000
FXUS64 KAMA 142336
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
636 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014

.AVIATION...00Z TAFS

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL. WINDS WILL QUICKLY DROP OFF THIS EVENING
AND BECOME VARIABLE. EVENTUALLY...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PICK UP AROUND
14Z AND BECOME STRONGER AND GUSTY THROUGHOUT THE DAY ON TUESDAY.

SIMPSON
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 327 PM CDT MON APR 14 2014/

DISCUSSION...
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE MAJORITY OF THE SNOW HAS
MELTED ACROSS THE PANHANDLES WITH A FEW SPOTS HOLDING ON ACROSS THE
WESTERN OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE.

THE LONG ADVERTISED AREA WIDE HARD FREEZE IS ON TRACK FOR TONIGHT.
LOWS WILL RANGE FROM 20 TO 28 DEGREES AREA WIDE WITH LIGHT WINDS.
THERE IS A SMALL CONCERN FOR FREEZING FOG GIVEN THE NEAR SURFACE
MOISTURE FROM THE MELTED SNOW AND LIGHT OVERNIGHT WINDS. HOWEVER,
THE CONFIDENCE ON THIS CONCERN IS FAR TOO LOW TO MENTION IN THE
FORECAST.

TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND WITH A VENGEANCE TOMORROW FROM 20S IN THE
MORNING TO 60S AND EVEN A FEW ISOLATED 70S BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THE
WARMING TREND CONTINUES WEDNESDAY WITH THE SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE
EASILY TOPPING OUT IN THE 70S. THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE WILL HIT A
SLIGHT SNAG ON WEDNESDAY AS A WIND SHIFT OUT OF THE NORTH HOLDS
HIGHS TO THE 60S.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY WILL BE OUR NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIP AS
ANOTHER STRONG COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA. THIS FRONT WILL
CAUSE A TRICKY TEMPERATURE FORECAST AND THUS A TRICKY PRECIPITATION
TYPE. THE GENERAL IDEA BEHIND THE FORECAST IS THAT THERE WILL BE A
CHANCE FOR RAIN AND SNOW ACROSS THE OKLAHOMA AND EXTREME NORTHERN
TEXAS PANHANDLES WHILE LIQUID IS THE DOMINANT PRECIP TYPE ACROSS THE
REST OF THE AREA. SHOULD THE COLD FRONT NOT COME THROUGH AS STRONG
THEN THIS RAIN/SNOW CHANCE WILL BE SHIFTED MORE TOWARDS ALL LIQUID.

FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND WILL BE FAIRLY WARM WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S
AND SLIGHT CHANCES FOR RAIN AND A FEW RUMBLES OF THUNDER.

FIRE WEATHER...
ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE COMBINED OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS
PANHANDLES. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS WILL DROP
INTO THE 14 TO 20 PERCENT RANGE WHILE 20-FT WINDS RANGE FROM 20 TO 25
MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS COULD
BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES RANGING FROM 10 TO 14 PERCENT AND
20-FT WINDS NEAR 15 MPH. NEITHER ELEVATED NOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...HARD FREEZE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM CDT TUESDAY
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: ARMSTRONG...CARSON...
     COLLINGSWORTH...DALLAM...DEAF SMITH...DONLEY...GRAY...
     HANSFORD...HARTLEY...HEMPHILL...HUTCHINSON...LIPSCOMB...
     MOORE...OCHILTREE...OLDHAM...POTTER...RANDALL...ROBERTS...
     SHERMAN...WHEELER.

OK...HARD FREEZE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM CDT TUESDAY
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BEAVER...CIMARRON...TEXAS.


&&

$$

09/99