Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 142319
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
519 PM CST Wed Feb 14 2018

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF Cycle

VFR conditions will prevail at all three TAF sites through 00Z
Friday. Southwest to west winds 20 to 30 knots with gusts to near
35 knots will diminish to around 10 to 20 knots after 00Z to 02Z
Thursday and then will increase again to around 15 to 25 knots
with gusts near 30 to 35 knots after 15Z to 16Z Thursday.

Schneider

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 419 PM CST Wed Feb 14 2018/

DISCUSSION...
Temps this afternoon have climbed into the 70s in the western
Panhandles and low 80s in the east thanks to downsloping winds.
Similar conditions will be around tomorrow afternoon ahead of a
cold front slotted to come through between 4 PM and 10 PM. Temps
will drop behind the front and send overnight lows back to climo.
Friday`s highs will be 10 degrees below average. Temps rebound
Saturday as upper level northwest flow pushes clouds out of the
area behind a weak shortwave.

Sunday will see temps climb even more as upper level flow swings
back to southwesterly as a new long wave trough pushes south into
the Pacific Northwest. This system will push a second cold front
through the area on Tuesday, but still no sight of precip for the
majority of the area through the beginning of next week.

Beat

FIRE WEATHER...
Cloud cover today thinned a bit more than expected which allowed
dew points to drop and winds to increase. This has lead to the
issuance of a Red Flag Warning for the area this afternoon until 7
PM. While RH values are not expected to drop as much tomorrow
afternoon as they have today, winds will remain breezy tomorrow
and lead to elevated to critical fire weather conditions, with the
southwest TX Panhandle the most favored for critical. A cold front
will shift winds tomorrow evening from southwesterly to northerly
between 4 PM in the north and 10 PM in the south. Winds behind the
front will be 15-25 mph.

Elevated fire weather conditions may be possible again on Sunday,
mostly across the northern half of the area with RFTI values of
1-2, RH values in that area of 14 to 22 percent, and winds out of
the southwest at 15 to 20 mph.

Beat

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...Red Flag Warning until 7 PM CST this evening for the following
     zones: Armstrong...Carson...Collingsworth...Dallam...Deaf
     Smith...Donley...Gray...Hansford...Hartley...Hemphill...
     Hutchinson...Lipscomb...Moore...Ochiltree...Oldham...
     Potter...Randall...Roberts...Sherman...Wheeler.

OK...Red Flag Warning until 7 PM CST this evening for the following
     zones: Beaver...Cimarron...Texas.


&&

$$

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