Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS64 KAMA 290903
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
403 AM CDT FRI AUG 29 2014

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER TROUGH EXITING THE PANHANDLES THIS MORNING AND ALL CONVECTION
HAS MOVED EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA. SUBSIDENCE BEHIND THE DEPARTING
UPPER TROUGH WILL ALLOW FOR SOME BRIEF DRYING TODAY...HOWEVER
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY WILL RESULT
IN A SHORTWAVE TROUGH TRACKING SOUTHEAST OUT OF THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN ROCKIES BY 00Z SATURDAY WITH CONVECTION POSSIBLY PROPAGATING
SOUTHEAST INTO THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA BY 06Z
SATURDAY AND ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE DAY
SATURDAY. WILL INTRODUCE SOME LOW END SLIGHT CHANCE POPS TONIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY FOR THIS POSSIBLE SCENARIO AND REMOVE POPS TODAY.
SHORTWAVE RIDGING WILL TAKE PLACE LATE THIS WEEKEND AND THEN ANOTHER
SHORTWAVE TROUGH PUSHING ACROSS THE PANHANDLES SUNDAY NIGHT.
CONFIDENCE LOW ON ANY CONVECTION SUNDAY NIGHT SO WILL LEAVE FORECAST
DRY FOR NOW. THE NAM AND TO SOME EXTENT THE ECMWF HINT AT POSSIBLE
PRECIP SUNDAY NIGHT WHILE THE GFS REMAINS DRY. ZONAL UPPER FLOW EARLY
NEXT WEEK MAY ALLOW FOR ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH TO TRACK EAST OUT OF
THE CENTRAL ROCKIES INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS STATES. THE GFS
FORECASTING CONVECTION ACROSS THE EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND THE NORTHEAST
TEXAS PANHANDLES MONDAY NIGHT...WHILE THE ECMWF DRY. WILL INTRODUCE
SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS PANHANDLES MONDAY NIGHT. OTHERWISE...DRY FORECAST
EXPECTED NEXT WEEK WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS.

SCHNEIDER

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                87  64  90  64  94 /  10  20  20  10   5
BEAVER OK                  91  61  95  67  97 /  10  10  20  10  10
BOISE CITY OK              87  59  90  61  94 /  10  20  20  10   5
BORGER TX                  92  68  93  68  96 /  10  20  20  10   5
BOYS RANCH TX              88  65  91  68  96 /  10  20  20  10   5
CANYON TX                  86  63  90  65  94 /  10  20  20  10   5
CLARENDON TX               89  64  92  64  95 /  10  10  20  10   5
DALHART TX                 88  59  93  60  95 /  10  20  20  10   5
GUYMON OK                  90  60  94  65  96 /  10  10  20  10  10
HEREFORD TX                86  62  91  64  95 /  10  20  20  10   5
LIPSCOMB TX                89  65  93  68  95 /  10  10  20  10   5
PAMPA TX                   88  66  91  68  93 /  10  10  20  10   5
SHAMROCK TX                88  67  93  67  95 /  10  10  20  10   5
WELLINGTON TX              92  69  95  69  96 /  10  10  20  10   5

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

09/11




USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.