Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS64 KAMA 051103 AAA
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
503 AM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

.AVIATION...
A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE DHT AND GUY TAF SITES NOW WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE AMA TAF SITE AROUND MID MORNING. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL
GUST UP TO AROUND 30 KNOTS AT AMA AND GUY WITH GUSTS CLOSE TO 35
KNOTS AT DHT. SOME LOWER CLOUDS IN THE MVFR RANGE MAY VISIT THE DHT
TAF SITE THIS AFTERNOON. BELIEVE AT THIS POINT THAT AMA AND GUY WILL
REMAIN VFR. WINDS WILL THEN DECREASE WITH SUNSET TONIGHT AND THEY
WILL START TO BACK SOME.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 320 AM CST FRI FEB 5 2016/

DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE PANHANDLES TODAY USHERING IN A
COLD FRONT BY THIS AFTERNOON. IT APPEARS THAT ANY SNOW SHOULD REMAIN
WEST AND NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. LEE SURFACE TROUGH FORECAST TO
DEVELOP BY SATURDAY WEST OF THE PANHANDLES ALLOWING FOR A SOUTHWEST
SURFACE FLOW AND NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL CONDITIONS. ANOTHER
COLD FRONT SHOULD MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA ON SUNDAY RESULTING
IN BELOW NORMAL CONDITIONS ONCE AGAIN. HOWEVER...NO PRECIP EXPECTED.
COOL SURFACE RIDGE BUILDS DOWN FROM THE CENTRAL ROCKIES SUNDAY NIGHT
AND MONDAY WITH CONTINUED BELOW NORMAL TEMPS AND DRY CONDITIONS. COOL
SURFACE RIDGE TO MOVE OFF TO THE EAST OF THE PANHANDLES BY TUESDAY AS
SURFACE LOW AND TROUGH DEVELOP ALONG THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES WEST OF
THE FORECAST AREA. ABOVE NORMAL AND CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED
NEXT TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT EXPECTED NEXT
THURSDAY...HOWEVER A DRY NORTHWESTERLY UPPER FLOW NEXT WEEK AS AN
UPPER HIGH PREVAILS OVER THE WESTERN AND SOUTHWESTERN STATES SHOULD
MAINTAIN DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK.

SCHNEIDER

FIRE WEATHER...
NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY.
HOWEVER...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS COULD POSSIBLY DEVELOP
SATURDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS MAINLY THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS PANHANDLE. A SURFACE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE
LEE OF THE ROCKIES SATURDAY WHICH WILL ALLOW THE 20 FOOT WINDS TO
BECOME DOWNSLOPING FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH SPEEDS POSSIBLY REACHING
AS HIGH AS 15 MPH OR 15 TO 20 MPH WITH SOME OCCASIONAL GUSTS. MINIMUM
AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES SATURDAY ARE FORECAST TO FALL TO AROUND
15 TO 20 PERCENT ACROSS THIS AREA. SUNDAY THROUGH THE END OF NEXT
WEEK...NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
AT THIS TIME.

SCHNEIDER

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

15/11


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.