Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 172054
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
354 PM CDT Mon Apr 17 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Storms are starting to fire up in New Mexico this afternoon. Hi-
res models indicate there is a chance for the storms to make it to
the western Panhandles late this afternoon. The TTU WRF has storms
initiating in the southwestern TX Panhandle. Soundings indicate
there is a good amount of instability and low level directional
shear for storms to strengthen if they can get strong enough.
There are several boundaries left over across the Panhandles from
the storms last night as well as a dry line in the western
Panhandles. Storms will likely need to adhere to one of these to
become strong. In addition, there is a weak upper level shortwave
that should cross over the area this evening which could aid in
storm strengthening. If we see any storms, it will likely be just
a few isolated ones that could become severe.

As moisture continues to get pumped into the eastern Panhandles,
patchy fog development will again be likely tonight. After the sun
burns it off, Tuesday through Thursday will see temps warm into
the 80s and even some 90s due to downsloping and abundant
sunshine. The next system continues to look on track for bringing
precip back to the area Thursday night through Saturday. Long
range models are becoming more in agreement with cutting off
precip early on Saturday and dryslotting the area. At this time,
thunderstorms look to remain below severe levels. The remainder of
the weekend looks to be dry as upper level ridging takes hold.

Beat

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                54  87  58  90  50 /   5   0   0   0   5
Beaver OK                  55  91  61  94  50 /  10   0   0   0  10
Boise City OK              50  86  53  85  45 /  20   0   0   0   5
Borger TX                  57  90  59  94  53 /   5   0   0   0   5
Boys Ranch TX              52  89  57  90  50 /  20   0   0   0   5
Canyon TX                  53  84  58  89  50 /  10   0   0   0  10
Clarendon TX               56  85  59  89  54 /  10   0   0   0   5
Dalhart TX                 50  88  53  88  48 /  20   0   0   0   5
Guymon OK                  53  89  58  91  49 /  20   0   0   0   5
Hereford TX                52  85  57  88  50 /  20   0   0   0   5
Lipscomb TX                55  89  61  92  53 /  10   0   0   0  10
Pampa TX                   55  87  60  92  50 /  10   0   0   0   5
Shamrock TX                56  84  60  87  55 /  10   0   0   0   5
Wellington TX              57  83  60  86  57 /  10   0   0   0   5

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

15/16



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