Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 241126
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
526 AM CST WED DEC 24 2014

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF CYCLE
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE EAST AWAY FROM THE PANHANDLES TODAY AND
ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH WILL APPROACH THE PANHANDLES FROM THE WEST
CHRISTMAS DAY. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF FORECAST
PERIOD WITH INCREASING HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS LATE IN THE FORECAST
PERIOD. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 KNOTS WILL BACK AROUND TO THE
SOUTHWEST BY 00Z THURSDAY AND THEN INCREASE TO AROUND 10 TO 20 KNOTS
WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE AFTER 08Z THURSDAY.

SCHNEIDER

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 249 AM CST WED DEC 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
THE REMAINING SNOW FLURRIES FROM YESTERDAY ARE SLOWLY EXITING THE
AREA THIS MORNING. ALBEIT NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF ACCUMULATION...THESE
FLURRIES WERE A LITTLE TASTE OF A WHITE CHRISTMAS FOR THE PANHANDLES
UNTIL POTENTIALLY LATER THIS WEEKEND. UNTIL THEN...THE NEXT 48 HOURS
WILL HAVE THE PANHANDLES ON A TEMPERATURE ROLLER COASTER WITH DRY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED WHICH THANKFULLY WILL MAKE SANTA`S TRAVELS
TONIGHT FAIRLY EASY ACROSS THE PANHANDLES. HIGHS TODAY WILL BE IN
THE 40S AREA WIDE WITH LOWS TONIGHT IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL RETURN TO THE AREA ON CHRISTMAS DAY MAKING
TEMPERATURES FEEL ANYTHING BUT WINTER-LIKE WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S
EXPECTED.

NO WORRIES FOR YOU OLD MAN WINTER FANS AS MORE TYPICAL COLD WEATHER WILL
RAPIDLY RETURN CHRISTMAS NIGHT AND CONTINUE FOR THE UNFORESEEABLE
FUTURE. IN FACT...SHORT RANGE MODELS ARE ACTUALLY SHOWING SOME
PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF SNOW FRIDAY ACROSS THE NORTHWEST AND
FRIDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA. THE GFS CONTINUES TO DRY SLOT THE
AREA...BUT MOST OTHER MODELS AGREE THAT THERE WILL BE SNOW IN AND
AROUND THE FORECAST AREA WITH LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED.
THIS SHOT FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BE A BRIEF ONE...BUT THE COLD AIR
WILL LINGER. HIGHS ON FRIDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW 30S NORTH TO THE
UPPER 40S SOUTH.

FOR THE WEEKEND...DRY CONDITIONS RETURN BUT SO DOES THE COLD AS HIGHS
WILL STRUGGLE TO SURPASS THE FREEZING MARK ON SATURDAY. A BRIEF
WARM UP WILL OCCUR ON SUNDAY AS SOUTHWEST WINDS RETURN...BUT ANOTHER
COLD FRONT WILL BRING THE ARCTIC COLD BACK FOR THE UPCOMING WORK
WEEK. EVEN THOUGH THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERNS DIFFER IN THE GFS AND
ECMWF...DO THINK THERE COULD BE OFF AND ON SNOW FLURRIES ACROSS THE
AREA ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR OR BELOW
FREEZING FOR HIGHS AND TEENS FOR LOWS FOR THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.

KNS

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

11/20




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