Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 202037
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
337 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2016

.Discussion...
Expansive mid-level ridge will keep Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles
dry through at least Wednesday morning. By Wednesday afternoon and
evening, a cold front is expected to work into northwest sections of
forecast area. Have begun low pops Wednesday afternoon as models
suggest mid-level ripples in slightly strengthening flow. Models also
suggest that the frontal boundary will lie across Panhandles through
Thursday night with perturbed mid-level flow continuing. Thus pops
continue these periods.

Friday and Saturday look to offer lower prospects for rain, as
closed mid-level low rapidly moves from Washington to North Dakota.
Result should be surface trof/dryline development across eastern New
Mexico with northwest sections of forecast area perhaps benefiting
from low-level convergence to support thunderstorms.

GFS and GEM predict that a stronger cold front will move into the
area Saturday night and Sunday, with pops warranted Saturday through
Monday.

Cockrell

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/Pops...
Amarillo TX                67  94  70 100  71 /   0   0   0   0  10
Beaver OK                  69  96  73 103  74 /   0   0   0   5  10
Boise City OK              65  93  68  99  67 /   0   0   0  30  20
Borger TX                  70  97  74 102  74 /   0   0   0   0  10
Boys Ranch TX              66  96  70 102  70 /   0   0   0   5  10
Canyon TX                  66  97  69 100  70 /   0   0   0   0  10
Clarendon TX               67  91  71  99  72 /   0   0   0   0   5
Dalhart TX                 64  94  68 100  68 /   0   0   0  10  20
Guymon OK                  69  96  71 102  71 /   0   0   0  10  10
Hereford TX                65  97  68  99  70 /   0   0   0   0  10
Lipscomb TX                68  94  72 101  74 /   0   0   0   0  10
Pampa TX                   67  93  71  99  72 /   0   0   0   0  10
Shamrock TX                68  92  72  99  73 /   0   0   0   0  10
Wellington TX              69  93  73 100  74 /   0   0   0   0   5

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

16/03


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