Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 200842
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
342 AM CDT SAT SEP 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...
THE REMNANTS OF WHAT ONCE WAS HURRICANE ODILE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT
AREAS WEST AND SOUTH OF THE PANHANDLES...HOWEVER THE NORTHERN FRINGES OF
THIS MOISTURE AND ASSOCIATED SHOWERS COULD STILL POSSIBLY AFFECT THE
EXTREME SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING.
OTHERWISE...ATTENTION SHIFTS TO A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLOWLY MOVING
SOUTH ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS STATES TODAY AND THEN INTO THE
PANHANDLES TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY. PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
ALONG WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN THE VICINITY OF THE FORECAST AREA
LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AND SHORTWAVE TROUGH ACROSS
THE ROCKIES SHOULD PROVIDE ENOUGH SUPPORT FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
CONVECTION MAINLY LATER TODAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. COOL UPSLOPE
SURFACE FLOW MONDAY ALONG WITH CLOUDY SKIES AND CHANCES FOR
CONVECTION WILL ALLOW FOR NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONABLE
CONDITIONS.

SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS AND DEEPENS ALONG THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES BY
NEXT TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WHICH ALLOW THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO LIFT
NORTH AND EAST AS A WARM FRONT AND A SURFACE TROUGH SOUTH OF THE
SURFACE LOW ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO ALSO DEEPENS BY MID NEXT WEEK.
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS UP BY THE LATTER HALF OF NEXT WEEK
AS SOUTHERLY AND SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS INCREASE INTO THE BREEZY
TO WINDY CATEGORY. SURFACE TROUGH MAY SHARPEN UP INTO A DRYLINE BY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON OR THURSDAY WITH CONVECTION DEVELOPING MAINLY
ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HOURS. ALTHOUGH SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS
TIME...CANNOT COMPLETELY RULE OUT THAT SOME CONVECTION COULD BECOME
STRONG TO SEVERE BY NEXT THURSDAY.

SCHNEIDER

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TODAY THROUGH
MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH AT LEAST THE END OF NEXT WEEK.

SCHNEIDER

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                81  61  80  59  75 /  30  30  40  30  40
BEAVER OK                  87  64  80  58  81 /  10  20  20  20  20
BOISE CITY OK              84  59  77  58  76 /  10  20  30  30  30
BORGER TX                  86  65  80  62  77 /  10  20  30  20  40
BOYS RANCH TX              85  61  82  60  75 /  10  20  30  30  40
CANYON TX                  80  61  82  59  76 /  30  30  40  30  40
CLARENDON TX               82  64  83  61  78 /  50  30  30  30  40
DALHART TX                 84  60  77  59  75 /  10  20  30  30  40
GUYMON OK                  86  60  80  59  78 /  10  20  20  20  30
HEREFORD TX                80  61  80  59  76 /  30  30  40  40  40
LIPSCOMB TX                84  66  82  58  80 /  10  20  20  20  20
PAMPA TX                   82  63  78  60  75 /  30  20  30  20  30
SHAMROCK TX                85  65  85  61  80 /  40  20  30  20  20
WELLINGTON TX              86  65  87  62  82 /  50  30  30  20  30

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

20/11





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