouri Ozarks early this morning. Temperatures were in
the 40s, under mostly clear skies and light winds.

For today, readings will warm into the 60s as northwest breezes
bring in a slightly cooler air mass. No rainfall is expected today or
anytime this weekend. Height rises will suppress our air mass, as
an upper ridge translates into the nations mid section.

Sunday`s temperatures will be slightly warmer, and quite ideal for
outdoor activities.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Friday)

Our next frontal passage will occur early Monday morning. There
have been some signals for isolated showers to develop during the
day Monday. Some instability will be present in advance of the
frontal passage. Therefore we have continued the slight chances
for showers in the forecast, however, we think most locations will
remain dry.

Conditions will become fantastic through the rest of the
work week as strong ridging aloft brings warm and dry weather
for several days.

The GFS now suggests an anomalous high to become centered across
west Texas toward the end of next week. This could offer an
unusual warming trend for the Ozarks, with temperatures
potentially warming well into the 70s on a daily basis.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday Afternoon)
Issued at 1215 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014

For the KSGF, KJLN, and KBBG TAFS: VFR conditions are expected
this afternoon through Sunday as surface high pressure is over the
region. Winds will be out of the north this afternoon and will
become light and variable tonight before becoming southeasterly
Sunday morning.




LONG TERM...Cramer
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