Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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353
FXUS64 KAMA 202035
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
235 PM CST Mon Nov 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Uneventful weather is still forecast through Monday.  No
precipitation is expected.  No excessive wind events are
expected.

Models and ensembles exhibiting good agreement through Thursday,
as Great Basin mid-level ridge amplifies through Wednesday, and
then begins dampening and moving east.  Dry northwest flow aloft
expected to prevail through Thursday.  Small timing differences
then emerge regarding Vancouver shortwave trof and its effect on
aforementioned ridge.  All solutions suggest that mainly
northwest dry flow will continue through the end of the forecast.
Gulf remains closed.  All pops zero.

Cold front arrives in northwestern part of Combined Texas and
Oklahoma Panhandles before midnight this evening, and then passes
rest of forecast area before sunrise.  North-northwest winds
expected to increase mid-morning through early afternoon on
Tuesday, and to diminish during the late afternoon as they trend
to northeast.  In spite of brisk winds and clouds, highs on
Tuesday are expected to remain on the high side of climo.

In fact, every day through Monday is expected to reach high
temperatures above normal.

Southwest winds resume on Wednesday with highs in the 60s.
Thanksgiving Day looks mild with light winds and highs in the 70s.
Further warming expected for Friday ahead of another cold front.
Saturday and Sunday expected to be cooler, but still 10 to 15
degrees Fahrenheit above climo.  Mild and warmer on Monday.  03

Cockrell

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
No critical fire weather conditions are expected through Monday.
No elevated fire weather conditions are expected through Thursday
as relative humidity values are expected to remain above 20
percent.  Elevated fire weather conditions may develop on Friday
across the southwest and southern Texas Panhandle as dry southwest
winds develop.  No elevated fire weather conditions are expected
Saturday through Monday as relative humidity values are expected
to remain above 20 percent.  03

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                38  60  31  64  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
Beaver OK                  34  58  30  65  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
Boise City OK              36  57  30  68  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
Borger TX                  39  61  33  65  44 /   0   0   0   0   0
Boys Ranch TX              35  61  31  65  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
Canyon TX                  35  61  31  64  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
Clarendon TX               40  63  32  63  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dalhart TX                 36  59  30  66  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
Guymon OK                  35  58  31  67  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
Hereford TX                37  61  30  63  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
Lipscomb TX                36  59  29  64  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
Pampa TX                   38  59  30  63  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
Shamrock TX                36  64  31  61  38 /   0   0   0   0   0
Wellington TX              37  66  32  61  39 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

07/03



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