000
FXUS64 KAMA 212102
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
345 PM CDT MON APR 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...
HAVE ONLY MADE A FEW CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.  WEDNESDAY STILL LOOKS
TO BE THE DAY OF CONCERN WITH SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.

NO POPS TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY AS AIRMASS REMAINS STABLE IN WAKE OF
WEAK COLD FRONT.

HAVE INTRODUCED SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHWEST CORNER OF
FORCAST AREA TUESDAY EVENING...AS SHORTWAVE TROF IN SOUTHWEST FLOW
ENCOUNTERS INCREASING INSTABILITY WEST OF DEVELOPING LOW-LEVEL JET.

WEDNESDAY POPS ALONG AND EAST OF DRYLINE HAVE BEEN INCREASED
SLIGHTLY IN FAR EASTERN ZONES.  HAVE ALSO SPREAD LOW POPS WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO NORTHERN ZONES AS SHARP BAROCLINIC ZONE DROPS INTO
FORECAST AREA.

DRY THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.  HAVE RETAINED LOW POPS EAST ON
SATURDAY AS DRYLINE SETS UP.  HAVE TRIMMED FRIDAY NIGHT POPS FROM
WEST DUE TO EXPECTED POSITION OF DRYLINE.  SUNDAY LOOKS TO HAVE THE
POTENTIAL FOR US TO BE DRY-SLOTTED.  HAVE REMOVED POPS FROM
SOUTHWEST AND WESTERN SECTIONS.  03

COCKRELL

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY
ACROSS WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE PANHANDLES.  A FIRE WEATHER WATCH
WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR THE
WESTERN ONE THIRD OF THE PANHANDLES.  ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY ACROSS MAINLY
WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE PANHANDLES.  03

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                49  82  54  87  49 /   0   0   5  30   0
BEAVER OK                  44  85  51  82  50 /   0   5   5  50  30
BOISE CITY OK              46  83  53  84  45 /   0   5  20   5  10
BORGER TX                  52  85  58  85  53 /   0   5   5  30  10
BOYS RANCH TX              50  87  58  89  49 /   0   5   5  10   5
CANYON TX                  48  82  55  88  48 /   0   0   5  20   0
CLARENDON TX               51  83  55  85  54 /   0   0   5  40  20
DALHART TX                 46  86  51  86  43 /   0   5   5   5   5
GUYMON OK                  45  84  52  84  47 /   0   5   5  30  20
HEREFORD TX                48  84  55  87  47 /   0   0   5  10   0
LIPSCOMB TX                44  82  54  81  52 /   0   5   5  50  30
PAMPA TX                   48  81  53  82  51 /   0   0   5  40  10
SHAMROCK TX                47  83  53  84  55 /   0   0   5  50  30
WELLINGTON TX              50  86  53  87  57 /   0   0   0  40  30

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: DALLAM...DEAF SMITH...
     HARTLEY...MOORE...OLDHAM...POTTER...RANDALL...SHERMAN.

OK...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: CIMARRON.


&&

$$

05/03