Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 260357 AAB
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1057 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 06Z TAFS...CONFIDENCE HAS DECREASED IN MVFR CIG POTENTIAL
TONIGHT SO HAVE REVERTED BACK TO A SCT MVFR DECK UNTIL AROUND MID
MORNING TUESDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SLIDE SEWD ACROSS THE AREA
WITH WINDS BECOMING N TO NE AT ALL TAF SITES FOLLOWING ITS PASSAGE.
ISOLD TSTMS PSBL LATE TUE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BUT CONFIDENCE IS
VERY LOW IN STORM DEVELOPMENT. THEREFORE...HAVE ELECTED NOT TO
MENTION DURG THIS TIME PERIOD.

ANDRADE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 638 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015/

AVIATION...
FOR THE 00Z TAFS...ISOLD TSTMS PSBL THIS EVENING...BUT DID NOT
INCLUDE IN THIS FCST CYCLE DUE TO THE EXPECTED ISOLD COVERAGE AT BEST
IF ANY STORMS FORM AT ALL. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SLIDE SEWD ACROSS
THE AREA WITH WINDS BECOMING N TO NE AT ALL TAF SITES FOLLOWING ITS
PASSAGE. MVFR TO NEAR IFR CIGS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AT KGUY AND KAMA
LATE TONIGHT INTO TUE MORNING BEFORE DISSIPATING LATER THAT DAY.
ISOLD TSTMS PSBL LATE TUE AFTERNOON...BUT CONFIDENCE IS VERY LOW IN
STORM DEVELOPMENT. THEREFORE...HAVE ELECTED NOT TO MENTION DURG THIS
TIME PERIOD AS WELL.

ANDRADE

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 416 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015/

DISCUSSION...
DRYLINE WHICH WAS EARLIER FRACTURED BY OUTFLOW EMANATING FROM
THUNDERSTORMS WELL TO THE SOUTH IS NOW IN THE PROCESS OF SOLIDIFYING
OVER WESTERN SECTIONS.  CLEARING OVER EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND WESTERN
SECTIONS IS LEADING TO DESTABILIZATION OF AIRMASS.  WITH SHORTWAVE
EXPECTED TO ARRIVE FROM WEST THIS EVENING...HAVE INCLUDED POPS IN
WESTERN AND SOUTHWESTERN SECTIONS THIS EVENING.  NO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TONIGHT.

FAIRLY QUIET CONDITIONS CONTINUE TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.
HAVE INCREASED POPS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT DUE TO
EXPECTED INCREASE IN MOISTURE AND SHARPENING OF DRYLINE.  MOISTURE
FEED CONTINUES THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY WITH HIGHEST POPS KEPT FOR
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.

COCKRELL

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$






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