Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 011038
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
438 AM CST SUN MAR 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...
COLD SHALLOW AIRMASS RETAINS ITS HOLD ON THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES THIS MORNING.  AREAS OF FREEZING FOG EXPECTED TO PERSIST
THROUGH AROUND 10 AM.  SOME SLOW MODIFICATION OF THIS AIRMASS IS
EXPECTED TODAY...WITH THE SOUTHWEST HALF OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE
EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FREEZING THIS AFTERNOON.

ISENTROPIC LIFT EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FURTHER TONIGHT.  WEAK UPSLOPE
FLOW WILL ACT TO KEEP LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE.  WITH NO STRONG
DYNAMICS EXPECTED TONIGHT...HAVE REMOVED MENTION OF MEASURABLE
PRECIPITATION...AND HAVE CALLED FOR AREAS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE.

SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR MONDAY HAVE BEEN RETAINED.  WARM AIR
ADVECTION AND THE PASSAGE OF A QUICK-MOVING VORTICITY MAXIMUM MAY
BE ENOUGH TO SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN IN THE
MORNING AND LIGHT RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.

HAVE REMOVED MONDAY NIGHT POPS DUE TO EXPECTED LOSS OF ISENTROPIC
LIFT.

TUESDAY/TUESDAY NIGHT FRONTAL PASSAGE TIMING HAS BEEN SPED UP
SLIGHTLY.  HAVE LOWERED MAXIMA SLIGHTLY IN NORTHERN SECTIONS...BUT
TUESDAY IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE WARMER OWING TO EXPECTED INSOLATION.

LOW POPS FOR LIGHT SNOW HAVE BEEN KEPT FOR TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY.  RAPID CLEARING ALLOWS FOR WARMING TREND TO COMMENCE
THURSDAY.

COCKRELL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                36  24  42  38  58 /   5  10  20   5  10
BEAVER OK                  30  21  41  35  50 /   5  10  20   5  10
BOISE CITY OK              29  20  41  34  46 /   5  10  20   5  10
BORGER TX                  34  24  40  40  59 /   5  10  20   5  10
BOYS RANCH TX              38  25  48  38  55 /   5  10  20   5   5
CANYON TX                  37  25  43  38  60 /   5  10  20   5  10
CLARENDON TX               33  24  38  35  60 /  10  10  20  10  10
DALHART TX                 33  22  45  36  51 /   5  10  20   5   5
GUYMON OK                  30  21  44  37  52 /  10  10  20   5  10
HEREFORD TX                39  25  43  37  59 /   5  10  20  10  10
LIPSCOMB TX                31  23  42  37  56 /   5  10  20  10  10
PAMPA TX                   33  23  38  36  55 /   5  10  20   5  10
SHAMROCK TX                32  23  41  35  58 /  10  10  20  10  10
WELLINGTON TX              35  26  41  36  64 /  10  10  20  10  10

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...FREEZING FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: ARMSTRONG...CARSON...DALLAM...DEAF SMITH...
     GRAY...HARTLEY...HUTCHINSON...MOORE...OLDHAM...POTTER...
     RANDALL...SHERMAN.

OK...FREEZING FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: CIMARRON.


&&

$$

08/03



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